Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (9/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/10)-(9/1/3/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/10)-(9/1/3/10/4)-(9/1/3/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/10)-(4/1/8/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/10)-(4/1/8/7/9)-(5/3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7/9)-(4/1/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7/9)-(4/1/8/7/9)-(4/1/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/8/7/9)-(5/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/7/9)-(5/3/7/6)-(3/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/6)-(3/2/5)-(7/9/6/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/9/6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/9/6/5/3)-(6/5/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/9/6/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/5/3)-(7/9/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/5/3)-(7/9/6/5/3)-(7/9/6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/5/3)-(6/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/5/3)-(6/5/7/2)-(4/2/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/2)-(4/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/2)-(4/2/11)-(11/1/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/11)-(4/2/7/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/11)-(4/2/7/8/11)-(4/2/7/8/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/11)-(11/1/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/3/10)-(11/1/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/3/10)-(11/1/6/3/10)-(11/1/6/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INABLINK Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 Mar21 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  ARTIE'S PROSPECT Apr25 Apr05 Mar15 Dec04 Jul19 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 30.00    
3  BUILT'IN ABILITY Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jul04 Jun25 (mcclellan)BOCACHICA J 124 5.00 ★    
4  LOVE NOTION Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May27 May16 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 117 12.00 ★    
5  I'M FRIESAN Aug22 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15   (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00    
6  LADY TOURIST Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
SCR  BATTLE TESTED Aug24 Aug01 Jun23 Mar16   (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
8  MAIDENS BLUSH Jul06 May30 May04 Apr13 Nov11 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
9  LOKI'S LIGHTNING Aug16 Jul20 Jun21 May24 May04 (carlisle john )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
10  SPEEDY N SMART Aug22 Aug04 Jul26 Aug18 Aug05 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   09/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON GATEAU Sep01 Aug15 Jun27 Jun20 May31 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  Z U AT THE RACES Aug15 Jul25 May19 Apr29 Mar31 (binning matt)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
3  RUSH CENTER Aug22 Aug01 Jun16 Jun03 May14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
4  CASINO TRICKS Aug15 Jul07 Jun15 May05 Apr06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  BON BUENO Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 May16 Apr25 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00    
6  CHICA CHUCK Aug31 Aug09 Jun15 May26 May05 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
7  IRISH BANDIT Jun09 May05 Apr13 Mar08 Aug05 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARCUS JUNIUS Aug21 Jun15 Jun01 May04 Mar30 (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 6% 17.00    
9  HERE COMES RUSTY Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 Jun20 May31 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  AKINGISALWAYSKING Aug16 Jul13 Jul07 Jun06 May16 (murtaugh a)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00    
SCR  CITIZEN MACK Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 (mcclellan er)LEWIS M 117 4.50    
SCR  BURTON WAY Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 Nov11 Oct15 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
CT-3   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMON THE GLAM Aug15         (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
2  KEEP SHINING ON US Aug15         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
3  COLLECTING ANGELS Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 Jun08   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
4  LOOK AHEAD Aug15 Jul18 Jun28     (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
5  ZIP START Aug15         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by UPSTART out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  JUBA B WILD Aug15 Jul18 Jun28     (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
7  CLIMATE CHANGE Aug15         (runco c)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
8  POPPY MAC Aug15 Jun28       (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-4   09/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE YODELER Aug23 Jul27 Jun13 May03 Mar27 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
2  FULL MOON LOVER Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 Jun01 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 16% 5.50    
3  MOONLIT KISS Aug17 Jul25 Jun20 May30 May02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
4  SILVER RULES Feb09 Dec02 Nov10 Sep30 Sep07 (bourne)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
5  REMY'S HOTSHOT Aug20 Jul27 Jul16 Jun15 May23 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHEROKEE CASTLE Aug23 Aug03 Jun28 Jun07 May25 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  MENDYS HONEY Aug30 Aug01       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40    
8  SYMPTOMATIC Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun08 May16 (tobin edwin )LEWIS M 113 30.00    
 
CT-5   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULL RIDER Aug23 Jul25       (figgins ollie )ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PASCUALA by NICANOR)
2  DIRECT APPEAL Aug09 Jul19 Jul04     (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 30.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Aug09 Jul19 Jul04     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  JOHN'S NOTION Aug09         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
5  JACK'S ALOHA         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 9% 10.60    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BRAEFIELD by HARD SPUN)
6  MANNY TOO Aug09 Jul19       (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  BAIL IS DENIED Aug09 Jul19 Jul04     (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  BABY BOSS ALLEN Aug09 Jul19 Jul04     (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  IM THE DIRECTOR Aug09 Jul19 Jul04     (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
10  TOODLESWASMYNAME Aug09         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
 
CT-6   09/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALINA EXPRESS Sep05 May03 Mar29 Aug31 Aug19 (rodriguez angel)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
2  YANGARRA Aug22 Aug15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
3  ANNA'S GOT STYLE Aug30 May18 Apr07 Mar20 Mar07 (stites w)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
4  LET'S EAT Jul04 Jun13 Apr27 Mar16 Feb28 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00    
5  RAMSEY Aug27 Aug15 Aug05 Jul04 Jun13 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Aug29 May18 Apr12 Feb16   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
7  ORANGE JUICE Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 Sep16 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
8  PLAY IT LOUD Apr04 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Feb01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.00    
 
CT-7   09/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BOOTS Sep02 Aug09 Jul12 May17 Apr28 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00    
2  SUTTON VALLEY Aug12 Jul24 Jun23 Jun04 May20 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
3  INSIDE RISK Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 Jun20 Jun01 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 120 30.00    
4  ADVANCE CASH Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 May11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  PRIZE FIGHTER Aug09 Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 May11 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
SCR  TRIPLE BAD Jun15 May04 Apr18 Feb10 Nov30 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
7  IMPERIAL KING Aug09 Jun27 May24 Apr13 Jan05 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 ★    
8  SHIP THE GOODS Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 May17 Nov03 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 115 3.50 ★    
9  WHERE IS MIKE Aug17 May29 Apr11 Nov05 Jul21 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
10  HARDLY EVER BETTER Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun07 May18 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
11  HEADS OR TAILS Aug10 Jul06 Jun16 May31 Apr20 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   09/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING BULLET Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 Apr25 Apr04 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 May30 May10 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00    
3  HONEY PLEASE Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Jan24 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOBBI TWO STEPS Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 May24 May10 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
SCR  MISS PEARL HART Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 Jun06 Apr20 (comi ralph)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 5.00    
6  LOVELY LUCY Aug09 Jul18 Mar13     (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 ★    
7  BALI HAI Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 May05 Apr19 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
8  VIENNA'S TWIRL Jul19 Jun21 May10 Apr20 Mar23 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
SCR  GONE WITH THE WYN Aug15 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
10  SPECIAL NOTE Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 May22 Apr27 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  DANCING BEAUTY Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 Mar07 Feb01 (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  MOONSHINING Aug29 Aug12 Jul19 Jun30 Feb11 (rodriguez angel)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
SCR  BECCA BELLE Mar15 Feb28 Jul23     (garber)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.