Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/1/3)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/6/5)-(4/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/9)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/9)-(7/1/4)-(1/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/10/5)-(1/8/6/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP FOR ADVENTURE Jul31 Jul04 Jun20 May23 Nov23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
GAMBLING MAN Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Aug17 Jul08 (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
STORMANDY Aug09 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 May11 (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 2.00    
HANGOUT Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May29 May16 (mastin kath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
LORENZEN Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May24 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
HOT ROD LINCOLN Aug09 Jul12 Jun20 May12 May06 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
FL-2   08/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GOT GAME Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 Jun02 May09 (ronen assaf)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 8.00    
COUPS DE PARTY Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Aug01 Jun27 May31 May16 Apr24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 6% 14.50    
TREATHERLIKESTAR Jul24 Jun19 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
MISS PAB Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun19 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNI LOVES A FIGHT Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 Nov15 Oct26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Aug09 Jan15 Dec30 Dec18 Nov21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00    
 
FL-3   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARSAICHI Jul31 Jul04 May31 May17 Oct24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 118 3.50 17% 4.70    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jul04 Jun21 May23 May08 Mar22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.00    
THIN LEGS Jul12 May17 Apr25 Oct31 Feb25 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
TASTY WAVE Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 Oct05 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 12.00    
LITTLE MS SUNSHINE Jul24 Jun26       (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Jul31 Jul17 Jun21 May29 May08 (acquila)NAVARRO J 118 6.00    
 
FL-4   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE FORTUNE Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 Nov02 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00    
THE NEW MIAMI Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 15.00    
SALOON GIRL Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May29 (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 6.00    
FAST FRAN Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 May08 Nov21 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
BANKERS DAUGHTER Aug02 Jul19 Jun26 May29 May16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SHALLOTS Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 May31 May22 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50 9% 10.50    
REMOANE Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 2.00    
 
FL-5   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISAIAH ISAIAH Nov15 Nov02 May16     (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
BOSSHIP Aug01 Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 4.00    
PREPARE FOR GLORY Aug07 Jul12 Jun26 May30 Nov07 (lecesse mich)HARKIE K 124 3.00    
MASSEY HALL Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 120 8.00 40% 1.50    
TOMMY THE TORCH Aug08 Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 May16 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun05 Nov01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
PREFERRED OUTCOME Aug07 Jul11 Jun05 May23 May09 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 5.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  I LOVE JAXSON Jul12 Jun05 May24 May15 Apr12 (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50    
 
FL-6   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHGATE         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
  (by ALPHA out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
GO GET THE BAG Jul17 Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar30 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TOURIST out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
TUNNEL VISION Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 May13 Mar18 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CROAGH PATRICK         (buckley)NAVARRO J 120 12.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
PEANUTBUTTERTOAST Aug07 Jul10 Jun26     (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of SPRING LIGHTNING by SPRING AT LAST)
SUPPORT THE CAT Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
THE CATILLAC KID Jul24 Jun05 May15 Jan21 Dec11 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  UNCLE KENDRIC         (breed ronal)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 8.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GONNA BE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
STEERAGE Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 May15 May02 (thompson ma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
  (by ASTERN out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FL-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTING CREDIT Jul24 Jun19 May23 May02   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50    
1A  FLOWING RIVER Jul10 Jun09 Apr16 Mar19 Feb26 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
GOD BLESS AMERICA Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  TACONY ROAD Aug07 Jul17 Jun28     (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
GOLD IN THEM HILLS Feb20 Jan15 Nov02 Oct17 Sep26 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 Oct19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  JUGGLER Aug02 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr22 (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
HE'S GOT THE JACK Nov16 Nov02       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
FL-8   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD CONNECTION Jul11 Jun26 Jun14 May31 May02 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 5.00 40% 1.50    
AUTOMATED TELLER Jul26 Jun26 Jun15 May30 May08 (sabine michae)DAVILA A 124 20.00    
ONE FLASHY GIRL Aug24 Aug03       (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
PALS ALLY Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
MIDMON Aug02 Jul03 Jun20 May23 May08 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00    
ROSEBUD RYDE Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
AFTER ALPHA Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
ROZ Aug02 Jun13 May08 Apr25 Nov23 (schudlick mi)HARKIE K 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
WINE TRAIL Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 20.00    
10  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 May23 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.