Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Energy Downs
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EDR-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
EDR-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-6   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-8   WIN (8/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-10   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EDR-1   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTA WAVERLY Jun10 May12 Apr12 Dec30 Dec03 (schindler je)BETHKE A 128 5.00    
MOONSHINE MAX Jun16 May27 May19 May06 Apr22 (nelson bucksh)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 4.50 5% 19.00    
CIRCLE BACK Jun04 May14 May06 Apr15 Sep26 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 2.00 26% 2.90    
MAXIMUS THE GREAT Jun18 Jun16 May29 May21 Aug09 (ecoffey gilb)JOURNET JARRED 128 3.00 50% 1.00    
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Jun09 May20 May06 Mar25 Mar12 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 123 3.50    
SCR  SUBSCRIPTION Jun16 May28 May12 Apr29 Apr15 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 6.00    
 
EDR-2   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE FOR RANSOM Jun18 Jun04 May21 May20 May14 (ecoffey gilb)JOURNET JARRED 128 3.50    
SCR  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Jun18 May21 May07 Mar26 Mar13 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 5.00    
I'M LUCKY Jun03 May19 May06 Apr21 Sep11 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 3.00 43% 1.30    
BANJO BILL Jun17 Jun03 Apr29 Apr15 Nov08 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAYETTE WARRIOR Jun18 Jun04 May20 May06 Apr22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 1.80 28% 2.60    
ROSAT May14 Mar19 Jan07 Dec11 Sep25 (crooked dal)ELLIS DEVON 128 4.00    
 
EDR-4   06/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESS BRIEFING Jun18 Jan17       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 5.00 16% 5.30    
WILSON TO LOCKETT Jun16 Jun03 May21 Apr29 Mar25 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 5.00    
AUSTIN'S ACE Jun17 Jun04 Oct02 Sep10 Sep04 (garfias jorge)ELLIS DEVON 128 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  VISONARY STAR Jun16 Jun09 Jun14 May25   (womochil jef)JOURNET JARRED 128 5.00    
XTREME LYRA Jun04 May21 May14 May07 Oct02 (schindler je)BETHKE A 128 2.50 17% 5.00    
AFLEETASHA Jun17 Jun04 May19 Jul31 Jul29 (nelson bucksho)JAMES JARELL 128 4.00    
 
EDR-6   06/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AFTER BURN Jun03 May27 May12 Apr29 Apr21 (womochil )KELLENBERGER KODY 128 4.00    
WAR EAGLE'S RETURN Jun04 May19 Apr29 Sep25 Aug28 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 3.50 15% 5.80    
HOLIDAY JOKE Jun16 Jun09 May20 May14 May07 (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 128 6.00    
LOVE TO LEARN Jun03 May20 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 (oliver d)JOURNET JARRED 123 4.50 13% 6.60    
GOLD NOTE Jun09 May28 May21 Apr23 Apr07 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 6.00    
FRIENDOFTHECOURT Jun18 May27 May21 May20 May12 (ducheneaux ja)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 12.00    
WILLY B Jun17 May27 May20 Oct02 Sep18 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
EDR-8   06/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Big Horn Futurity Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICK THE A. T. M.         (scudder rick)JOURNET JARRED 126 10.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of INDIALANTIC by STRONG HOPE)
IMPULZIVE STORM Jun17 May29       (matt r)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMBEZZLEMENT out of IMPULZIVE KATE by PULZARR)
SULA PEAK ROAD Jun17         (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
NORTHERN LIMIT Jun17 May29       (gibbs tyler)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by NORTHERN SOLDIER out of LIMITLESSINYELLOW by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT)
DENNYS LEGACY Jun17 May29       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of BEYOND THE REACH by SAHM)
SHE GOOD SAMARITAN Jun17 May29       (gibbs tyler)ELLIS DEVON 123 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MY LITTLE GYPSY         (scudder j)LUARK T 123 10.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of MYLILRANGER by U S RANGER)
VALIANT KNIGHT Jun17 May29       (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WHISPER LOUISE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SARAH'S BIG BANG         (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 126 4.50    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
 
EDR-10   06/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Jack Greer Memorial Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LONG BOW Jun18 May29 May14 May07 Apr02 (nelson buck)CERVANTES OSCAR 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSSBOW out of DETERMINED DARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
BARBIERE May29 May14 Apr08 Mar12 Feb14 (tsosie terri)BETHKE A 128 5.00 61% 0.60    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
OREGON COUNTY May20 May13 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 5.00 11% 8.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of DIVINE DORIS by DIVINE PARK)
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jun18 May29 May21 May06 Apr22 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 4.50    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of POINTED QUESTION by POINT GIVEN)
SHWEET PERSUASION Jun16 May21 May06 Apr23 Apr08 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISCREETLY MINE out of ONE FINE SHWEETIE by SHUAILAAN)
KEARNEY Jun16 May28 May20 May06 Apr28 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of MADAM DE CHEVREUSE by MUSKETIER (GER))
SCR  WRATH May27 May05 Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 (ecoffey gilb)JOURNET JARRED 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCOOTER'S BOY Jun16 May29 May20 May06 Apr30 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SAN GIORGIO Jun09 May29 May14 May06 Apr02 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 128 8.00    
  (by GIROLAMO out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
SCR  FURLONGIN FOR LUV Jun17 Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 128 6.00    
  (by DON'TSELLMESHORT out of EXCESSIVE CINDI by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.