Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(2/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/5/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(1/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/3/1)-(11/4/5/10/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(11/4/5/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-8   WIN (11/4/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A DAB WILL DO Jul24 Jul04 Nov21 Oct26 Oct10 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
2  STARTED WITH STARS Aug02 Jun21 Jan13 Nov30 Oct11 (englehart je)HARKIE K 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  BOXED IN AND BORED Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 May16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY Jul03 Jun19 May17 May09 Mar27 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
5  TREATHERLIKESTAR Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 Nov21 Nov02 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
6  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00    
7  WINTER SIREN Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul05 Jun27 (lopez d)DIAZ J 115 15.00    
 
FL-2   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET THE PALACE         (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVE TO GAMBLE by BRAHMS)
SCR  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  STRAWBERRY KWIK Aug12         (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of BUTCH'S MANGO by GIANT GIZMO)
3  DO THE HUSTLE         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.50    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of PATERSON by UNCLE MO)
4  MISCHIEF EXPOSED         (caramori)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  ALWAYS DIALED Aug10         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of CAROLINA HONEY by CURLIN)
6  SEMINOLE CHIEF         (sisterson jack)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SECRET SONG by DUNKIRK)
 
FL-3   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL PEBBLES Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 Jun21 May31 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 5.00    
SCR  BUSTED CREDIT Aug09 Jul12 Oct10 Aug29 Aug15 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50    
3  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Aug07 Jul12 Jun19 May09 Apr25 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  TRIVIA Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun19 (breed de)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (begg )HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 2.00    
6  WABAUNSEE Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Sep01 Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 Jun10 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MATT DOYLE Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 Feb11 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  CASHEL KITTEN Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 Oct19 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
4  SORPRESO Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jun25 Jun01 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.00    
5  ANGELIC MISSION Aug28 Jul31 Jun28 Jun12 Nov15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun04 May14 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 121 12.00    
7  BANCO MEDICI Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun12 May24 (sparling wayne)VENTURA JOSE 124 3.50    
 
FL-5   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLURE FORTUNE Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  HOLIDAY JAZZ Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 May31 May16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  CLIFDEN PUNCH Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul19 Jul03 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
4  SWEET BLINDNESS Aug09 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 Jan25 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  UNICORN SALLY Aug09 Jul04 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
6  INOUAINTALKINTOME Aug28 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 5.00    
SCR  STARSHIP PRECIOUS Jul24 May16 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 8.00    
 
FL-6   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKA ROLLING STONE         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00 9% 9.90    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of REPREIVE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
1A  STONE POWER         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 4.00 ★    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of SHUFFLE THE DECK by HIGH YIELD)
2  IXODES Aug15 Aug01       (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 2.50 ★    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SMARTLEE AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
3  SHEZENTICING Aug15 Aug01       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
4  ENSUING GRACE         (sparling wayne )DIAZ J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of NANCY PANTS by IT'S A BIRD)
5  JOYFUL SOUL Aug15         (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAUSEWAY GHOST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  CITI KITTY Aug15         (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of CATS HALO by FREUD)
7  FLUTE SONG         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLUTIE by TAPIZAR)
 
FL-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS BANKER Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WAHEEL Aug14 Jul18 Jun14 Jan12 Dec10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
3  GIMMEDAMONEY Aug29 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  HIGH TONE Aug26 Aug16 Jul14 Jul03 May19 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 1.80    
5  CAN'T BEAT ME Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 May09 Apr01 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00    
SCR  BEACHSIDE Aug28 Aug07 Jul05 Jun19 May30 (schudlick mic)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
7  CANDYROCK Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
 
FL-8   09/11/2023 6600ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT FROST Aug31 Aug17 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 (caramori eduard)DAVIS KATIE 117 12.00    
2  MATTY'S EXPRESS Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jun14 May30 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
3  FLAT BILL Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 115 20.00    
4  OUR MAN MIKE Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  KODIAK BROWN Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 Oct19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00 11% 7.70    
6  O K GAME ON Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 (huertas nirka)DAVILA A 117 20.00    
7  KINGFISH Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 Nov16 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
8  THIS CAT CAN FLY Jul19 Jun19 Nov23 Nov15 Oct24 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
9  MISTER LARRY Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 116 20.00    
10  PARADE FIELD Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 (lecesse )DAVIS A 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
11  TRIVISTA Aug28 Aug02 Jul11 May23 May14 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 116 6.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.