Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAR-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAR-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-5   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-8   WIN (9/3/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/6/7)-(9/3/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/6/7)-(9/3/4/6/7)-(9/3/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERRY TIME Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 May20   (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00    
  (by TEMP out of SAJARA by FORESTRY)
2  BABY YATTA Jul03         (delorme c)PINEDA G 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of UNIQUE HEART by BASEBALL CARD KID)
3  LENNOX THE GREAT Jun24 Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 Sep19 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 0.60 52% 0.90    
  (by GREAT EXUMA out of NEAUX DANZE by DANZATAME)
4  P K'S PEANUT Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 Jul24 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of STRICTLY CLASSY by OLD FASHIONED)
5  ROADSTAR KING Jun18 Jun04 Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 (delorme marcu)TARASENCO P 126 3.50    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of ROADSTAR DANCER by LAKESHORE ROAD)
 
FAR-2   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMA Jul23 Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 Jun11 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 121 2.00 18% 4.40    
2  MARIAHS STAR Jul08 Jun10 Jul31 Jul03 Jun25 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 121 1.40    
SCR  VLOCK Jul23 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 8.00    
4  MISSEN THE POINT Jul14 Jun25 Jun17 May19 Sep05 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  SCOOTER FLASH Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 May12 Mar19 (haar amanda)PINEDA G 124 9.00    
6  GOLDEN STAR ROCK Jul23 Jul14 Jun25 Jun25 Jun18 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 9.00 15% 5.70    
 
FAR-3   07/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGGLEBOX         (moody skip)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 30.00    
2  SHARP CONTRAST Jul22 Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 Jul30 (cavanaugh perr)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BETTY'S BAR Jul08 Jun21 May29 May02 Apr19 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
4  OUR PETUNIA Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 May21 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
5  MISS WILDCAT Jul14 Jun16 Jun04 May27 Feb18 (moody skip)FRINK D 126 5.00    
6  FLAMING INDY Jul23 Jul14 Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 (allery mark)WOOD DAKOTA 126 9.00 5% 19.00    
7  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Sep12 Aug30 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 2.00    
 
FAR-4   07/29/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANY ROSES Jun17 May27 May06 Apr11 Mar25 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 117 4.00    
2  DAVE Jul14 Jun17 May12 Apr21 Apr02 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  VESTED CREEK Jul22 Jul14 Jun11 Jun04 Apr29 (dolphus junior)WOOD DAKOTA 121 15.00    
4  ACCOUSTICAL Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 Jun11 Apr23 (dolphus junior)FRINK D 121 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  ALL FOR TRUTH Jul23 Jul14 Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 (cavanaugh per)TARASENCO P 119 1.60 28% 2.60    
6  MR. WHITE Jul14 Jun04 Sep19 Aug09 Jul26 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 124 9.00    
 
FAR-5   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT THE BOSS Jul16 Jun24 May19 Dec28 Nov22 (haar j)TARASENCO P 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  P R COMIN IN HOT Jul23 Jul14 Jun24 Jul31 Jul02 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 121 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  RIVER CHARMER Jul23 Jul14 Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 121 2.50    
SCR  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 May30 Apr28 (dolphus junior)FRINK D 121 9.00 5% 19.00    
5  HANDY BOY Jul23 Jul14 Mar26 Mar03 Aug02 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 4.50    
6  A P GUNNER Jul23 Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 Jul31 (dolphus jun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 30.00    
7  EXODUS AND HOPE Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 May14 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 121 10.00    
8  LEIGHTON'S TRAIL Jun18 Jun26 Jun11     (cavanaugh perry)HERMAN EVAN 126 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
FAR-6   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Futurity Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jun25 Jun11       (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 9.00 34% 1.90    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
2  BENJAMIN'S DANCE Jun25         (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
SCR  RACHELLE'S MEMORY         (backhaus leigh)ZIEGLER ZACK 119 12.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SWEETEST NICKI by NICK (CHI))
4  SCARLET MOON Jun25 Jun11       (martin dean)PINEDA G 119 4.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
5  BEE A BALI         (haar j)FRINK D 119 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BEE BUG by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  CRAFTY SUE Jun25         (deshazo lac)CERVANTES URIEL 119 0.80 37% 1.70    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of TSUNAMI GIRL by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  KORRA'S BREEZE Jun25 Jun11       (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 119 3.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
 
FAR-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Stallion Stakes Derby Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDERSROYALDANCE Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 8.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of TOPPER TOO by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
2  IMAGINE DRAYGON Jun04 Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 Jun30 (backhaus lexon)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 4.50    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of B L'S WAGON by B L'S APPEAL)
3  DIAMOND MISSY Jul01 Sep10 Aug31     (rhone bern)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of VUMBURA by IN EXCESS (IRE))
4  BOOOGER CAUSEWAY Jul15 Jun25       (horst scot)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of STARSHIP MISCHIEF by GONE ASTRAY)
5  EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun04 (backhaus lexon)MORIN RYAN 124 6.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of BIG CATS ECHO by KING CHA CHA)
6  DENDROLOGY'S BEAR Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 Jul03 Jun18 (longie robert)WOOD DAKOTA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENDROLOGY out of ORDWAY FALLS NLOVE by ORDWAY (BRZ))
7  DEMI'S HEMI Jun25 Jun11 Jun11     (delorme marcu)TARASENCO P 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of DEMI'S GOT A HEMI by DEMIDOFF)
8  C C KID         (martin dean)PINEDA G 124 30.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
9  LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 Jul30 Jul03 (backhaus le)CERVANTES URIEL 124 1.40 30% 2.30    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.