Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/9/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/10/2)-(6/9/1/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/10/2)-(6/9/1/10/2)-(6/9/1/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/8)-(9/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/8)-(9/7/8)-(9/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   06/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTSBEATLIKTHUNDR May04 Apr06 Feb24 Dec23 Dec02 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
CUMBERLAND BLUES May18 Sep22 Aug03 Jul21 Jul03 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Jun22 Jun01 May18 May11 Apr26 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  RUN CORY RUN May11 Mar02 Jan21 Dec16   (delgado j)VARGAS A 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
MCMAGIC Jun15 Jun01 May11 Apr10 Mar13 (gonzalez cla)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00    
GONNA BE EPIC May26 May11 Apr27 Apr19 Mar29 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
EL DE LEO Jun02 May12 Mar24 Mar03 Dec24 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
CODE ENFORCER Jun01 May14 Apr27 Apr05 Mar06 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 5.00    
 
MTH-2   06/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YORK PANTHER Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
AFY KID Jun08 May26 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 4.50 9% 10.10    
GIVE IT A GO Jun16 May27 May12 Apr15 Mar11 (gonzalez )CAMACHO JR 119 15.00    
CANDY KINGDOM Jun15 Jun08 May12 Apr21 Jul27 (foglia antho)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 20.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) May25 May11 Apr27 Apr19 Mar15 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
NAMESAKE Jun08 May04 Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 1.50 43% 1.30    
PREDICTED Jun08 May18 May04 Apr07 Mar29 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
MTH-3   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBWAY SUSIE Jun08 May19 May05 Apr13 Mar21 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.50 9% 10.30    
SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Jun09 May18 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ISN'T SHE KHOZY Jun15 May09 Apr19 Jul07   (martin ca)CAMACHO JR 117 6.00    
SCR  SPUNFORFUN May27 Apr05 Mar15 Jan26 Nov25 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50    
HOLY BERRIES Jun16 May27 May18 Apr02 Mar26 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SISTER NELL Jun15 Apr06 Mar17 Feb21 Jan24 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
HIPATIA Jun08 May18 Apr19 Apr10 Mar15 (harris holly)IORIO MELISSA 112 20.00    
CAPTURE THIS Jun15 May19 Feb29 Dec30 Dec09 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
BUTTERFLY QUEEN Jun15 May25 Apr20 Mar15 Feb16 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jun15 Jan30 Jan09 Nov13 Aug11 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
MTH-4   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG SONG FLYIN Jun09 May26 May03 Mar29 Mar08 (gallegos )MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 4.50    
LILY THE KID Jun16 May18 Nov02 Oct25 Sep15 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOOTSIE TOES         (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Apr28 Mar23 Mar08 Jan27 Jan07 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 11% 8.10    
BALENCIAGA BETTY May18 May04 Apr22 Mar09 Jan29 (gardea abraha)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
SPOUTY'S GIRL Jun04 May13 Apr21 Sep17 Aug21 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.80 30% 2.40    
CLASSY CHICK Feb04 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Oct13 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
DIGITAL CURRENCY May26 May02       (potts way)HERNANDEZ F 119 6.00    
 
MTH-5   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jun02 May11 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
SENSITIVITY Jun02 May04 Nov25 Jul23 May27 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
GIRLY THE BUTCHER Jun15 Nov03 Oct08 Sep03 Aug05 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 5.00    
HIGH STICK May11 Apr14 Jul02 Jun10 May14 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
TE AMO Jun09 Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 Jul16 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
FACTORBELLA Jun02 May22 May04 Apr07 Feb10 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 112 6.00    
MADAME MISCHIEF Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 Jan06 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
WARWOMAN Jun08 May04 Apr06 Mar06 Feb11 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   06/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANTASTIC Jun05 May01       (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 116 15.00    
CRAFTY DON Jun08 May12 Jan31 Jan01 Nov29 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 30.00    
MAX'S GLORY Jun09 May19 Sep03 Aug27 Jul08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50    
AMORE D'ORO May26 Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 Nov21 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 3.00 27% 2.70    
FOREVER CHOCOLATE May26 Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00    
LIB'S CONTENTO Jun09 Oct05 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH MEADOW Jun09 Aug27 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jun09 May19 Jan10 Dec13 Sep04 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
CASH KID May26 May12 Oct13 Sep09 Aug27 (sweezey ke)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
 
MTH-7   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAMASO Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.00    
SCR  RUDA May17 Dec17 Nov25 Nov04 Sep03 (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 121 5.00    
SCR  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Apr20 Apr11 Feb22 Feb03 Apr12 (schultz linds)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00    
LADY ARSINOE Jun08 Apr21 Feb24 Dec31 Nov12 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00    
GO BIG GREEN Jun09 Apr19 Mar23 Feb17 Jan19 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
SCR  ALCOHOL Jan03 Dec15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep08 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 117 12.00    
ROYAL DAME Apr20 Feb24 Jan27 Dec28 Oct22 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
BENGALA JOY Jun20 Jan31 Jul11 May13 Mar26 (jimenez l)OLIVERO A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
KATIES A LADY Jun08 May04 Apr24 Apr13 Mar17 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
 
MTH-8   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACIFIC ROSE Mar09 Feb16 Dec09 Nov12 Oct07 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
CLOUT CHASER Jun11 May07 Mar20 Mar04 Feb20 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 30.00    
COOLCALM COLLECTED Jun07 May12 Oct08 Jul02 Jun03 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 122 3.00    
SASSY CHARLEE Apr24 Mar24 Feb11 Dec20 Nov29 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  FLOGE May26 May18 Apr27 Apr14 Apr06 (serey mar)VARGAS A 117 4.50    
SCR  PLEASANT EMBRACE Jun02 May04 Apr10 Mar13 Oct28 (breen kel)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
HOPESNDREAMS Jun01 May04 Apr10 Mar24 Mar10 (dini mike)BRAVO J 117 5.00 27% 2.70    
TAKE CHARGE CHLOE May26 Apr24 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.