Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/8/9/3)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/9/3)-(4/6/3)-(6/4/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/10)-(4/6/3/10) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/4/2)-(1/7/11/5/4) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/2)-(1/7/11/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(1/7/11/5/4)-(4/8/9/1/5) 75 $0.20 $15.00 
WO-4   WIN (1/7/11/5/4) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (1/7/11/5/4)-(1/7/11/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/11/5/4)-(1/7/11/5/4)-(1/7/11/5/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/11/5/4)-(4/8/9/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/7/11/5/4)-(4/8/9/1/5)-(2/3/1) 75 $0.20 $15.00 
WO-5   WIN (4/8/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/1/5)-(4/8/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/1/5)-(4/8/9/1/5)-(4/8/9/1/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/9/1/5)-(2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/1/5)-(2/3/1)-(6/4/1/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/4/1/7)-(14/5/8/13/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(14/5/8/13/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WO-8   WIN (14/5/8/13/1) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (14/5/8/13/1)-(14/5/8/13/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/5/8/13/1)-(14/5/8/13/1)-(14/5/8/13/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXENSIS Nov18 Oct26 Oct08 Sep21 Aug26 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 3.00    
UNDER BUDGET Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug12 (edwards keith)HOYTE JASON 121 12.00    
CITRINA Nov11         (pion sylvain)MUNGER RYAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT PATSY Nov18 Oct12       (attard tino)WENC C 118 10.00    
LADIES RUM Nov23 Oct26 Oct05     (lopez shan)CAMPOS LUIS 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
GOOD BYE NEW YORK Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 Aug28 Aug01 (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 10.00    
MADAM GWEN Nov10         (holder)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
WORKING HOLIDAY Nov10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug20 (dixon patrick)AEBLY FRASER 113 3.50 13% 6.70    
SISTER COUSIN Oct28 Sep09 May06 Apr15   (chircop ste)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
WO-2   11/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN RUBY Oct26 Oct13 Sep07 Aug24 Jul08 (sadler h)HOYTE JASON 123 10.00    
GORMLEY GIRL Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 (buttigieg m)CRAWFORD J 123 20.00    
SPANISH BEAUTY Nov23 Nov04 Oct12 Aug24 Jul13 (huarte frank)SALLES LEO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
VALLEY GIRL Nov04 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Sep29 (morden richard)AEBLY FRASER 118 6.00 46% 1.20    
REINS OF PURPLE Nov03 Oct19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug03 (krczmar ze)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00    
TIS A PITY Nov16 Oct29 Apr22 Nov19 Oct23 (cox)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
TAYLORMOON Nov16 Nov02 Oct14 Sep28 Aug26 (kierans rene)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 8.00    
SCR  WAKE UP MAGGIE Nov04 Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug10 (ladauceur )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 118 20.00    
SPARKLE SAMMY Oct17 Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 Aug03 (chirco)ALDERSON IAN 121 4.00    
10  RIFLING Nov23 Nov04 Oct05 Sep14 Aug05 (simon stuart)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.00    
 
WO-3   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M PHANTOM Oct07 Sep14 Aug05 Jul02 Oct09 (depaulo michael)VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00    
HIGH TREASON Nov10 Oct26 Sep01 Aug12 Jul14 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 7% 13.80    
FOREVER DANISH Nov10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep01 Aug12 (leblanc wa)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 8.00    
MUCHO MISSTIQUE Nov02 Sep14 Oct14     (attard c)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
WILD QUEENIE Nov17         (depaulo michael)HOYTE JASON 119 20.00    
LOOKHOWPRETTY Nov17 Oct07 Aug03     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
TAKE CHANCES Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (paterson marjo)STEIN JUSTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  MARDENE Oct21 Oct01 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (pion sylvain)MUNGER RYAN 124 2.00    
 
WO-4   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR IS GOLDEN Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 Sep10 Aug04 (tha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
KATCHY NAME Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 Sep14 Aug18 (rycroft riley)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50    
MI TORMENTA Nov16 Oct20 Oct05 Aug24 Jul20 (armata)ALDERSON IAN 121 8.00    
GREEN GABLES Nov09 Oct17 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 (clemmer krista)CRAWFORD J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Nov09 Oct02 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY SUZIE Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 (samulak julia )JOHNSON KIRK 121 20.00    
CHARLOTTE'S SILVER Oct26 Oct13 Sep26 Aug05 Jun22 (siddo barringt)AEBLY FRASER 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
FRESH DREAMS Oct26 Oct09 Oct02 Sep07 Aug08 (armata v)ADAMS AUSTIN 113 20.00    
AIRY FAIRY Nov16 Oct26 Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 (crook )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 20.00    
10  PACENZA Nov05 Oct17 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (humber josep)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00    
11  I'LL TAKE THE GOLD Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 (eshelman bonn)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 5.00 6% 15.50    
 
