Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(2/1)-(1/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/6/8)-(2/1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/7/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/7/5/9)-(2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-3   WIN (1/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/9)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/9)-(2/4/3)-(1/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/8/6/4)-(4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/4)-(4/3)-(6/9/5/8/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/9/5/8/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/9/5/8/4)-(1/10/2/9/7) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/9/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/8/4)-(6/9/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/8/4)-(6/9/5/8/4)-(6/9/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/5/8/4)-(1/10/2/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-8   WIN (1/10/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/9/7)-(1/10/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/9/7)-(1/10/2/9/7)-(1/10/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZONG TOUGH Aug26 Jul17 Jun08 May22 May07 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 119 2.50    
2  CRYPTOZONIC Sep09 Aug20 Jul03 May22 Jan25 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  J B GRAY Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May27 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
4  HELLO HELLO MISTER Sep11 Aug25 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 May29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
6  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Aug07 Jun26 May23 Apr20 Jun04 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
LAD-2   09/25/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING DUCHESS Aug21 Jul23       (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of STARRY EXPECTATION by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
2  SMALL TOWN HEROINE Sep10 Aug17 Jul27     (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of LADY HEROINE by SEA HERO)
3  FUEGO K Sep10         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.00 ★    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LAVENDER SKY by MT. LIVERMORE)
4  SAINT CECILE Aug21         (vincent jarvi)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LIP SYNC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  POWER NAP Sep10 Aug14       (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of ELLA'S DREAMING by FIRST DUDE)
6  PEPPERMINT BITES Jul23         (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 114 4.50 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of ABUNDANCEOFCAUTION by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  HOOK EM UP Aug14 Jul23       (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
8  INSIPID Sep10 Aug14 Jul19     (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 5.00 ★    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of DANCE AWAY CAPOTE by CAPOTE)
9  INSTASPEED Jul14         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UP TO SPEED by GOLD FEVER)
 
LAD-3   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLENN'S JUMPER Aug07 Jun26 May21 Mar09 Feb13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  GOLDENLUTE Aug27 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 May24 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00    
SCR  BLUSHING BELLE Sep17 Aug20 Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 114 1.60    
4  JULIA'S WARRIOR Sep09 Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 May13 (alfortish sea)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
5  STOMPING HOTROD Sep17 Aug19 Aug07 Jul23 Jul10 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
6  THE FEATURE Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 May10 Apr13 (ellis j)FLORIAN JOSE 117 15.00    
7  BIG FIG Sep03 Jul16 Jun19 Jun10 May27 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 12% 7.60    
8  BLING'S BELLWETHER Aug14 Jul30 Jun18 Jun03 May27 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
9  CAMPISI Sep10 Aug28 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   09/25/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIFEY Sep10 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 May20 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
2  MOKINGS Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  MILITARY BEARING Sep09 Jul10 Jun05 May27 Mar31 (johnson henry )MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 5% 17.60    
4  YOU VEE CEE Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 May29 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  SMARTY ALEX Sep11 Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 May27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
6  GUITAR BOY Sep09 Jul31 Jul04 Jun22 May11 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE ROCKY Aug28 Aug06 Jul17 Jun24 May24 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
SCR  SEVEN CHANNELS Aug09 Jul11 Jun07 May22 May11 (schwandt emile)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
SCR  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Aug28 Aug06 May27 May13 Sep02 (rangel rau)RAMIREZ JR 116 30.00    
SCR  ROBO Sep09 Aug21 Jul31 Jun26 Jun11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  SPARKIN Sep09 Jul24 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00    
SCR  EZMOSH Sep09 Aug21 Feb18 Jan06 Dec07 (jacks e)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
SCR  MINT Aug07 Jul19 Jun26 May28 May10 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO JET Aug20 Aug05 Jul13 Jun20 May08 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  WHERE'S AUNT J Aug13 Feb24 Dec13 Nov16 Nov03 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
3  HUSHED COURT ROOM Oct14 Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
4  SAVANNAH'S HERE Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun08 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DREAM TOWN Sep02 Aug20 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
6  KAN SHE Aug14 Jun28 May31 May08 Apr12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
7  DROP DEAD SEXY Jul09 May10 Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
8  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
LAD-6   09/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEER CROSSING Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar14 Feb08 (delhomme jef)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
SCR  CARLEA'S DREAM Jul30 Jun23 May26 May03 Feb25 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
3  BIG BOO Aug31 Jul30 Jun24 May07 Mar09 (singh s)BOREL H 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
4  BENOIT Jul19 Jun01 Mar02 Feb04 Dec29 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 29% 2.40    
5  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 Jun01 May04 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 5.00    
SCR  CALICOCO Aug02 Jul06 Mar23 Mar02 Jan13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
7  HOUSE BOURBON Aug14 Jun13 May22 May01 Apr10 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM Aug16 May11 Mar23 Feb08 Jan13 (wilson sha)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
SCR  BATTALION STRIKE Jun24 May10 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 (singh s)SINGH R 122 12.00    
 
LAD-7   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZEONPOINT Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 6.00    
2  ROYAL BONUS Sep10 Nov17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep13 (soto fermi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 12.00    
3  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Sep11 Jul12 Jun27 May15 May04 (larrosa ju)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00    
4  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Sep11 Aug06 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOVE OF MY HEART Aug06 Jul01 Jun05 Feb18 Jan12 (lara jorge)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
6  EUROSTORM Aug20 Jul01 Jun11 May28 May20 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  TENACIOUS LADY Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 May27 May15 (altamirano eleu)HERNANDEZ V 122 10.00    
8  YOLANDA WHO Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 May10 Apr28 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
9  COUNTRY LADY Aug19 Jul01 Jun07 Apr26 Mar10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
LAD-8   09/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING BLING BLING Aug28 Aug07 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  BREAKTHROUGH Jul20 Jun26 Feb10 Sep07 Jul30 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  CAZADERO Aug21 Jul09 Jun21 May09 Nov05 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 3.50    
4  ATRAS Jul12 Jun29 May27 May11 Nov14 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
5  OJITOS Mar12 Feb07 Jan20 Jan04 Dec19 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
6  DUDE PERFECTA Jul04 Jun16 Apr05 Mar08 Jan19 (jacks kare)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
7  SIGN OF WAR Sep04 Aug17 Jul12 Jun29 Jun21 (govea cesar)POMPELL L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORO FLASHBACK Aug10 Jul21 Jun22 Jan27 Dec15 (morris r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
9  PUDDING Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jun21 May10 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 8% 10.90    
10  UNIFIED REPORT Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 Mar23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  AFLEET ASCENT Aug07 Jul16 Jun10 May09 Feb29 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.