Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FAR-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY CREATIVE Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May30 Apr25 (horst scot)DELORME L 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  BRAVE HELIOS Jun25 Jun11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug09 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 1.20    
3  JUST ASK JOEL Jul14 Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 May20 (suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  GAME DAY DECISION Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 Jun04 Sep27 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 5.00    
5  VESTED CREEK Jul14 Jun11 Jun04 Apr29 Jul24 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 15.00 9% 9.90    
6  ACTION PACKED Jun25 Jul31 Jul24 Jul02 Jun19 (malaterre jenni)WOOD DAKOTA 126 20.00    
 
FAR-4   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOKAD ALICE Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 (haar amanda)TARASENCO P 126 10.00    
2  I'M SHINING LADY Jun25 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 2.00 16% 5.30    
3  WIDGET GIDGET Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 15.00    
4  BOOGIE BUG Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jul30 (nelson francis)PINEDA G 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  MOLLYS CHALLENGE Jun04 May20 Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.20 12% 7.50    
6  BONNIE AND Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 Apr16 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 12.00    
 
FAR-7   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP CONTRAST Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 Jul30 Jul24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  BASEBALL ANNIE Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul31 Jul24 (longie robe)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 12.00    
3  GIANNA'S WILD CAT Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 May23 Apr29 (horst scot)TARASENCO P 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  DIVA DE KELA Jun24 Jun11 May20 Jul24 May18 (haar j)FRINK D 126 15.00    
5  I CINC EYE LUV U Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Mar31 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOT HABANERO Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 May19 (suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126 20.00    
7  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Jul15 Jun24 Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 3.00    
 
FAR-8   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Paribet Sprint Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME MACHINE Jun11 May21 May03 Apr24 Mar28 (condon schuyle)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 1.20    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of EMMA'S ENCORE by CONGRATS)
2  OLD TRAFFORD Jun25 Jun11 May13 Apr29 Apr07 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BAYERN out of TRES BELLE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  HELLO HANDSOME Jul15 Jun12 May23 Apr26 Apr11 (horst scot)NO RIDER 126 12.00    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of HUMMING BEETHOVEN by MR. GREELEY)
4  JIMMY'S MARCO Jul15 Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 Jul24 (haar amanda)TARASENCO P 126 9.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of THERESA E by STRUGGLER (GB))
5  SIR DEPUTY Jun28 Jun06 May01 Mar28 Mar04 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 126 1.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ROSE CANYON by SKY MESA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.