Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/7)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(2/3/6/1)-(8/3/7/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(8/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/7/4/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-3   WIN (8/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/3/7/6)-(8/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/6)-(8/7/4/1)-(4/9/1/5) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-4   WIN (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/7/4/1)-(4/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/1)-(4/9/1/5)-(1/5/7/6/8) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/2/5)-(4/9/1/2/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (4/9/1/5)-(1/5/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/5)-(1/5/7/6/8)-(3/8/7/4/1) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-6   WIN (1/5/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6/8)-(1/5/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6/8)-(1/5/7/6/8)-(1/5/7/6/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6/8)-(3/8/7/4/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6/8)-(3/8/7/4/1)-(1/6/2/5) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/8/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4/1)-(3/8/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4/1)-(3/8/7/4/1)-(3/8/7/4/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4/1)-(1/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-8   WIN (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 Sep18 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 25.00    
2  BIG TICKET Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May21 Sep20 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
3  KITON Jul10 Jun19 May27 Sep11 Aug21 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.00    
4  EXOTIC'S BEAR Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May21 Apr20 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
SCR  STONE CAFE Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Aug22 Aug08 (zawislak da)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 40.00    
6  FINALIZE Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 May27 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.50    
7  HEAVENLY TRIP Jul23 Jun26 Jun19 Jun12 May27 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-2   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATLIFF CITY Jul23 Jul09 Jul03 Jun24 Jun11 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GALLANT OAK Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
3  RESERVE PROOF May27 Apr27 Apr14 Mar08 Feb18 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
4  HAPPY CAMPER Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 Jun19 May22 (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 5.00    
5  GIANT ONE Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May27 Nov19 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 30.00    
6  SAINT PIO Jul16 Jul03 Jun26 May25 May10 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 4.00 7% 13.30    
7  THE CALABRESE KID Jul23 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 May21 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 124 15.00    
 
ASD-3   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MAGIC Jul10 Jun26 Jun11     (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 10.00    
2  SALTO DEL LUPO Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 Sep13 Aug23 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 50.00    
3  ICE STORM Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 Jun12 Mar27 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
4  WICKEDBLACKBULLET Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 Dec15 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.50    
5  VALID DEFENCE Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 May27 Sep12 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 3.00    
6  ROUGH CUSTOMER Jul22 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May21 (morse victoria)CHOW CHAVION 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
7  DADDYSRAREEDITION Jul09 Jun25 Jul03 Sep06 Aug03 (rowe michael)DAWKINS DANE 122 20.00 15% 5.50    
8  GREEN AMAZON Jul22 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
ASD-4   08/05/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PODEROSO EQUS Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  C C'S KITTEN Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May27 (gardip)PATTERSON R 122 25.00    
3  GETCHA Jul02 Jun04 May21 Apr20 Apr06 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00    
4  EAST RAND Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
5  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jul03 Jun25 May20 Apr27 Apr13 (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00    
6  SIDE STREET DAVE Jun25 Jun10 May27 Apr27 Apr13 (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 12.00    
7  SENOR JOBIM Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Apr20 Apr06 (dickey e)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  LAST RENEGADE Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 Jun03 (anderson we)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
ASD-5   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Escape Clause Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Sep16 (anders)PATTERSON R 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAKETHEODDS by STREET SENSE)
2  BIG STRETCH Jul16 Jun25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
3  MINE ME Jul12 May31 May10 Oct21 Sep30 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
4  SPITTEN KITTEN Jul16 Jun25 May21 Apr05 Jul10 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ZAHRAH by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  EVEN PANDURA Jul16 Jun03 Mar30 Mar02 Aug28 (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  STORMIEIS BLUE Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Apr05 Feb24 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 118 15.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
7  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May28 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
8  REASONABLY LOVELY Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr14 Mar30 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  BURROW DOWN Jul12 Jun21 May31 Oct21 Sep18 (duncan murr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
 
ASD-6   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harvey Warner Manitoba Mile Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTING Jul16 Jul02 May28 Apr27 Mar13 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
2  DEANOS CAPE Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 May27 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 119 40.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of JODY SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
3  CONVENTION Jul16 Jun26 Jun05     (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
4  BLAZING BO Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Sep19 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
5  MAGIC TIGER Jul16 Jun26 May20 Sep19 Aug29 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
6  BRODY'S STREAK Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 May20 Oct15 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00 10% 9.30    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
7  JEFF FA FA Jul16 Jun05 May20 Feb09 Jan06 (anders)PATTERSON R 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  BIG NICK Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May20 Sep19 (duncan murray)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
9  MISTER K Jul22 Jul16 Jun12 Jun03 May20 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 119 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GOODGOLLYMISSDOLLY by PLEASANT TAP)
 
ASD-7   08/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA SPEED Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 May28 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MAJOR ASHWORTH by COLONEL JOHN)
2  LUCKY APPEAL Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 May31 May10 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 50.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of MYTHIC APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  BRICKLAYER Jul14 Jun27 Jun07 Apr30 Apr18 (gourneau lar)FUENTES A 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HAAS by TIZNOW)
4  NO SHOW NO CALL Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 20.00 13% 6.80    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
5  MCEWEN Jul08 Jun19 Jun04 May26   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SOLVED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  LT. NORM Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 May21 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ANNADALE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  ITSALLGOODMAN Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 Oct07 Sep16 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  AWESOME ROAD May27 May05 Mar02 Feb03 Nov25 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.40 16% 5.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ORATE by A.P. INDY)
9  ROUSSETTE Jul06 Jun28 May11 Apr24 Mar07 (simms j)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.50    
  (by BLAME out of ALTESSE by A.P. INDY)
 
ASD-8   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 May05 Sep25 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
2  TOOL TIME Jul01 May24 May04 Oct21 Oct07 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 117 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MY NOAH Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 May21 Aug30 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 6.00    
4  CURLY ESA Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Apr30 Apr04 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 15.00    
5  SLEW'S BAK Jul16 Jun24 May18 Oct21 Oct08 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR. DAZZLE Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 May21 Sep11 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  GOLD SPECIAL Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 Sep20 Sep11 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 30.00    
8  REPLETE Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 May20 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00    
9  STAY HAPPY Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr16 (brown jared)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.