Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(1/4/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/5/3/2)-(1/4/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/3/1)-(7/6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(7/6/3/2)-(4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(4/6/5)-(5/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/6/2/3)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(2/4)-(5/1/2/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/1/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EMD-8   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLTON'S TIGER Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 Sep17 (christian )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  EARTHLY TIGER Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 May31 May04 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  RALLIFIED Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 May25 Oct08 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 3.50    
4  FIRST ENDEAVOR Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (bullock steve)REYES R 125 6.00    
5  RED MEMORYS Aug16 Jun23 May31 Oct02 Sep17 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 5.00    
6  ALLANTE Jul12 Jun23 May25 May04 Sep17 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 4.50 ★    
7  BENNY BUCKETS Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
EMD-2   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL GIRL Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  TREASURE THE TIME Aug17         (freeman sco)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DEUX MERES Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May26 Jul29 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 5.00 ★    
4  GALESVILLE Aug17         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  LOTSA STEEL Jul26 Jun30 May18 Apr30 Apr17 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50 ★    
6  KOOL KADILLAC Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun09   (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00    
7  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Aug17         (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
8  PRANCING MATILDA Aug17 Aug03 Jul20     (toye joe)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
9  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Aug18 Jul26 Jul12     (bozell alan)REYES R 122 20.00    
 
EMD-3   08/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIETON RIVER         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of WINDY POINT by COAST GUARD)
2  LIMO TO VEGAS Aug10         (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BECOMES A QUEEN by STORM WOLF)
3  IMA MARGARITA GIRL Aug10         (puhich mike)OROZCO E 119 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of PERFECT PROMISE by ABRAAJ)
4  MAXIMUM SPARKLE Aug10         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of DIAMONDS R by ALTERNATION)
5  SOCIAL PROMISE Aug10         (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
6  ROCKYSCENTS Aug09 Jul14       (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RONDA ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  FREYA'S ARROW         (essex charles)REYES R 119 3.50 ★    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PAPER KITE by FLY A KITE (IRE))
 
EMD-4   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALORESE Aug24 Jul26 Jul13 Jun01 Aug19 (patino faustino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
2  DEKUDYLAN Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 Jan30 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ANTEBELLUM by BIRDSTONE)
3  DRIVE TRAIN Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Apr25 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
4  PUBLIC APPEARANCE Aug24 Jun15       (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TAGLIA by UNION RAGS)
5  KNOCKOUT GUY Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 6.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  GRAZED BY LOVE Aug02 Jul06       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by GRAZEN out of LOVE MAKOR by MAKORS MARK)
7  KLINKERBRICK Aug11 Jul27       (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
 
EMD-5   08/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Aug11 Jul19 Jul03 Jun16 May26 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS DYNAMIC Jun22 Jun09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 1.40    
3  STEPUP Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 May19 Aug26 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
4  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Aug04 Jul07 Jun07 May11 Apr10 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
5  EMERALD SEA Aug11 Jul06 Jun07 May19 Sep17 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 May19 Dec10 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
EMD-6   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFQUEMADO Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun15 May25 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
2  MIDNIGHT DADDY Aug07 Jun22 Oct08 Sep10 Aug10 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 5% 17.20    
3  SUPER CREATIVE Aug10 Jul28 May31 May12 Jul29 (johnston kimberl)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUBITO SLEW Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun15 Apr29 (koler steve)MAWING A 123 4.50    
5  THE GOLDEN EGG Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 May31 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 4.00 55% 0.80    
6  CHARLIE'S MAN Aug23 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
7  FAYRUZ TRIBUTE Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 May25 Apr21 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50    
 
EMD-7   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Sep17 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 1.00 60% 0.70    
3  MUNCEY Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 122 20.00    
4  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jul27 Jun30 Apr29 Apr17 Mar27 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARMA D'ORO Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 Jun02 May11 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50    
SCR  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Aug11 Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 Jun02 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
SCR  NAPOLETANO Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-8   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING IN CABO Aug18 Jul26       (wright blaine)KRIGGER K 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  SORORITY PARTY Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun15   (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 12% 7.10    
3  GOIN SEVENTY FIVE Sep03         (bozell alan)MAWING A 121 15.00    
4  SOLO UN BESO Sep10 Aug11 Jul15     (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 12.00    
5  SAVITA         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Apr17 Sep09 Aug12 Feb01 Jan10 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
7  MONEY IS TIME Jul28 Jul13 May20 Apr28 Mar28 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00 5% 18.00    
8  GORMLEY GAL Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 (crowe shelly)REYES R 121 12.00    
9  MANY MEMORIES Aug18 Jul28 Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 (balcom clif)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.