Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/1/4)-(7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(2/1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(2/1/4/3)-(1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(1/7)-(1/4/3/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/4/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/4/3/9)-(5/2/1/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/9)-(5/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/9)-(5/2/1/7)-(6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/7)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/7)-(6/5/7)-(4/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(4/8/5/2)-(1/8/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-9   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(1/8/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-10   WIN (1/8/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4/6)-(1/8/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4/6)-(1/8/3/4/6)-(1/8/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLICH Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May11 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
2  MASQUERADE BALL Jul07 Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr20 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 30.00    
3  ARMAVIR Jun01 May11 Apr20 Sep12 Aug30 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUSTICEONEMORETIME Jul02 Jun18 Jun11 May14 Apr30 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 5.00 ★    
5  EUCLID AVENUE Jun23 Jun01 May05 Apr06 Mar03 (block chris)FELIX E 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
6  CHARLIE'S BEACH May28 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 Nov18 (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
7  ANCIENT MAN Jun16 Jun01 May26 May11 May04 (candelas blanca)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
HAW-2   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar30 Feb16 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  I'M WIDE AWAKE Jun05 May05 Apr13 Mar30 Mar14 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 0.80 28% 2.60    
3  SAND MOUNTAIN Jun16 Apr30 Jan05 Nov14 Nov04 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
4  RED LABEL Jun16 May04 Apr17 Mar15 Feb22 (lynch e)MOJICA O 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Jun22 May26 May12 Apr13 Feb28 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
 
HAW-3   07/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRANGER'S CHURCH         (roussel louis )COLON H 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GOOD GOD Jun02         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 6.00    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of GODDESS OF KIP by KIPLING)
3  FINAL COUNTDOWN Jun23         (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of CINNIE by MARTE)
4  BOLD COMFORT Jun23         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ON RAINBOW BRIDGE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
5  TAKEITAWAY         (boyce michele)FELIX E 119 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
6  FINEST CORDON Jun23         (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  RAVIN'S RANSOM         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 1.40 31% 2.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RAIZE'S RANSOM by TAPIT)
 
HAW-4   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDTERM Jun02 May11 Apr14 Feb16 Sep03 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
2  LAST MINUTE Sep03         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMPROV by FLY SO FREE)
3  PONCHO ATTACK Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Oct21 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
4  HONORANDPRINCIPLE         (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by FROSTED out of FLAME MINGO by BLAME)
5  UNCLE CHUCKLE Jun16         (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of R MAC DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SCR  LONE RETURN Jun30 Jun15 May25 May04 Mar23 (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 5.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  LA PERFECT BEE Jun29 Jun22 Jun02     (dorochenk)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
8  NAGY AND DA BEARS May25 Apr07 Mar23 May21 Apr22 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
 
HAW-5   07/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jun22 May05 Apr13 Mar30 Feb16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
2  RESOLUTION (FR) Jun02 May18 Apr21 Apr07 Mar28 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 15.00    
3  PRINCESS TENKO Jul05 Jun08 May05 Mar24 Feb28 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
4  SECRET OPERATION Jun01 May05 Mar30 Feb24 Jan27 (slager mike)ORM CORY 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  FAST N HAPPY Jun22 Jun01 May16 Apr20 Mar31 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  DEVIL Jun16 Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 Dec14 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50    
7  SUPRISE ME AGAIN Jun23 May19       (block chris)COLON H 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
HAW-6   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Jun16 Sep10 Aug10 Jul06 May31 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MOON RAY (FR) Apr20 Mar23 Mar03     (gutierrez faus)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  JOURNEYIST Jun16 May19 Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAT ATTACK Jun15 Apr14 Dec23 Sep04 Jul20 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TIMELESS ROSE Jun20 Apr13 Mar17 Jan31 Oct18 (granitz j)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
6  AMAZON QUEEN Jun20 May22 Apr30 Mar13 Feb15 (lauer mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
SCR  WANDA STRONG Jun16 Jun09 Aug24 Aug02 Jun21 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00    
8  COTTON CANDY ANNIE May12 Apr14 Dec16 Oct27 Oct10 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
9  WHITE LIES Jun16 May19 Apr14 Aug31 Aug17 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  GUANA CAY Jun09 Apr30 Sep03 Jul23 Jun11 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
11  BABY GUNDIN May04 Apr14 Mar13 Jan31 Nov18 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   07/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANTHONY Jun22 Dec23 Nov09 Sep03   (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 120 4.50 5% 17.30    
2  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jun29 Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 Jul09 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
3  VALIANT WEST Jul06 Jun21 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
4  STRANGE ARRANGE Jun29 Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar30 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
5  GOOD APPLE Jun29 Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar23 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  HOPPIN JOHN Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar09 (campbell j)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00    
7  MOONLIGHT ROAD Jun02 May12 Apr14 Mar24 Mar07 (block chris)FELIX E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Jun29 May26 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINGSBURY DREAM Jun16 Aug02 Jun21 Jun01 Nov25 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
SCR  SENSE OF SELF Jun23 Jun16 May26 May12 Sep04 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  WILDCAT BOBBIE Jun22 May25 Nov14 Oct10 Sep19 (lamew l)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  GET N TIPSY Jun25 May23 May08 Apr08 Nov13 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.80    
5  APRIL'S GEM Jun23 Jun08 May12 Apr07 Mar23 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Jun17 May25 Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 8.00 55% 0.80    
7  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jun16 May12 Apr28 Apr07 Dec28 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPERINEA Jun30 Jun25 May23 Apr28 Nov13 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
9  QUILTING PARTY Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr14 Aug31 (kirby j)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
 
HAW-9   07/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISERICHIESRANSOM Jun30 Jun09 May25 May12 Apr28 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 120 20.00    
2  LUCKY PAL Jun30 Jun16 Apr07 Jun24   (winebaugh )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE RIDGE May09 Apr27 Apr07     (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
4  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Jun30 May25 Apr28     (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  KEYSER Jun30 Jun09 May25 Sep24 Sep17 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 7% 12.70    
6  LARRY'S LUNCHBOX Jun09 May25 Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 5.00    
7  MY BROTHER MIKE Jul07 May25 May04 Apr27 Apr14 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 124 2.00    
8  LORD BLOCK         (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-10   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHMOOZIN Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar24 Dec21 (childers vance)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
2  FLASHY RICHIE Jun15 May26 May05 Apr13 Mar24 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  VIOLENT GIGI Jun23 Jun09 May11 Apr04 Mar22 (candelas blanca)MOJICA O 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
4  MON AMI FUZZIE Jun29 Jun09 May25 May11 Apr30 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
5  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Jun22 Jun02 May19 Apr27 Apr13 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  BLAZEN ROAD Jun29 Jun01 May19 Apr27 Mar28 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNCAPTURED PULSE Jun29 Jun22 Jun02 May19 May11 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00    
8  LUCKY SHOT Jun15 May25 Apr27 Mar30 Sep25 (banks chri)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
9  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Jun23 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr27 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.