Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-2   WIN (4/3/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7/6)-(4/3/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7/6)-(4/3/2/7/6)-(4/3/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-4   WIN (9/1/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/8/4)-(9/1/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/8/4)-(9/1/3/8/4)-(9/1/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-6   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-7   WIN (1/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-10   WIN (9/1/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/3/2)-(9/1/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/3/2)-(9/1/4/3/2)-(9/1/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-2   06/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEBOLLA May13 Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
BLUE LUNA WHO Apr19 Mar29 Feb28 Feb05 Jan24 (silva n)PEREZ A 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
ABSTRACT KAT May29 May06 Apr08 Jan31 Jan03 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.00 16% 5.30    
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE May20 Apr17 Apr03 Mar20 Feb27 (valerio raymond )VALDEZ S 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
REVOLT AND RIOT Feb28 Feb19 Feb05 Jan24 Nov21 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 10.00    
GOLDEN MERGER Jan22 Dec14 Nov21 Nov06 Oct18 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ABETEMARCO May20 Apr29 Apr16 Feb19 Dec19 (marquez jose)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
TENACIOUS LION May27 May06 Mar10 Feb02 Jan04 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 12.00    
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE May20 Apr29 Apr02 Mar14 Feb07 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50    
 
RUI-4   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP IT ROLLIN May05 Apr18 Mar18 Feb13 Jan24 (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00 15% 5.90    
TERAS SILENCE Mar28 Mar07       (villalobos m)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00    
ANNA B May13 Apr15 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 4.00 9% 10.00    
ROSES FOR SUZZETT Feb05 Dec22 Nov05 Aug16 Aug02 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 30.00 7% 12.90    
CAANFOOLERY May13 Dec08 Nov30 Sep22 Sep09 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 5.00    
STELLA WHEAT Mar19 Feb21 Jan22 Dec13 Nov01 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 20.00    
I GET STORMED May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 Jan01 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
BELLA Y SOFIA Apr15 Mar26 Feb19 Jan03 Dec19 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 8% 10.80    
HAUTE LADY May07 Apr09 Feb21 Jan24 Oct24 (sedillo carlos)HEBERT J 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  DOM PROUD May29 May06 Apr15 Mar26 Feb21 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00    
11  GONNABEE May20 Apr29       (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00    
12  SHEZACONSTANTSONG Apr15 Mar26 Feb28 Feb19 Jan24 (cross gary)VALDEZ S 123 15.00    
 
RUI-6   06/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD FIREWATER May06 Apr08 Mar21 Feb14 Jan15 (meridyth david)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
QUANTUM BULL May13 Apr29 Apr08 Feb14 Jan31 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
RYDERS UP May29 May13 Apr02 Feb28 Jan29 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
LUCKY MATT Jan24         (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00 11% 8.20    
PAINTED SMOKE May06 Apr08 Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 (sanchez patrick )VALDEZ S 121 12.00 10% 9.20    
WHO'S ON THE RUN May13 Apr29 Feb14 Jan31 Jan15 (trujillo )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
CANDY RASCAL May29 Apr23 Apr08 Mar21 Mar14 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
 
RUI-7   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABOLICAL STORM Oct30 Sep04 Jul30 May29 Mar27 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
GO RED RASCAL Mar07 Feb21 Jan17 Nov22 Oct30 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
STORM BAYOU May20 Apr22 Feb12 Jan29 Jan03 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50    
HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Mar07 Feb21 Jan15 Nov14 Oct04 (chadborn k)JAIME R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANCIENT LAND Jan03 Oct01 Aug27     (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 12.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  JAZZ MAN DO May20 Apr29 Apr15 Mar21 Mar07 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 30.00    
TUCUM May20 Apr08 Sep14 Aug06 Jun12 (buechle)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
ALL CHROME May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Feb28 (riddle e)HEBERT J 123 6.00    
LIFE JACKET Feb07 Dec13 Nov30 Oct04 Sep18 (rojero lu)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
 
RUI-10   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 35 M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMOTION N DEVOTION Mar14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 Feb18 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by PROCEED out of I LIKE TRICKS by TRICKY FUN)
MARKING'S MIRACLE May20 Apr02       (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of FOREST PIKE by OLD FORESTER)
LIL MISS CASSIE Apr22 Mar19 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 (villalobos a)JAIME R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIL MISS MACKY by GREY MEMO)
MS JAZZ         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of MJDONTLOSEMYNUMBER by ABAJO)
BYE BYE BROOKY Aug14 Jul29 Jun19     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 6.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of HANG GLIDE by DOME)
WHY FOR May14         (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of GOT NO ANSWERS by WHYWHYWHY)
LEAP YEAR NIGHT May13 Apr15 Jul29 Jul17   (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 8.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
BLAME THE TEQUILA Mar19 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Nov01 (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 15.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of BLAME THE WINE by DECARCHY)
BYE BYE HANNAHBO May13 Jan01 Dec12     (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by MARKING out of MISS TWISTER by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
SCR  PRETTY PEPPY Mar19 Mar05 Feb14 Jan22 Jan01 (collier c)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00    
  (by INDESTRUCTIBLE out of ALWAYS A CHANCE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  FUSAICHIS BEST YET May20 Apr29 Mar11     (denn)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON (JPN) out of BEST NOTE YET by YOUR EMINENCE)
SCR  ARE YOU LISTENING May20 Mar14       (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SUPER SISTER by YOUR EMINENCE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.