Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/5/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-3   WIN (6/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/3)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRERET Jul22 Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 Aug21 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SILVER TUNES Jul18 Jul01 Oct16 Sep19 Aug28 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50    
SCR  SPRING HIGH Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 May28 May14 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
SCR  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jun25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 Feb18 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 12.00    
5  EASY ACCESS Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 Oct17 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUSICAL RIDE Jul16 Jun04 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
7  DEVIL IN HER HEART Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May11 Apr27 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50    
8  CRUMLIN BIRD Jul22 Jun13 Oct20 Oct02 Sep25 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
FE-2   08/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Jul07 Jun04 May11 Apr27 Nov30 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  MORE SAVVY Jun25 Jun06 May11 Apr27 Dec07 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  SPIRIT BELLE Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 May28 Nov16 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
SCR  DEMURELY Jun27 May17 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (rombi)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 2.00    
5  BIG BELL Jul02 Jun11 May26 May14 Mar13 (silva pablo)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
 
FE-3   08/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPROOM Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 May24 May05 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LUCKY LOUISE Jul02         (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
3  IDA DE NILE Jul01 Jun17 May22 Apr17 Mar30 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NILE RISING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  DAISYCREST Jul22 Jul11 Jun20 May31 Nov11 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  IT'S ME Jul02 Jun14 May25 Sep16 Aug16 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of HELLO EVERYBODY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  WAR VOW Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Jan01 (powel)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 6.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  P T BEAUCETTE Jul15 Jun25       (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of BEAUCETTE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
8  DESTIN NIGHT Jul11 Jun20 May30 May11 Dec17 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by DESTIN out of NOON TIME SHOWER by NOONMARK)
9  SUPER CHRISTIE Mar31 Dec03 Sep14 Aug08 Jun17 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHRISTIE VILLAGE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
FE-4   08/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY OF NO Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 Dec05 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Jul22 Jul08 May21 May06 Apr21 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 8.00    
3  BOUND LUCKY Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 3.50    
4  JAMAICAN JIMMY Jul01 May28 Nov12 Sep18 Sep05 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  HEEZESPEEDY Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 May28 Nov23 (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00 14% 6.00    
6  EXCEED Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Dec01 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00    
 
FE-5   08/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Apr09 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 May28 May06 (robillard jul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG TIME LOUIE Jul01 Jun11 May28 Dec01 Nov12 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  SEA TO AIR Jul18 Jul01 Jun21 May25 May12 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00    
5  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  BOCELLI (IRE) Jul21 Jul08 Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
7  HEADING WEST Jul22 Jul02 Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 (raghu)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 15.00    
 
FE-6   08/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACK THE CAT Jul21 Oct12 Oct02 Sep23 Sep12 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 8.00    
2  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Jul21 Jun25 Jun14 May19 May05 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  QUARKY Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May20 May05 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
4  SCAT FACTOR Jul26 Jun27 Jun02 May24 May04 (jennings aliso)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S PASSION Jul21 Jun30 Oct03 Sep22 Sep02 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00    
6  PRINCESS ALESKA Jul07 Jun16 Apr17 Mar13 Feb17 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 115 12.00    
7  FOUR ACES HIGH Jul12 Jun30 May19 May05 Nov26 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  HICKSY Jul21 Jul08 Jun14 May28 Nov03 (loescher pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  MAGIC TOMAHAWK Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May23 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.