Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/8/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6/3)-(2/6/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/6/3)-(2/6/5)-(2/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(2/7/6/1)-(1/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(1/7/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(1/7/5/3)-(1/3/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/5/3)-(1/3/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/3)-(1/3/9/5)-(3/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/5)-(3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/5)-(3/1/2)-(4/2/3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/2/3/7/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/2/3/7/6)-(6/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/2/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7/6)-(4/2/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7/6)-(4/2/3/7/6)-(4/2/3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7/6)-(6/4/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7/6)-(6/4/2)-(3/8/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9/7)-(3/8/1/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/04/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNAH BUCKLE (IRE)         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by BATED BREATH out of THOUGHTLESS MOMENT by PIVOTAL (GB))
ASHLEY Jan01 Nov19 Jul22     (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 6% 15.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOIABA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MOTET Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 Oct28 Oct07 (gomez rub)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
PARADISE LAKE Feb25         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TERRIFIC TREASURE by STREET CRY)
CRITICISM Feb16 Feb02 Nov26 Nov02   (damato philip)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of CARLETON GRINNELL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
NOTIME FOR SQUALLS Feb25         (glatt mark)BAZE C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GO JAMIE GO by HANSEN)
DASHINGLY         (shirreffs john)SMITH E 122 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIGER SILK by ALL AMERICAN)
NOT A SINNER (GB) Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Nov19 Oct14 (callaghan )VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LAND FORCE out of GOLDEN AMBER by GEMOLOGIST)
SABRES Oct06 Sep04 Jul23     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of POTESTA by MACHO UNO)
10  HYMNAL         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BRYAN'S JEWEL by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
SA-2   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL SWEET Feb24 Jan20 Jun02 May06 Mar19 (agarie ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Mar04 Jan28 Dec29 Dec10 Nov11 (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
VULIN Feb24 Jan13 Dec01 Nov17 Oct20 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 5.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Mar04 Feb15 Jan28 Dec29 Dec10 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
A BROKEN BREEZE Mar04 Jan28 Sep23 Apr22 Feb10 (harr)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 6% 14.80    
DE JORIA Mar04 Feb15 Jan27 Jan12 Dec01 (periban jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.80 9% 9.60    
 
SA-3   04/04/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE WAY         (landeros juan)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EVENING WIND by CURLIN)
LEGITIFY (IRE)         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MR FABRICATOR Feb25 Feb03 Sep02 Aug12   (mccarthy sean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PARTY OF FOUR by TALE OF THE CAT)
SERIES         (mccarthy mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FUTURE SHOW by MALIBU MOON)
WINSITWELL Feb23         (mend)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN HISTORY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SORRENTO SKY (IRE)         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by PRINCE OF LIR out of BRIARFIELD LADY by BATTLE OF MARENGO)
BARTHOLDY Mar16 Feb03 Nov10 Sep30   (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
OMEY ISLAND         (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ANGEL CRAFT by A.P. INDY)
 
SA-4   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 35 M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY CANDY Feb18 Dec19 Nov19 Oct31 Sep25 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 126 2.00 56% 0.80    
SPICY SPOUSE         (lopez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 118 12.00    
DANDY DAY         (peri)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BABY BLISS         (treece s)FREY KYLE 126 20.00    
MAX'S MAXINE Mar02 Feb11 Jan15     (fra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 4.00 8% 11.90    
DEVIL D' ORO         (palma hector )AYUSO ARMANDO 118 4.00    
HOT LAVA CAKE Feb18         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 10% 9.10    
 
SA-5   04/04/2024 6600ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL RHAPSODY (IRE) Feb24 Jan21 Nov23 Aug26 Jul27 (damato philip)SMITH E 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
VINCERO GRANDE Feb18 Jan21 Nov25 Oct22 Nov19 (puype mike)HERRERA A 124 8.00    
MIRARI Jan28 Oct26       (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
FREEDOM LASS Mar01 Oct29 Aug26 Jul23 Jun17 (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.00    
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) Mar03 Jan28 Nov09 Sep07 Aug12 (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUMINIFEROUS Dec30 Nov26 Oct28 Sep30 Sep03 (baltas richa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 15.00    
YARBOROUGH Mar01 Jan21 Nov23 Oct18 Sep06 (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 8.00    
SCR  SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE) Mar01 Jan21 Dec26 Nov10 Oct06 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
CORNELIA FORT Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Dec09 Nov23 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS DANZING Feb23 Feb01 Jan20 Jan06 Dec15 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
SHARP RIDE May26         (pederson dea)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
ELTONSINGSANOTHER Feb23 Jan19 Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SAND TO SEA Mar29 Mar15 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (stute gary)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
UNCONTROLLABLE Feb23 Feb03 May19 Mar03 Jan28 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
IRISH WAHINE Mar08 Feb23 Jan20 Jan12 Dec29 (trela rosemary)BAZE C 124 2.50    
 
SA-7   04/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Wilshire Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL DANCE Feb25 Aug12 May29 Apr01 Mar04 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ANN OF THE DANCE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SELENAIA (IRE) Sep03 Aug04 Jun10 May10 Sep24 (thomas jona)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DETTORIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
ASCENDANCY Mar14 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 15.00 9% 10.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
STAY AND SCAM Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec01 Nov04 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of PUFF PASTRY by MOMENTUM)
GLENALL (IRE) Sep09 Aug06 Jun24 May29 Apr01 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
  (by COULSTY out of FARRAN by FAST COMPANY (IRE))
NADETTE (FR) Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Nov11 Apr29 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 6% 15.80    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
TURNERLOOSE Dec15 Nov11 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00 8% 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Feb24 Jan21 Jun18 May06 Dec26 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of PILATES by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Jan14 Oct21 Sep17 Aug02 Jul03 (damato philip)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
  (by ADAAY out of ASIA MINOR by PIVOTAL (GB))
10  THIRTY CARATS Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 Oct28 Sep30 (hofmans david)ESPINOZA V 120 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
SA-8   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITALERA (CHI) Mar03 Feb02 Dec31 Nov04 Oct09 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 122 12.00    
WORTHY OF MAGIC Apr30 Apr07 Feb19 Jan29 Jan08 (gal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
FAYETTE FOX Mar11 Feb18 Jan22     (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
DELITEFULL HART Jun16 May14       (puype mike)SMITH E 122 2.00 13% 6.90    
BANGS Dec26 Nov28 Nov02 Jul04   (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 4.00    
MISS IVES Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May19 Apr21 (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
SA-9   04/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM American Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHANNES May06 Apr02 Mar05 Dec31 Nov26 (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
PARNELLI Jan19 Apr22 Jan28 Nov27 Jul30 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SIP SIP by SIPHON (BRZ))
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Nov04 Oct01 Sep02 Jul30 May29 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by BELARDO out of MAGNIFICA by MOUNTAIN CAT)
GENIUS JIMMY Mar03 Mar04 Feb04 Dec30 Dec04 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MS GIAVONNA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
WAR AT SEA Mar14 Dec26 Nov04 Oct28 Sep30 (ellis w)SMITH E 124 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SERENE MELODY by STREET CRY (IRE))
AIR FORCE RED Mar09 Jun10 Apr23 Mar04 Feb04 (powell leonard)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
SUMTER Mar09 Jan28 Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
FUERTEVENTURA Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 May29 (thomas jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CASANOVA STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
PRINCE ABAMA (IRE) Mar03 Feb05 Dec26 Nov25 Oct29 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABAMA LADY by MR. GREELEY)
10  IRIDEO (ARG) Mar09 Jan28 Dec03 Oct28 Sep30 (polanco marc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 12.00    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.