Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/2)-(5/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/10/2)-(4/1/5/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(5/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/1/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6/8)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6/8)-(5/3)-(7/2/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/6)-(4/3/6/8/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(4/3/6/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(4/3/6/8/5)-(2/9/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/3/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/8/5)-(4/3/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/8/5)-(4/3/6/8/5)-(4/3/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/8/5)-(2/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/8/5)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/5/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/3/4)-(2/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/4)-(2/5/6/1)-(4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1)-(4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/1)-(4/7/6)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(1/5/6)-(3/9/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(3/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (3/9/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/10)-(3/9/2/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/10)-(3/9/2/10/5)-(3/9/2/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   09/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAN PAM Aug20 Jun26 Jun15     (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
2  JESS'S MOMENT Aug24 May11 Apr18 Apr07 Mar21 (caban e)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY BROWN EYED GIRL Jul17 Jun08 May29 May14 May04 (noble f)AGUILAR JEAN 120 20.00    
SCR  GWEN STACY Sep02 Jul17 Jun08 May14 Nov29 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 8.00    
5  PRETTY LILY Aug24 Jun15 Mar27 Feb29   (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 4.50 39% 1.50    
6  PELOSI Aug29 Dec27 Nov17     (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 3.50    
SCR  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug09 (yovanovich )WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 20.00    
SCR  MUCHO MISSTIQUE Mar13 Jan30 Dec26 Dec07 Nov30 (hamilton stephe)BOWMAN ADAM 125 20.00    
9  DIXIE MUSIC Aug21 Jul17 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (hawthor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
10  SUNNY SIDE UP Aug19 Apr01 Feb27 Feb05   (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  THE LAST JET Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun12 (brown howard )RIVERA D 122 20.00    
 
PRX-2   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIXTER Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Aug20 Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 May18 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
3  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 Jun16 May28 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
4  DAD'S ON A ROLL Aug20 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun03 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  WIZARD SERRAT Aug27 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May18 (velazquez a)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  SENSIBLE JIM Aug03 Jul01 Jun17 May29 May20 (perez ruper)NUNEZ Y 122 12.00 6% 14.80    
7  HIBACHI Aug27 Jul17 Jun25 May22 May13 (pino michael )RIVERA D 122 4.50    
8  INDIRECTLY Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE TWINS SNEAKERS Aug17 Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 Apr24 (castillo m)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
 
PRX-3   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGA CHARLIE Jun08 May28 May13 Apr16 Mar25 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT ACT Aug20 Aug09 Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
3  HOLDTHEFLIGHT Aug28 Jul11 Jun16 May02 Mar30 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEEWINOT PASS Aug28 Jul24 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.00    
5  FLAT LUCKY Aug29 Aug15 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 125 0.80 69% 0.40    
6  OMERTA CODE Aug28 Aug17 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 (arce josue)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
 
PRX-4   09/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPOLITAN Aug26 Jul10 Jun18     (dandy ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
2  KEYSTORMRISING Aug26         (bedard alan)NUNEZ Y 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
3  ALI'S JERSEY GIRL May18 May11 Apr15     (hogan william )ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
SCR  WARRIORS JEWEL Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 May30 May09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
5  SPANISH GIRL Sep02 Jul21 Jun27 Jun20 May24 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
6  GO CHLOE GO Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Jun16 Jun08 (gonzalez-milian jo)CARTER T 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROYAL UPSTART Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul22 Jul02 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
PRX-5   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LOYALTY Aug27 Jul01 Jun04 May04 Apr16 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00    
2  ANNA ROCKS Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 2.00    
3  WHYISSHESOOLUCKY Aug19 Apr15 Mar20 Aug17 Jul26 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  BONITA LASSIE Aug29 Aug08 Jun25 Nov16 Sep13 (graci kimbe)RAMOS O 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
5  LULINDA'S HEART Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MERCY MERCY Aug21 Jul19 Jun25 Jun10 Mar27 (castillo m)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 11% 8.00    
7  SIRENETTA Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 Jul10 Jul01 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 12.00    
8  LULI'S DANCER Sep04 Jul24 Jul09 Jun03 May13 (pollara l)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 7% 13.90    
9  TOMARIE Sep02 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 (betancourt )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
 
