Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/6/7)-(8/5/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/4/7)-(7/6/10/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/7)-(7/6/10/8/4)-(8/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/10/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/8/4)-(7/6/10/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/8/4)-(7/6/10/8/4)-(7/6/10/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/10/8/4)-(8/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10/8/4)-(8/1/7)-(7/5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(7/5/2/1)-(10/7/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/1)-(10/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/1)-(10/7/8/2)-(5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/2)-(10/7/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/2)-(10/7/6/8/2)-(10/7/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/7/8/2)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/2)-(5/3/6)-(5/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/4/3/2)-(6/1/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(6/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LICENSE TO CHILL Nov22 Oct30       (rofe jean)LEWIS M 119 8.00    
2  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 May31 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
3  FROSTED CUPP Jul27         (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
4  SUGARFREE ROOTBEER         (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00 19% 4.20    
5  NO BLUSHING HERE         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  RESTRIKE Aug28 Aug17 Jul25 May27 May06 (garber)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 ★    
7  CALL ME KAT Jul27 Jul06 Jun05 Apr24   (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ADIOS PLUMA Aug17         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
9  JANES JENSEN Aug15 Jul06       (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
 
CT-2   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS LEGACY Jul05 Jun13 May31 Jul06 May06 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
2  MALEKES MAGIC Aug17 Jul18 Jun22 Jun01 Feb15 (aylor natash)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
3  ASTRAYAL Jul26 Jul05 Jun29 Jun13 May23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
4  MY BUDDY DUANE Aug24 Jul26 Jun24 Jun18 Apr28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLONIAL ROAD Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jun22 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00    
6  RIDE THE BRAND Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 May10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL Jun22 May17 Apr19 Mar28   (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.00 42% 1.40    
8  WHY WINCHILL WHY Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul14 Jul03 (meeks karl)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
9  DOG TOWN ALLEN Jul26 Jun29 Jun08 May18 May02 (harrison n)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
10  DR RENDEZVOUS Aug10 Jul20 May18 May02 Apr12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-3   09/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAPOLIS ROAD         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of KENTUCKY ROAD by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  BOLD DESERT         (johnson de)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 12.00 ★    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
3  SWIFT WATERS         (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  MILLE PAROLE         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of RESTRAINT OF TRADE by CITY ZIP)
5  SAPPHIRUS         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
6  LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT         (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  MY FATHER'S SON         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of LET ME BE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  BOLD ROCK Aug24 Aug02 Jul19     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
9  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT         (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 15.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CT-4   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD SLEW Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOVING PICTURES Jul25 Apr28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb10 (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  ON A WHIM Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May18 (murtaugh a)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 30.00    
4  BURTON WAY Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 Nov11 Oct15 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 4.00    
5  PERSONABLE Jun29 May30 Mar27 Mar09 Jan12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 13% 6.40    
6  MOON FALL Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May24 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
7  ALWAYS GAMBLING Jul28 Jul20 Jun09 May17 Mar29 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 112 1.40 51% 1.00    
SCR  J. WICK May18 May02 Apr06 Mar21 Feb29 (bass w)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-5   09/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE MAMA         (contreras javi)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
2  SANABEL ISLAND Aug15         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
3  WHY NOT DIXIE Aug15 Jul18 Jun28     (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  LUNAR TICK Aug15 Jul18       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
SCR  MOON ROX         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TONI ROX by BROKEN VOW)
6  MACNICK TIME         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
7  BLUSHING KAYLA Aug15 Jul19       (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  GINGER TWIST         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SKETCH BOOK by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  SWEET N TRICKY Aug15         (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  HIT THE SNOOZE Aug25         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-6   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Aug24 Aug02 Jul05 May30 May09 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
2  MAMA MARGE Aug17 Jul27 Jun15 Feb24 Nov22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
3  WHAT'SHERNAME Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun20 May30 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Aug17 Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 Jun14 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
5  MENDYS HONEY Aug30 Aug01       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
6  LONA LEE Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 Apr27 Feb01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHEWONTTALKTOME Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 May30 May16 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 6.00 ★    
8  STILL GRUMPY Aug22 Aug10 Jun29 Jun20   (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPING HENRY Aug27 Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 May04 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00    
2  MATH MAN MARCO Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr19 Jun17 (mangual manolo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 10.00 6% 15.90    
3  AMIDSHIPS Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 Mar21 Mar02 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 12% 7.60    
4  GOLDEN KEY Jun20 May25 Apr19 Mar02 Dec14 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
5  FURREAL Aug15 Jul04 May31 Jan24   (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  ELEANORS JACK Jun20 May02 Apr13 Dec16 Dec01 (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
7  COLT ROCK Aug28 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 Jun04 (tobin edwin )LEWIS M 115 20.00    
8  FIBER STRONG Aug17 May24 Feb29 Nov30 Aug04 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 6.00    
9  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Aug23 Jul19 Jun27 May09 Mar22 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO DOLCE Jul19 Jun22 Jun13 May30 Apr21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  CELTIC REVIVAL Jul18 Jun19 May17 Mar22 Feb23 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAY Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May02   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
4  SISTER SPIRIT Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Mar16 Feb24 (aylor wil)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE MONEY MACHINE Aug09 Jul11 Apr26 Apr05 Feb24 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  TIZ VINNO Aug15 Jul13 Jun15 May22 Mar08 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 117 1.80 33% 2.00    
7  WAVERLEY Jul19 Jun14 Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 (butts e)LEWIS M 117 50.00    
8  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul14 Jun27 (robb gina)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA TACHE Aug21 Jul26 Jun16 May31 May03 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
10  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jul19 Jun30 May18 Apr19 Apr12 (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  STYLISH ANNA Aug31 Aug22 Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 (richards r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.