Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/6/3/7)-(5/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/7)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/7)-(5/2/7)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(6/5/1)-(4/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(4/1/6/2)-(6/8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(6/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(7/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/2)-(7/1/5)-(6/9/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(6/9/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-8   WIN (6/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME BEAN Jul03 Jun17       (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 117 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  ALL AROUND COWBOY Jan05 Dec16       (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 4.50    
3  FLAT OUT PERFECT Feb03         (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  HE'S CHARMING Feb09 Jun04 May20 May07   (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 0.80    
SCR  SNIMM Aug29         (hurley ti)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
6  TRICKTONITE Feb09         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
HOU-2   02/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 35 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA D'ORO Feb04 Jun17       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ATREIDES out of FALLEN ARCHES by ARCH)
2  SOLECITA Feb11 Feb03 Apr22     (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
3  RIVER'S END Feb03 Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 May12 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 8% 11.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
4  SHE'S CANDIFIED Feb10         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WHAT LOLA WANTS by DON'T GET MAD)
5  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Jun11 May21 Feb26 Jan06   (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 123 12.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
6  GOLDEN SLEW Feb03 Aug19 Jun03 May12 May19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SEEKING SIMPLICITY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  TAKE MY PICTURE Jan05         (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of FREE N CLEAR by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  GHURAIR IS JIM Jan05         (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
 
HOU-3   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA UP Feb10 Nov17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep16 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00    
2  SHARP LIKENESS Sep16 Jun23 May20     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00 29% 2.50    
3  ROUGH CREEK Jan20 Nov01 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 122 3.00    
4  ASTERN MAID Dec14 Nov30 Nov17 Nov01   (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
5  MISS GOLD Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov10 Oct11 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SHE'S EXTRA Dec28 Oct18 Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
7  COPPER KAN Jul01 Jun16 May28     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
HOU-4   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL AMERICAN LADY Jan28 Jan05 Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  CAN'T ZAP THIS Jan28 Dec01 Nov14     (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SUNRISE GLOW by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  UNRIVALED TREASURE Feb04 Nov09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  RED ROSE CAFE Jan27 Dec08 Nov17     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FREE BIRD FLY by BIANCONI)
5  UNLUCKY IN LOVE Jan28 Nov25 Nov02 Oct11   (coats t)DIEGO V 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COWGIRL IN LOVE by COWBOY CAL)
6  PANTHERA Jan28 Dec01 Nov10 Sep22 Aug18 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
 
HOU-5   02/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIEIS BLUE Jan20 Dec08 Nov29 Nov11 Nov04 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  CHA CHA MISSION Jan20 Nov17 Sep22 Aug12 Mar12 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  REBEL CONSORT Dec23 Dec01 Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 (werneth robert )GLASS DERBE 116 10.00    
4  MOONLIGHT RAIN Jan12 Nov30 Nov17 Jul03 Jun05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  LOOKIN AT KISSES Jan28 Dec01 Oct06 Sep08 Aug11 (werneth a)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
6  GASTOWN Jan20 Jan05 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  MAYAPRETTY Jun03 May05 Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 (ascencio j)MORALES X 121 30.00    
SCR  STELLACZAR Feb10 Nov04 Sep24 Aug18 Jun24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40    
 
HOU-6   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT LAVENDER Feb11 Feb03 Jun23 Feb25 Feb10 (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
2  MEGAN'S MISS Oct12 Sep14       (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 15.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MO TOM out of PRINCESS MEG by WALESA)
3  J J JAZZ Feb11         (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC JAZZ out of G. T. RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
4  MUCH ALOHA Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct27 Oct14 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SIGNALPATH by ESKENDEREYA)
5  BALI GIRLEE Feb03 Nov25 Nov10 Oct04   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 9% 10.40    
  (by BAL A BALI out of LISALISALEE by DISCO RICO)
6  LIBBIES BABY Feb03 Jul23 Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
SCR  RON'S LAVENDER Feb11 Sep12 Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 3.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
8  MIZZ FACTOR Feb03 Dec07       (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
9  FREE DROP GYPSY Jan26 Jul01 Jun15 May29 Apr15 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 30.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of DOC'S GYPSY by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
HOU-7   02/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BRADY Feb09 Sep09 Aug06 May13 Apr02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Feb11 Jan19 Dec01 Oct14 Sep29 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 12.00    
3  HAP HOT Jan26 Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 Sep02 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.50    
4  COUSIN LARRY Dec14 Nov09 Sep30 Sep11 Jul19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
5  GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Jan27 Dec29 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00 9% 10.60    
6  JALEN JOURNEY Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 Oct28 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.20    
7  PINKY RING BLING Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov21 Nov03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
HOU-8   02/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANOR BORN Feb02 Jun16 Jun02 May06 Apr27 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
2  DRIVEHAPPY Feb04 Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 Sep23 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
3  GO SPEED RACER GO Feb11 Jan06 Nov03 Sep29 Aug31 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAUTICAL MOON Dec09 Nov20 Nov03 Oct14 Jun24 (bravo franci)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
5  RODEO CHAMP Jan28 Jan12 Nov14 Sep23 Sep07 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
6  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Feb10 Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  SOUL SACRIFICE Dec15 Nov17 Oct11 Sep08 Aug26 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
8  BROCK ON BY Feb10 Nov04 Aug07 Jul24 May29 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 10% 8.70    
9  SEDUCTIVE U S A Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 Dec01 Nov23 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  QUARTERBACK DAK Sep27 Sep09 Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.