PRX-6   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADDY MAN Aug28 Jul11 Jun04 Mar20 Mar11 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00    
2  GABE Jul01 Jun12 Apr17 Mar27 Mar13 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  CHAIN REACTION Aug23 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 May24 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
4  COUSIN ANDREW Feb21 Jan24 Dec18 Dec04 Nov15 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOTPOT Jul24 Jul02 Jun11 May18 Apr10 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00    
6  JACK BEANSTALK Sep04 Jul07 Jul01 Jun12 May18 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
7  HIDE THE RANSOM Jun25 Jun08 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.50    
SCR  PORSUPUESTO Aug30 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 Jul01 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
9  STAR WEAVER Aug28 Aug01 Jul19 Jul01 Jun11 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
PRX-7   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE GROOVE Aug19 Jul24 Jul09 Jun03 May13 (pino v)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Sep02 Aug08 Jul24 May20 May07 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  BUNNY BONUS Jul17 Jun04 May20 Apr22 Apr15 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
4  JSK LUCKY'S PUSHPA Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 May20 Apr22 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 122 4.00    
5  LA CIENEGA Aug19 Jul24 Jun12 Dec20 Dec06 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 19% 4.10    
6  PEACH PERFECT Jul24 Jul10 Jun17 May28 Apr29 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  OBSTINATE Aug19 Jul17 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (bravo-estra)RAMOS O 122 20.00    
8  BLACK ICE Aug31 Jul10 Jun11 May07 Apr15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
 
PRX-8   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINCHAM         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  WE LIVE THIS GAME Jul25 Jun02 Jan20     (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PALACE PRINCESS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  ZIO SALINO Jul15 Jun16 Nov08 Oct10   (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ONE SMART PHILLY by SMARTY JONES)
4  WINTERFELL Jul25 Jun15 May18 Apr06 Mar09 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of FOREST FASHION by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT Aug15 Feb25 Dec02 Nov04 Sep16 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  SUNDAY SPIRIT Aug28 Jun13 May05 Mar17 Mar07 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of REINCARNATION by BUDDHA)
7  HAIZUM Aug10 Jul14 Jun23 May09   (matz michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
8  EVASIVE MOVES Aug20 Jul15 Jun04 May28 May07 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PRX-9   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED DIAMOND Jul23 Jun26 Jun10 May22 Apr25 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  DAZZY Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 May26 (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80    
3  ARROGANTE Aug22 Aug08 Jul03 Jun04 May15 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 3.50    
4  TEMPEST RISING Jul23 Jun26 Jun10 May27 May01 (mosco robert)BOWMAN ADAM 125 5.00    
5  DIANE'S MERLOT Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun07 May21 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 25% 2.90    
6  SUNDRIA Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Aug21 Jul11 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   09/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Sep04 Aug24 Jul15 Jul01 Jun22 (gallimore t)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
2  SWING OIL Aug19 Jul08 Jun26 Jun17 May22 (rodriguez irv)OCASIO M 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  DREAM KNIGHT Aug24 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00 34% 2.00    
4  WHISKEY PRIZE Aug21 Jun24 Jun03 May20 May08 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
5  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 May29 May08 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00 ★    
6  MODERN MIDAS Aug03 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
7  WYNN GIANT Aug21 Aug01 Jun03 May20 Apr16 (tapsas ilias)MOYA F 122 20.00    
8  EDDIEMUSH Aug27 Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 Jun24 (penaloza miguel)BOWMAN ADAM 125 5.00    
9  SECRET ALLIANCE Aug21 Jul22 Jun17 May06 Apr15 (kirby t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 22% 3.70    
10  MOON DOG Aug28 Jul22 Jun24 May27 Apr25 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MINION Aug23 Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 Jun06 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
12  CONNECTING Aug24 Aug02 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 117 20.00    
13  RECKLESS PLACE Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun15 May27 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.