Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/2)-(1/7/8/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/2)-(1/7/8/2/4)-(1/7/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/8/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/2)-(1/6/3)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/5/1)-(4/5/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(7/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(7/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(7/5/1)-(8/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(8/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(8/6/7)-(6/4/2/3/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-6   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(6/4/2/3/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(6/4/2/3/10)-(1/3/4/9/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/4/2/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3/10)-(6/4/2/3/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3/10)-(6/4/2/3/10)-(6/4/2/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3/10)-(1/3/4/9/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
WRD-8   WIN (1/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/9/8)-(1/3/4/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/9/8)-(1/3/4/9/8)-(1/3/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANGILDER Feb15 Jan27 Dec15 Dec07 Oct28 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  LEGIONARY Feb19 Jan19 Dec16 Dec07 Apr24 (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET MEDICINE Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Sep23 Aug20 (williams f)KIMES C 122 12.00    
4  TIZHOTNDUSTY Dec21 Nov24 Oct19 Sep18 Sep03 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 122 10.00 ★    
5  JUST A IRISH LAD Feb25 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Dec07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50    
6  FREE MAKER Feb19 Jan13 Dec16 Aug28 Aug14 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 12.00    
7  LIARS CLUB Feb19 Jan19 Jan07 Dec15 Nov29 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  MINT Feb21 Jan19 Dec08 Nov20 Oct13 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 122 8.00 6% 15.40    
9  JACKS SPRING BREAK Feb25 Feb02 Dec17 Nov03 Oct04 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00    
 
WRD-2   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M CRENSHAW Feb18 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 Nov18 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  GOSPEL BUZZ Dec07 Nov18 May03 Apr10 Mar14 (williams ste)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 12.00    
3  CHEROKEE LEGACY Dec16 Nov24 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUE DOMINUS Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep27 Sep06 (boone patricia)BIRZER E 125 4.00    
5  EMERGENCY RESPONSE Feb18 Jan28 Dec16 Nov17 Nov05 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50    
6  MAJOR CONTENDER Feb18 Jan01 Dec16 Nov18 Oct26 (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
WRD-3   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEN JUDY CALLS Feb19 Dec09 Nov20 Oct20 Oct14 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Feb03 Jan15 Dec30 Dec09 Oct25 (cogburn l)KIMES C 122 0.80 56% 0.80    
3  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Sep08 Aug25 Jul19 Jun21 Apr24 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
4  PREACH IT GIRL Jan05 Oct21 Oct12 Sep09 Aug28 (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00    
5  TIFFANY TWIST Dec15 Nov14 Oct25 Oct07 Sep24 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 1.20 15% 5.50    
 
WRD-4   03/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST JET Dec07 Nov11 Oct06 Sep21 May09 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 14% 6.20    
2  KYEMBEA Dec13 Nov20 Oct19 Sep27 Sep06 (brooks)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 12.00    
3  SAZON Dec14 Nov30 Nov13 Oct26 Sep30 (espiritu lucio)BIRZER E 125 8.00    
4  DRAG MALIBU Feb16 Jan19 Nov30 Nov10 Oct19 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  RAHM Feb10 Nov25 Oct15 Aug26 Jul28 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00 15% 5.50    
6  MINGUS Dec14 Nov25 Nov13 Oct19 Aug19 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00    
7  SLICK COUNTRY BOY Dec13 Oct07 Aug26     (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN SOCIAL Feb21 Feb10 Jan13 Dec18 Nov24 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEL MOON Dec17 Nov11 Oct27 Sep28 Aug26 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00    
3  NOISE COMPLAINT Dec07 Nov11 Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
SCR  UPTOWN HUSTLER Jan25 Dec13 Dec01 Nov13 Oct07 (hewitt michae)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 6.00    
5  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Jan26 Jan01 Dec03 Oct20 Sep14 (johnston d)BIRZER E 125 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  CLASSIC BET Jan25 Dec18 Dec03 Nov09 Oct14 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
7  C W PRIZE Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 Oct06   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
WRD-6   03/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDS R LUCKY Jun28 May15       (offolter s)LANDEROS C 125 8.00    
SCR  THREEOFAKIND Feb09 Jan13       (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
3  HEXCEL Feb11 Jan06 Nov20 Nov03 Oct21 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 ★    
4  QUIET JOURNEY Dec08         (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
5  OLD TOBY Jul13 Jun14 May30 May15 Apr29 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 8.00    
6  ADMIRAL RISTY Feb10 Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 Sep14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  GOSPEL TRUMPET Nov01 Oct05 Sep06 Dec16 Dec02 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUIT OF WANDS Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Dec30 Nov25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
WRD-7   03/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL CHOSEN Nov02 Oct04 Nov04 Sep16   (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 15.00    
2  SEXY BROWN Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 Sep07 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.00 13% 6.60    
3  SWEET ATTITUDE Feb19 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep07 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 125 4.00 10% 9.20    
4  RAINBOW ANGEL Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 Oct05   (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Feb17 Dec28 Dec14 Nov09 Oct20 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
6  OKIE LOVE Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep23   (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 30% 2.40    
7  KEEN INTENTION Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Oct11   (williams alan)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
8  MAYBE DOLCIE Dec14 Sep30       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 12.00    
9  OKIE TROUBLE Dec14 Oct20 Sep24 Aug18   (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
10  RAINBOW SMILES Dec09 Dec01 Nov21 Nov10 Oct18 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT STRETCH Dec08 Nov17 Sep23 Aug18 Jul22 (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of NOELLE'S QUAY by CIRCULAR QUAY)
2  LADY RASHEN Dec14 Dec02 Nov09 Oct25 Sep30 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of THIRTY ONE AD by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  HOORAY FOR CREDIT Feb23 Feb04 Dec16 Nov14 Nov02 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
4  READY Feb19 Dec14 Dec02 Oct05 Sep01 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
5  LET HER BUCK Feb19 Jan27 Dec14     (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ADDABUCK by BELONG TO ME)
6  GOSPEL BLOSSOM Dec08 Aug18       (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
7  HOT CHOCOLATE Feb10 Nov30       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  GOSPEL EXPRESSION Dec08 Nov02 Oct14 Apr11 Mar20 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
9  CODE OF THE SOUTH Dec14         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
  (by CODE WEST out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
10  MYSTICAL CODE Dec16 Nov02 May16 Apr25   (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 10.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
11  GIRLS A LEGACY Dec02 Nov09 Oct05 Sep23   (biehler e)KIMES C 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ELITE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  MIZ RITHYM Feb04         (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of MIZOES READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.