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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - May 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(7/5)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(5/6/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(5/2)-(4/6/7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/6/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/6/7/1)-(7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(7/2)-(6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(6/2/5)-(8/9/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(8/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(8/9/3/6)-(7/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/6)-(8/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/6)-(8/9/3/6)-(8/9/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/3/6)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/6)-(7/4/5)-(9/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(9/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/7)-(9/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/7)-(9/6/7/2)-(9/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   05/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARIANNA QUEEN Apr18 Mar29 Mar17 Feb27 Feb06 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 123 12.00    
2  LONDONDERRY Mar29 Mar13 Feb07 Jan25 Jan16 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50    
3  ELUSIVE RYDER Apr18 Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan11 (velazquez da)TORRES A 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  BRODY SLAM Apr03 Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 Jan25 (betancourt el)OCASIO M 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  ABHAILE Apr10 Feb28 Feb06 Jan30 Jan11 (romero alexis)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00    
6  VIRADIA Feb26 Jan15 Jan05 Dec03 Nov05 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 116 2.00    
7  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Apr18 Feb27 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 (ramirez silv)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
 
PRX-2   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINARY Apr12 Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 Jan10 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
2  ALL HAIL MO Mar29 Feb07 Dec20 Nov15 Oct04 (padilla-pr)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50    
SCR  LEAPING FOR CANDY Apr17 Mar21 Feb15 Jan20 Dec20 (flor)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00    
4  HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Apr19 Mar29 Mar13 Jan10 Dec28 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 118 6.00    
5  LADY SICARIA Apr19 Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
6  BOSS LIKE BETH Apr12 Aug31 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 (padilla hugo )MILAN GERARDO 118 5.00 ★    
7  LUNA T Apr19 Apr04 Mar20 Jan10 Nov14 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
8  BAY AND GOLD Apr19 Mar13 Jul27 May23   (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 12.00 ★    
 
PRX-3   05/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHAMITA Apr06 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 Jan30 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Apr17 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Dec08 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 119 6.00    
3  CINNAMON DREAM Apr25 Mar08 Feb22 Jan24 Jan09 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 123 3.50 14% 5.90    
4  POP THE CLUTCH Apr25 Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 (farro patri)NUNEZ Y 123 6.00    
5  SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE May01 Apr10 Jan24 Jan11 Nov28 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  JOHNNYSLITTLEGIRL Apr24 Apr04 Mar15 Feb01 Jan04 (soto c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  SPRINKLE THIS Mar10 Jan24 Dec12 Nov15 Nov02 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00    
 
PRX-4   05/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACH TRIAL Apr05 Mar15 Mar07 Jan30 Jan11 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 ★    
2  CLEMENZA Nov15 Oct12 Sep09 Aug03 Jun28 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
3  CRAFTY DON Apr04 Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 Jan11 (perez rupe)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
4  PORSUPUESTO Mar27 Mar14 Feb22 Feb13 Jan10 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 123 15.00    
5  IN SKY WE TRUST Apr05 Mar15 Feb13 Jan31 Jan11 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  JOHNNY RITT Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 Jan31 Jan09 (domi)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 2.50 ★    
7  KEFI Apr05 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Oct03 (lopez rob)VIVES SOFIA 116 8.00    
 
PRX-5   05/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BAY Mar08 Jan23 Oct26 Oct07 Jun15 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LET IT FLOW JOE Apr18 Mar01 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
3  CAPT COMPLICATED Mar29 Mar15 Feb01 Dec30 Dec17 (servis tyl)TORRES A 116 12.00    
4  FIRST TO LAST Apr26 Feb21       (lake scott )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 1.60 54% 0.90    
5  FRUGAL JUDE Apr26 Mar22 Mar01 Jan31 Dec14 (dotolo david)VIVES SOFIA 114 15.00    
6  EL GRAN CUYAYA Apr17 Mar22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec29 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
7  ROAD CALL Apr26         (milian carlos)OCASIO M 126 8.00 9% 10.00    
8  KANE Apr17 Mar22 Mar08 Nov30 Nov07 (aro c)SILVERA RUBEN 126 10.00    
 
