Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GPR-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/5/1)-(6/2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GPR-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(1/3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-4   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GPR-5   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/4)-(1/2/6)-(3/6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-7   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAN FROM PERU Jun25 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50    
SUGAR MOON Jul08 Jun23 Oct28 Oct01 Sep17 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
CHICLE SPARKS Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 May28 Oct02 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
BACK INTHAT ACTION Jul08 Sep25 Sep23 Sep17 Sep04 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
DANCING ZAZINGA Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 Jul30 Jul17 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
GET BAKK May27 May13 Sep30 Sep09 Jul30 (rycroft clinto)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
GPR-2   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABURO'S GRACE Jul30 Jul02       (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.60 22% 3.60    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
WILD CAT HEAT Jul08         (miyashiro t)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
  (by LINE OF HEAT out of CABINET MINISTER by DEFRERE)
UNBROKEN Jul08 Oct09 Sep25 Aug30 Jul24 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
  (by NUMAANY out of HARBOR THE STORM by HARBOR THE GOLD)
YOGA RULER Oct08 Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
BIG TIME ROB Jul08 Jan14 Dec10 Nov12 Aug11 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.00    
  (by EL ROBLAR out of SWISS QUEEN by SWISS YODELER)
CARMEL APPLE Jul08         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of YANKEE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
GPR-3   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATE EXPRESS Sep24 Sep04       (smith darc)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BALMONT out of ABBY'S SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
SCR  LUCKY LEGS Jul08 Jun25 Oct22     (mcconaghie shaw)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of CHANGE OF REASON by BRASS MINISTER)
DO YOU NO WHO I AM         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LOGAN'S HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
FLASHING JOKER Jul08 Jun25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 (robson travis)ROCHA O 119 3.50    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
THE ITALIAN MAN Jun23 Jun10       (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
JOKERS R WILD May13 Oct29 Oct15     (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of WILD DEUCES by FORMAL GOLD)
 
GPR-4   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET AGENT GAL Jul08 Jul29 Jul17 Jun19   (mccracken memory)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN MISSILE Jul08 Jun25 Oct08     (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
CORONA DEL MAR Jul08 May27 May07 Apr07 Mar18 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 2.00    
SUBLIME EUPHORIA Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May12 Aug27 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
CRITICAL CONDITION Jul15 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (tourangeau rus)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
RUNNIN BABY J Jul15 Jun23 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
MIDNIGHT TAKE Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Oct21 (rycroft clinto)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00    
 
GPR-5   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY OUTA MY WAY         (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
GUCCI BLING May29 May13 Apr07 Mar07 Feb20 (snider corey)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
BENNYBOB Jul09 Jun23 Sep26 Sep19 Sep07 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
OIL COUNTRY BOY Jul09 Jun16 Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 (perry carl)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
REFUSE TO TESTIFY Jul08 Jun23 Apr10 Mar19 Mar04 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
RATTLESNAKE JACK Jul09 Jun23 Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 (smith darcy)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
YES NO MAYBE SO Jul09 Jun25       (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
GPR-6   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sprint Series Leg One Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DORADO STORM Jun10 May21 Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KULA GIRL by HESABULL)
AZEE RULES Jun10 Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 Jul17 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by PAPA CLEM out of NO RULES TONIGHT by TRIBAL RULE)
MR. PICKLES Jun23 Jun11 May27 Oct09 Sep27 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHYSHEISNOT by TRIBAL RULE)
TOP OF THE ROCK Jun10 Sep24 Sep18 Sep03 Aug27 (tourangeau russ)SIMPSON W 124 2.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of ROCKY TOP GIRL by ROCKY BAR)
THEBOYFROMJERSEY Jun24 Jun11 Jun14 May07 Feb20 (calfrobe shawn)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LOCH TAY by RAHY)
BOURBON BANDIT Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May28 May20 (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PARKER'S STORM CAT out of BOURBON BABY by SPEEDING LIGHT (ARG))
 
GPR-7   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCANERA Jun24 Jun10 Oct10 Sep17 Sep05 (oberholtzer danie)ROCHA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG TONY Jun10 May27 Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 (gardipy ray)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
THISISMYSTORY Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Oct09 (cummins cindy)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
LOOKIECOOKIE Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Oct10 Oct02 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00    
RISING REVOLUTION Jul09 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep04 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 5.00    
IRISH POLO Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct10 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jun17 May26 Apr23 Mar02 Jan21 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 12.00    
THE HYBRID Jun17 Jun03 May27 Oct08 Sep23 (gwilliam )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.