Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/8)-(5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/8)-(5/3/7)-(1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(1/2/6)-(3/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/7/4)-(3/8/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(3/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(3/8/2/7)-(5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/7)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/7)-(5/3/2)-(1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/8/5)-(1/2/7/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MY Jul31 Jul01 Jun19 Jun08 May15 (rufino eusebi)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
2  DEROUTANTE Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 Jun19 (meaux ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  SABERFIGHT Aug24 Aug15 Jul26 Jun21 May24 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 10.00    
SCR  XTRA SPICY Aug20 Aug05 Jul07 Jun19 Mar02 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50    
5  GREY HALO Jul07 Jun07 May18 Jun15 May27 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
6  NO COST Sep02 Aug03 Jul04 Jun03 May10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 6% 15.20    
7  SWIZZLECITY Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 Jun08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  MIZ JAMESON Aug28 Jul23 Jun17 May22 Jul03 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  C C'S COWGIRL Jul31 Jul02 Jun08 May15 Aug14 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 4.00    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT THE BULLSEYE Aug17 Jul11 Jun05 May15 May01 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 121 2.50    
2  ASTRONEER Aug26 Jul29 Sep03     (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
3  TRIPS TO WIN         (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 18% 4.40    
4  MY STORY Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun25 May22 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 3.50    
5  DR SPECK Aug28 Jul25 Jun06 May08 Feb18 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  FOREST BEAST         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 124 8.00    
7  PEGASO (PER)         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
LAD-3   09/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOLDEN BLING Aug19 Aug07 Jun08 May16 Mar24 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jul12 Jun27 May15 May04 Feb16 (larrosa juan )LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  SWEET PERFECTION Jul31 May27 May14 Feb09 Dec10 (duhon paul)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Aug10 Jul25 Jul01 Jun20 May24 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 114 4.00    
SCR  TENACIOUS LADY Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 May27 May15 (altamirano eleu)HERNANDEZ V 122 8.00    
6  NORA'S LEGACY May14 Apr12 Mar29 Mar01 Feb22 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 15.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  BASKET CASE Aug16 Jun28 May19 May05 Apr26 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
SCR  IRONIT Aug22 Jun17 May27 May14 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50    
9  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Aug06 Jul01 Jun12 May22 Apr19 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTER RAT Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 May18 May03 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
2  BOULDERING Aug23 Aug03 Jun13 May09 Apr05 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
3  INFINITESIMAL Aug27 Aug15 Jul30 Jul20 Jun15 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  CHEATIN CHARLIE Aug23 Dec21 Nov24 Nov11 Aug05 (terre da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE THIMBLE Aug28 Aug05 Jul03 Jun12 May27 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 3.50 ★    
6  SABER RUN Aug06 Jul04 Jun17 May15 May03 (vincent jarvis)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
7  HELAIRE Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 May13 (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Aug14 Jul26 Jul04 Jan06 Dec27 (mouton chadwic)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
 
LAD-5   09/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST VERDICT Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (nelson eric )MURRAY M 119 8.00    
2  DRIED PEPPER Aug12 Jul17 Jun18 May18 Feb02 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
3  SMARTY ALEX Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 May27 Apr11 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Sep12 Sep02 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00    
5  I'M D'CAT Aug13 Jul11 Jun07 May22 May11 (dussette alv)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  CHAOSMOS Aug14 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 (richard russel)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
7  MEN OF KYLE Aug28 May27 May15 Jan05 Dec17 (duhon paul)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00 5% 17.70    
8  HOT LE ROY Aug13 Jul10 Jun15 May22 Mar13 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FREEDOM FACTOR Jul31 Jun11 May08 Mar14 Feb22 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE ROCKY Aug28 Aug06 Jul17 Jun24 May24 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50    
 
LAD-6   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S CREED Jul27 Jun22 Jun07 May01 Mar13 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50    
2  MISCHIEF ANGEL Aug24 Jun30 Jun15 May11 Apr26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEYOND THE HYPE Jul30 Jul12 Jun19 May31 May18 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Jul12 May31 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
5  DRE ME LESS Jul27 Jun27 May30 May08 Apr19 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
6  MAYAPRETTY Jul21 May19 Apr19 Apr05 Feb24 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 10.00    
7  EMMAS RULER Jul03 Jun17 May08 Jan05 Dec07 (de beauville )RENGIFO JOHAN 119 5.00    
SCR  MILA'S KAT Aug20 Jun22 Feb02 Nov30 Nov10 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 114 12.00    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN BLAST Jul13 Jun15 May16 Apr25 Apr12 (courville ri)MAGNON H 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  PREMIUM Jul30 Jun26 May29 May07 Mar24 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  SPARRA Jul30 Jul13 Apr18 Mar29 Mar03 (bryant george)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
4  HELLO HELLO MISTER Aug25 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 May25 (garza joaqui)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
5  GUITAR DOCTOR Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 May22 Apr19 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 ★    
6  PESO IN MY POCKET Aug14 Jun11 Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 (munoz yova)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00    
7  MAGAWILDTIME Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 May27 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GHENT Jul13 Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar20 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 122 6.00 ★    
9  MANNY'S KAT Jul24 May20 May07     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 Mar23 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.