Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-2   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW19M ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISION OF THE KAT Jun08 Jun01 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 (craig r)ELLIS DEVON null      
2  COASTARANDO Jun07 Sep10 Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null   35% 1.80    
3  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jun30 Jun16 Jan14 Jan01 Dec02 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
4  STEEL NERVES Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Oct02 Sep11 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00    
5  SASSY EINSTEIN Jul11 Jun22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 (lewis rob)JENSEN P null   32% 2.10    
 
TIL-4   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jul27 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (christian)JENSEN P null      
2  TIZ CURLY JOE Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 Jun07 Sep01 (stewart scott)SAMUELS JAKE null   32% 2.10    
3  LONGFORD Jul04 Jun22 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null      
4  GATO NEGRO Jun09 May26 Jul12 Jul02 Jun11 (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   37% 1.70    
5  MIDNIGHT DADDY Jun22 Oct08 Sep10 Aug10 Apr10 (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E null   10% 8.90    
 
TIL-6   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWELED AGAIN Jul11 Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 May26 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE null      
  (by PONTIFF out of LIVE LIKE MIKE by DEMON WARLOCK)
2  DASHINGMOONLIGHT Jun22 Jun15 Sep03 Jul01 Jun17 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   7% 13.80    
  (by GIACOMO out of CHURCHBELLSRINGING by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  ZEPHYR CAT Jul11 Jun22 Jun15 Oct01 Sep18 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   34% 1.90    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
5  MORDIGAN Jun30 Jun22 Jun15     (weissner tas)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
6  SIXINTHECITY Oct01 Aug12       (hoover cindy)GARCIA G null   35% 1.90    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CHARGING CITY by KANSAS CITY)
7  SNOOZY SUZY Jul28 Jul20 May11 Apr30 Apr04 (dennis cl)JENSEN P null      
  (by CONGRATS out of SUMMER CAMP by FLAG DOWN)
SCR  PEPPERMINT MATTY Jul11 Jun30       (harris john)ELLIS DEVON null      
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of MIDKNIGHT MATTY by MATTY G)
 
TIL-7   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW19M ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR EMPIRE Jun29 Oct02 Sep09 Aug27 Jul15 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
2  ROYAL JESTER Jul12 Jun09 Jun07 Mar19 Mar04 (gilmour jim)GUERRERO C null   ★    
3  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 Aug10 (weissner tas)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
4  HASHTAG BAE Jun29 Oct09 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (hoover cindy)GARCIA G null      
5  BREXTON Jun07 Sep11 Jul02 Mar25 Mar12 (craig r)ELLIS DEVON null   5% 19.00    
6  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Jun29 Jun15 Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   46% 1.20    
7  GOLDEN COWBOY Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.40    
 
TIL-8   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEDOODLE RYLEE Jun07 May25 Apr29 Apr10 Mar21 (lawrence he)DOLL-CARRIERE C null      
2  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Oct09 Sep17 Aug12 Aug09 Jul04 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   25% 3.00    
3  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Jul10 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Jun02 (gilmou)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5% 19.00    
4  SENSATIONAL CITY Jul04 Jun29 Jun23 Sep03 Aug12 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   29% 2.50    
5  ELLE VICTOIRE Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 Sep03 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.