WO-5   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK IT BABY         (mcpherson alex)FLORES ESWAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIAM'S AWESOME Jul13 Jun22 Jun11 May21 Nov19 (chartrand-hoek )HOYTE JASON 119 10.00    
CRYSTAL THE PISTOL Nov11 Jul16 Jun25     (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 119 8.00    
CHERRY GARDENS Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Sep14 Aug18 (brooks)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 114 4.50 42% 1.40    
SHAMELESS AFFAIR Nov09 Oct21 Oct07 Sep14   (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAPPING A RHYTHM Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 Aug05 Jul16 (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 121 10.00    
ALL FOR HONOR Oct28 Oct12 Sep16 Aug20   (polsinelli)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 20.00    
CRIMSON NIGHTS Nov09 Sep30 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
GHOSTLY PERFECTION Nov18 Oct21 Sep30     (tiller p)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00 10% 9.10    
10  CENTENARY Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 (minshall barba)STEIN JUSTIN 121 4.00    
11  NEOLITHIC NATION Nov09 Oct21 Oct10 Sep30 Sep16 (lepiane pau)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 
WO-6   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR SAMUEL Oct14 Oct01 Sep08 Aug13 Jul07 (macrae donald )STEIN JUSTIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL MUSTARD Nov03 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
BASKETBALL JONES Nov16 Aug13 Jul23 May28 Nov13 (day)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
GOODLUCKMATE Nov12 Oct22 Sep29 Jul30 Dec11 (attfield r)CAMPOS LUIS 123 10.00    
SILVER SMOKE Nov03 Oct08 Sep24 Aug06 Jul09 (morden richard )VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00    
GUARD OF HONOUR Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 Sep02 Jul15 (hinckson marti)FLORES ESWAN 125 8.00    
LESLIE CHOW Nov03 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug06 (minshall barbar)MUNGER RYAN 121 3.00    
 
WO-7   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET MADDELENA Nov09 Oct20 Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 119 6.00 14% 6.40    
MISS BOBBIT Nov09 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (colbourne)SEECHARAN A 121 12.00    
GIVE ME THE BOOTS Nov04 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul22 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 116 3.50    
KHOZZY VALINTINE Nov05 Oct13 Oct02 Sep05 Jul25 (mcpher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
HIT AND RUN Nov16 Oct26 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 (mattine john)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00    
NO WHAMMIE Jul15 Jun02 May19 Dec10 Oct30 (dunslow a)VIVES SOFIA 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
DETERMINED LOVE Oct16 Aug08 Jun18 Jun06 Jan28 (johnston t)ELLIS S 121 20.00 5% 18.00    
OHEAVENS Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 (vassil)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 121 10.00    
 
WO-8   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ A SEALY Oct26 Oct12 Aug03 Jul09 Jun17 (rombis e)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STANDING STRONG Nov09         (zita danny)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 20.00    
LOOK AT LIL SISTER Nov17 Oct26 Sep30     (attard c)VIVES SOFIA 116 10.00    
SEATTLE SIGNAL Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 Sep16 Aug18 (cowper)ALDERSON IAN 121 30.00    
T'PRING Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 (cole-simpson k)AEBLY FRASER 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
CASTLETON Nov10 Oct12 Sep28 Sep01 Aug10 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 121 20.00    
SAKE AND SUSHI Nov10 Sep21 Aug04 Jul01 May26 (billers geor)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00    
JIMMY IS A BREEZE Nov17 Oct26 Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 12.00 10% 8.50    
SCR  SMART IRENE Nov17 Nov10 Oct17 Oct09 Sep28 (samulak julia )JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00    
10  BLACKMARSH Nov17 Sep28 May07     (burry lisa)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 30.00    
11  GUNNAWIN Nov17 Nov02 Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 (katryan abraha)FLORES ESWAN 121 6.00    
12  ROYAL CHROME Nov10 Jul01 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 (gordon kadain )ADAMS AUSTIN 112 20.00    
13  SWEEPING PASSION Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 (dixon patr)CAMPOS LUIS 121 8.00 6% 14.90    
14  SMOKEN CHLOE Nov10 Oct26 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 (mcclachrie den)STEIN JUSTIN 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.