Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/8/3/7)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/7)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/7)-(2/3/5)-(5/6/4/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/6/4/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/6/4/8/9)-(1/9/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/6/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/8/9)-(5/6/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/8/9)-(5/6/4/8/9)-(5/6/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/4/8/9)-(1/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/8/9)-(1/9/4/3)-(1/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/3)-(1/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/3)-(1/9/4/3)-(1/9/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/4/3)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4/3)-(1/8/4)-(8/2/3/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-10   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(8/2/3/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRM-11   WIN (8/2/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/1/7)-(8/2/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/1/7)-(8/2/3/1/7)-(8/2/3/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAHMS JR.         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
2  RIVERSPORT Jul02 Jun19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  PANZER PRIDE Jul03 Jun03 May06 Apr22 Mar20 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  MEET GEORGE JETSON Jul07 Jun19 May29 Oct22 Sep29 (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
5  PIZZA CHARLIE May27 Mar23 Mar04 Jan13 Jul11 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 17% 4.70    
6  DODGER BLUE Jun09 May05 Feb20 Jan30 Jan07 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 3.00    
 
PRM-6   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL OVER OLIVER May29 May19 Apr16 Oct01 Sep18 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00    
2  R SERENGETI May05 Mar17 Feb17 Sep24 Aug22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
3  STRINGS Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Dec16 Nov30 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 2.50 6% 14.50    
4  MO CHOCTAW Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (chleborad)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
5  EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Jun26 Jun11 May22 Apr16 Mar31 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
6  K C'S FIRST B M W Jun25 Jun04 Apr13 Mar12 Dec16 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 124 12.00    
7  WHONEW Jun11 May22 Apr30     (donlin d)TOHILL S 120 15.00 6% 16.20    
8  IMPRESSOR Jun26 Jun02 May21 Apr30 Apr08 (jordan tod)ERAMIA E 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  BRILLIANT COLORS Jun26 Jun09 May27 May19 Apr22 (clark dic)TRIANA JR 120 20.00    
 
PRM-7   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER EMPIRE May07 Mar03 Feb03 Dec14 Nov18 (offolter )DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
2  MARINA'S GOLD Jun17 Jun03 Apr28 Feb12 Dec22 (richard chris)BIRZER E 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  STONECOLD STUNNER May28 Oct01 Sep05 Aug12 Jul17 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  DO YOU BILEVE Jul01 May17 Sep28 Sep17 Jul04 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
5  MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Jun02 Nov21 Oct28 Oct12 Sep03 (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  SUGAR BELL Jun17 Jun02 May13     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.50    
 
PRM-8   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BENNY Jun24         (chleborad )ERAMIA E 119 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RELENTLESS DEAR by ZENSATIONAL)
2  DON JUAN BUBBA Jun11 May06 Apr15     (rollins scott)ZIEGLER ZACK 119 8.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
3  BELL DOZER Jun24         (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of GROGGER by PURIM)
4  BORDINOS Jun24 Jun11       (martin ti)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MANE PRINCESS by MINESHAFT)
5  GRACIE'S BOY ROY Jun24         (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of AMARIAH GRACE by SKY MESA)
6  RUN FIRE RUN Jun24         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by RUN LIKE FIRE out of BRASSY LUCKY LADY by BRASSY WELLS)
7  RYAN'S WIND         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LONGSHOT RUN by DISCREET CAT)
8  KING OF THE PALACE         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SIRCAT SALLY by SURF CAT)
9  ADAIR COUNTY         (pearson m)CORBETT W 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of OLEANNA by PLEASANT COLONY)
10  GENERAL SHIPMAN         (schleis casey)TOHILL S 119 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IMPISH by MAJESTIC PRINCE)
SCR  EXPOUND         (johnston )TRIANA JR 119 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL CITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  DEFIANT MALICE         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 30.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
 
PRM-9   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24.767K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR RON Jun23 May21 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 Oct02 Sep26 (clark r)CORBETT W 122 15.00    
3  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jun17 May28 Apr16 Mar31 Mar17 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COBYMEISTER Jun19 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul15 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GONE WITH THE FINN Jun26 Jun03 May13 Nov18 Oct26 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
6  TIN BADGE Jun23 Jun05 May21 Apr03 Mar07 (chleborad lyn)EDWARDS JAVIS 117 5.00    
7  DOT COM DREAMIN Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 Sep03   (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
8  DISCREET INVASION Jun26 Jun03 May20 Mar25 Mar04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
9  SAY IT NICELY Jun26 May29 May13 Apr12 Oct02 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
PRM-10   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDNECKERTHANYOU Jun19 May29 May13 Dec04 Nov13 (martinez )DE CRUZ 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  CHEETS Jun09 May26 Jul04     (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 125 3.50    
3  ON A DARE Jul23         (hardy ro)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
4  LEADING THE CAUSE Jun25 Sep30 Sep19 Sep03   (jacquot ge)ERAMIA E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HE'S A SHOWBOAT Jun26 May26 Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00    
SCR  C R INSTA GATOR Jun26 May29 May13 Oct01 Sep12 (von hemel)TRIANA JR 118 15.00    
7  SUCCESSION (GB) May13 Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 Jul11 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 4.00    
8  ANNUAL BUDGET Jun26 Jun03 Jul11 Jun20   (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
PRM-11   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETS ROCK N STROLL Jun17 May28 May13 Sep25 Aug27 (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 118 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by STROLL out of BELLA ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH Jun10 May13 Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
4  EDGY LOVER Jun25 May28 May12 Sep30 Aug27 (murphy)FLETCHER D 118 12.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of A. J.'S LOVE by LION HEART)
5  GLOME Jun25 Jun05 Oct02 Sep24 Sep03 (hemba brad)ZIMMERMAN R 118 20.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of TESSERACT by POLLARD'S VISION)
6  BILLY BOB ROCKET Jun25 Jun10 Mar25 Feb23   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of DANCEINTHESTREETS by CITIDANCER (IRE))
7  DIRT ROAD COWBOY Jun17 Sep30       (reiste ti)TRIANA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of MOMBASA by DYNAFORMER)
8  COUNTY JAIL Jun25 Jun05 Sep25 Aug27 Jul23 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of KRYSTAL PISTOL by LEMON DROP KID)
9  FRANKLYGREAT Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 118 6.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FRANKIE'S LADY by MEADOWLAKE)
10  TACTICAL REBEL Jun25 Jun17 Oct01 Sep23 Sep16 (leapley d)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of REBELLING by BIG BROWN)
SCR  EYE OF THE PANTHOR Jul07         (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 30.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of GOLDENBULLETDAY by DEHERE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.