Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/2/4)-(2/4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/4/7/3)-(8/9/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-3   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(8/9/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(8/9/4/5)-(7/2/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DMR-4   WIN (8/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/4/7/5)-(8/9/4/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/4/5)-(7/2/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/5)-(7/2/6/4)-(2/8/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DMR-5   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(2/8/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/4)-(2/8/1/4)-(3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4)-(3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/4)-(3/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(4/8/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-8   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(4/8/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4)-(4/8/6/1)-(2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DMR-9   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1)-(2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
DMR-10   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/3/1/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/3/1/5/9)-(2/3/1/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A LITTLE LUCK Jul06 Jun29 Sep22 Aug19 Jul23 (nunez jesus)BAZE C 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
A REAL JEWEL Jun07 May18 May14 Feb26 Jan29 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
ROMAN EMPRESS Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May19 Apr28 (saavedra a)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00    
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Oct21 Sep17 Jul04 May27 May05 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 120 3.50    
SHANGHAI SUNRISE Feb23 Jan20 Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YOLO CALLS May17 Apr19 Feb16 Jan19 Dec03 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-2   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH PROPHET Jul21 Feb10 Jan06 Dec03 Nov05 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 3.50    
SARWAR (FR) Jul21 Oct01 Jul22 Jun03 Feb11 (powell leon)HERRERA A 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
AH JEEZ Jul21 May27 Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00    
MALIBU COAST Jul21 May31 May05 Feb16 May07 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANDY MAN SHINES (IRE) Jul21 May26 Apr28 Mar03 Feb03 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
REIQUIST Jul21 May26 Apr28 Mar24 Feb15 (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 4.50    
 
DMR-3   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTHELIQUORTALK Apr27 Mar29 Feb02 Dec03   (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
SMOKEM EZ Jul07 Jun08 May24 Sep08 Aug11 (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
OUTGUNNED Jul21 Jun16 May10 Apr19 Feb24 (periban jo)ORANTES R 113 15.00 8% 11.60    
COME OUT FIGHTING Jul27 May26 Apr06 Mar16 Feb10 (mclean bill)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
MI CABO EXPRESS Jul07 Jun16       (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
JOURNEY D' ORO Jul27 Jun23       (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 1.60    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Aug04 Jun28 May24 Jan15 Dec10 (france reid)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
DMR-4   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHYTHMICAL Jul21         (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of IOTAPA by AFLEET ALEX)
UPTOWN SWEETHEART         (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SWEET CATARINA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
THIRSTY DESTINY Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May26   (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SENECA DESTINY by SENECA JONES)
LEE'S BABY GIRL Jul21 Jun13 May31     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RAPID RACER by FOREST WILDCAT)
GODDAUGHTER         (oliver victor)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of WOODFIN by GIO PONTI)
APOCALYPTIC Aug03 Jun01       (sweezey kent)BAZE C 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
SCHILFLIED         (gallagher patr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
ARANSAS PASS         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
THOUGHT PROCESS Jul27         (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by COLLECTED out of CREATIVE THINKING by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
DMR-5   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Jul21 Aug05 Jul10 Apr25 Mar28 (kruljac ia)ORANTES R 112 6.00    
LORD SHELDON Jul07 Jun01 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (sherman steve)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 1.80 24% 3.10    
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Jul20 Jun23 May01 Apr11 Mar28 (ortiz manue)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 10.00    
ABADON Jul25 Jul06 Jun09 May25 Apr27 (uranga j)GARCIA ERICK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL ACT Jun26 Jun07 May23 May05 Apr21 (sweezey kent)BAZE C 121 5.00    
FUNKENSTEIN May25 May11 Apr26 Mar24 Jan11 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
DEPARTURE Jun29 May19 Mar17 Mar04 Jan26 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
DMR-6   08/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEET FEET Jul20 Jun16 Apr27 Apr06 Mar09 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
BOSS SULLY Oct27 Sep02 Aug04 Jul23 May28 (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
NEWS AT TEN (GB) May27         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
TRUST DADDY Jun16 May24 Apr14 Jan12 Nov18 (sweezey kent)BAZE C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
VALIANT KNIGHT Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
TEJON PASS Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 8.00    
EDDIE'S LAST Jul20 Jun15 May25 Apr19 Apr05 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00    
RED PILL Jun01 Mar01       (fincher tod)HERRERA A 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
DMR-7   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIQUE POWER         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNIQUE BELLA by TAPIT)
KALEA BAY         (baffert bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SMASH IT Jul20 Jun14       (fincher tod)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HENNESEY SMASH by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
POST GAME         (shirreffs john)MALDONADO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
CITIZEN BULL         (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
POWER PLAY         (mandella richard )FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SEVNTEENEIGHTYSEVN by CONSTITUTION)
SCR  TOPPERS AT SEASIDE         ( )TBA null      
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
DMR-8   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC14 FIRM Del Mar Oaks Presented Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISCREAMUSCREAM Jul20 Jun13 Oct14     (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SILVER SCREAMER by COZZENE)
CIRCLE OF TRUST Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 Jan20 Dec02 (damato phil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
WHISKEY DECISION Jul08 May10 Mar23 Feb14   (delacour ar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUNNY SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ZONA VERDE (IRE) Jul20 Apr07 Mar10 Feb11 Dec29 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALYX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BUCHU Jul06 Jun01 May03 Apr06 Nov03 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
MEDORO Jul20 Apr20 Mar10 Dec29 Dec01 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ACHIRA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SAKURA BLOSSOM Jul20 Jun01 May17 Mar14 Feb11 (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MOTT N HESTER by SUPER SAVER)
SEA DANCER Jul20 Jun01 Mar24 Feb11 Jan20 (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
 
DMR-9   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLE FOR TEN Aug04 Jun29 Jun09 Dec29 Nov12 (mclean bill)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 8% 12.20    
TIZ TOK Aug01 Jun23 May19 Apr20 Mar10 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 2.50    
STOP AND A TRES Jul20 Jul07 Jun01 May19 May05 (brinkerhoff )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.00    
BIG BUZZ Jul20 May19 May04 Apr19 Feb02 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
UPSTART YANKEE Aug01 Jul20 Jun16 May26 Apr28 (o'neill do)ORANTES R 116 12.00    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Jul25 Jun01 Apr19 Mar17 Feb18 (hess b)MALDONADO E 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
DOS VICIOS Jun23 Oct27 Oct09 Aug10 Jun17 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00    
NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Aug09 May31 May10 Apr07 Mar08 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
DMR-10   08/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SONNY May01 Mar20 Feb29 Feb14   (uranga j)GARCIA ERICK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AVENTAPP Jul25 Jun07 May18 Mar10 Jan27 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 66% 0.50    
TIERGARTEN Aug09 Jul26 May05 Nov26 Oct29 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
DANCING SOUL May18 Dec15 Nov26 Sep24 Sep03 (willia)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.50    
CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Aug01 Jun13 Jun01 Aug04 May07 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 120 4.00    
WOODBINE WAY Jul25 Jun22 May19 May04 Apr19 (campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
MYLITTLERUNAWAY May05 Mar05 Feb18     (vuocolo al)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Jul25 Jun02 May18 Apr04 Jan14 (belvoir van)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00    
LOOPY Jul05 Jun16 Mar06 Feb19 Aug30 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.