Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/1/4)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/2)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/1)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/6/7)-(1/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-5   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(1/6/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(1/5/4)-(7/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FNO-8   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING FELON Sep02 Aug12 Jul23     (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SONOMA BRED by ALL THE GEARS)
2  DEFENSOR FORTIS Sep18 Aug05 Jun18 May19   (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  SMILING PREACHER Sep16 Aug27 Aug19     (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of PULPIT PREACHER by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul07 Jun24 (mcdaniel l)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
  (by WINNING CAUSE out of LEAPS 'N BOUNDS by VRONSKY)
5  RESERVE PROOF Sep17 Sep02 Aug03 Jul09 May27 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of ROSSI RESERVE by EDDINGTON)
 
FNO-2   10/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR SPOONER Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  PERFORMATIVE Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  NUESTRO ENGREIDO Sep04 Aug12 Jul21 Jun17 Dec26 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 3.50    
4  GRIT AND CURIOSITY Aug27 Jul21 May05 Apr15 Mar19 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 121 8.00 10% 8.70    
5  SPEEDING STYLE Jul08 Jun23 May21 Apr02 Mar19 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 121 10.00    
6  HARBOR SKY Sep02 Jul29 Jul21 Jun30 May27 (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 121 2.50    
 
FNO-3   10/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MIRACLE MAN Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00    
2  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Sep18 Sep02 Aug04 Jul04 Jun04 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  HEAT N REHEAT Sep24 Sep04 Jul09 May27 Apr29 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  STORMIN GALILEO Sep24 Sep02 Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 121 2.50    
5  SUNNY SPOT Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul04 (preciado guillermo)RADKE K 119 10.00    
 
FNO-4   10/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASQUATCH RIDE Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 (greiner gar)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 12.00 20% 4.00    
2  EL BERRINCHES Sep16 Aug05 Jul29 May29 May05 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 3.00    
3  RIVER'S BEHEST Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr14 Apr01 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.00    
4  BEAU MISCHIEF Sep03 Aug18 Jul15 Jun25 May27 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
5  NAUGHTY NIKO Sep16 Aug26 Jun17 May29 Apr29 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 2.00    
SCR  INDIANERA Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jun10 Apr15 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.50    
 
FNO-5   10/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MATY Sep17         (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 117 10.00    
2  SINGING N DANZING         (tamayo is)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 6.00    
3  JOEY BRACKETS Sep17         (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  CLICKING         (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 117 6.00    
5  ELEGANT BOY Sep18 Aug27 Aug06     (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 2.50    
6  BY MY SIDE         (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 120 5.00 13% 6.60    
7  CRAZY STORM         (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SIX HOT GRANDS Sep24         (stortz marcia)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
 
FNO-6   10/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEIN'S GIRL Sep18 Aug28 Jul02 May28 May06 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 1.80 68% 0.50    
2  ELEGANCE CODE Sep10 Aug28 Aug05 Jun30 Jun03 (rivera leobar)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50    
3  LILA AT THE BEACH Sep11 Aug11 Jun16 May19 Mar31 (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 125 5.00    
4  ST HELENA Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 (preciado guill)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.50    
5  LIGHT UP Sep10 Aug03 Jul02 May13 Apr23 (rondan fe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUVAHAPPYENDING Sep17 Sep10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul23 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 10.00 6% 14.50    
 
FNO-7   10/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LAD Jul23 Jul02 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  ARTEMUS GORDON Jun24 May28 Apr24 Mar27 Feb13 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 4.00    
3  JEDI KNIGHT Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul28 Jul02 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
4  COUNTING CARDS Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Sep02 Aug05 (trujillo victor )PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 5% 18.90    
5  BLAZING JAMIE Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (delima cli)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 127 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  TRINIDAD Sep23 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 (hansen roger)RADKE K 122 5.00    
 
FNO-8   10/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CINDERELLAS PRINCE Mar26 Feb25 Jan29 Apr03 Feb18 (delima c)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
2  OBVIOUS Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
3  DR PESCADO Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 2.50    
4  EMERALD MAGIC Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Feb17 Jan16 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 12.00    
5  MIGHTY MATT Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 (hobson simon)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Sep09 Aug18 Jan26 Dec15 Nov28 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
7  MUAY THAI (IRE) Jul23 Jun16 May27 Apr23 Mar26 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.00 47% 1.10    
8  MOB BOSS Sep16 Sep02 Jul07 Jun17 May05 (bonde jeff)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.