Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/5)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/5/4)-(4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/2/3)-(6/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4)-(6/4/5)-(7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNY BUCKETS Apr09 Mar27 Mar12 Feb26   (silva-ma)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00 6% 15.00    
STREET MINISTER Apr08 Mar04       (bean a)ZUNINO L 125 12.00    
ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR Mar10 Feb10 Dec09 Nov18   (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 125 1.00 28% 2.50    
ABOVE THE REST Jul03         (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
CASH'S CAT Apr08 Mar18 Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 125 4.00    
 
EMD-2   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETHAN'S GIRL Mar27 Mar04 Feb21 Jan13 Dec09 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 1.60    
CHAMP OF PAGNE Jul23 Jul03       (martinez b)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 49% 1.00    
MANY MEMORIES Sep18 Sep03 May28 May14   (balcom cl)JENSEN P 122 15.00    
BULLETPROOF TOO Apr21 Mar09 May19 May05 Apr22 (gilmour jim)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
NATION'S BELLE Aug19 Jul23 May20 Sep17   (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
EMD-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET SAGA Jun25 May27 May13 Jun24   (wright blaine)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
GYPSY GUN Aug04 Jul14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 3.50    
AUTOCRAT Apr23 Feb10 Sep02 Jul22   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.80    
HALF THROTTLE Apr22 Mar30 Mar09 Jan27 Jan20 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
J C'S A LEGEND Apr03 Mar19 Feb27 Feb06 Nov24 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
EMD-4   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER SHANDEE Apr08 Mar25 Mar01 Jan21 May12 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
MOON TIME Apr09 Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 Jan18 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 2.50 13% 7.00    
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jul01 (johnston kimberl)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOLO PANIOLO Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Feb17   (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  DARK MYSTERY Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Feb03 Jan12 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
ARTHUR SPOONER Dec10 Oct30 Oct15 Oct08 Sep09 (madrig)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 12.00    
MY SUNSHINE Mar17 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 Jan20 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 122 3.50    
 
EMD-5   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG GONE SILVER Mar26 Mar12       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50    
ALLANTE Sep17 Aug27 Aug19     (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
PAKAS SECRET Mar29 Mar08 Feb17 Jan27   (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 20.00    
WAITINGATTHEBAR Mar31 Mar10       (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CONNECTER Jul30 Jul09 Jun25     (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 8.00    
DYNAMIC SECRET Sep03 Aug19 Aug05     (jenne bonnie)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
FAST TIMES         (wright blaine)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
IM GUNNA Oct21 Sep17 Aug31     (gilmour j)JENSEN P 119 10.00    
 
EMD-6   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUNCEY Sep17 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 122 2.50    
OVERLY FAST Sep17 Sep09 Aug18 Sep02 Jul30 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
BOSS OF THEMOSS Mar23 Mar10 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50    
CODE CHARLIE Nov18 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jul14 (madrig)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
FIREWALKER Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COASTAL JAZZ Apr13 Mar24 Feb10 Sep09 Aug20 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 122 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
EMD-7   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR LASS Mar20 Feb24 Feb04     (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINANYWAYUCAN Aug11 Jul29       (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50    
LADY MORMONT         (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 113 15.00    
MY MOTORHOME Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 Jan13 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 118 12.00    
HIDDEN TIGER         (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
ROCKIT A DAY Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 Jul29 Jul15 (martinez b)MONTALVO C 121 4.00    
DIPLOMATIC Apr06 Mar24 Feb24     (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.