PRX-6   05/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET THE W Apr17 Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan30 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 3.00    
2  MR. ROUNDTREE Apr17 Mar28 Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  AIN'T WASTING TIME Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Sep30 Aug27 (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00    
4  JUMP SHOT Apr25 Mar07 Feb18 Jan25 Jan03 (lee r)RANGEL JOEZER 123 8.00    
SCR  BEVERLY PARK Apr14 Mar31 Mar24 Mar15 Feb22 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
6  HE'S INCREDIBLE Apr25 Mar15 Feb27 Jan30 Jan11 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00    
7  STRUGAR Apr17 Apr04 Feb13 Jan30 Dec31 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
PRX-7   05/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY PRIDE Apr09 Mar03 Feb23 Jan25 Dec29 (dandy j)BOWMAN ADAM 123 12.00    
2  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Apr10 Mar08 Feb13 Jan03 Dec07 (dandy j)PENNINGTON F 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  TIZ A SHARPIE Apr04 Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Oct11 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00    
4  UNADULTERATED Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
5  MISS LOYALTY Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 (lott woodrow)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  R TENDERONI Apr04 Mar13 Feb04 Dec17 Nov07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
7  HIGHTIME VALENTINE Apr24 Apr10 Mar20 Mar08 Feb06 (rosado robert)OCASIO M 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  WONDER CITY Apr24 Apr04 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (noble james)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 10.00    
9  TRIBORD Mar29 Feb14 Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 (lake a)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00    
 
PRX-8   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BROWN SHOES Apr25 Apr17 Apr04 Mar14 Jan23 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 123 15.00    
SCR  ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Feb06 Jan09 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
3  TWO BY TWO Mar19 Feb17 Jan28 Nov25 Oct21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
4  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Apr24 Mar28 Mar08 Jan30 Jan17 (vega richard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
5  SENIOR INVESTMENT Apr03 Mar13 Jan20 Jan06 Dec09 (lake scott )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
6  SILVER EDGE Apr19 Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 Oct31 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 10.00 9% 9.70    
7  MARGIN OF AIR Mar15 Jan18 Dec07 Nov14 Oct24 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
8  RUBY BLEU Apr03 Mar07 Feb05 Jan04 Nov30 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
9  GLORY SONG Apr12 Mar13 Feb10 Jan24 Nov29 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
PRX-9   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRINDISI Apr03 Aug03 Jul18 May29 Apr18 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 12.00    
SCR  MUTASALLEM Apr11 Apr03 Mar13 Feb01 Jan10 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
3  NORTHERN EXPRESS (IRE) Apr18 Mar28 Mar01 Nov08 Oct11 (christman kimbe)BOWMAN ADAM null      
4  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Apr17 Sep21 Aug23 Aug06 Jul18 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  RICH'S WAY Mar28 Feb27       (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00 10% 8.90    
6  JAMIE DREAMS Apr11 Jul18 Jun18 May23 Apr27 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 15.00    
7  SECRET ALLIANCE Apr03 Mar01 Jan07 Dec22 Jun17 (servis joh)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
PRX-10   05/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGINTHRUTHESTORM Apr11 Mar22 Feb15 Jan16 Jan02 (mccaslin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00    
2  RELATIVLEA Jan09 Nov30 Oct17 Sep21 Jul11 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  WHAT'S TO BLAME Apr25 Mar22 Feb21 Jan10 Dec06 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 126 5.00    
4  SOUPER FLY OVER Apr18 Mar28 Feb27 Feb06 Nov23 (collazo lui)NUNEZ Y 123 12.00    
5  BODE O Apr03 Mar13 Jan11 Dec06 Nov09 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 123 4.50    
6  SPEIGHTSTER RED Apr24 Apr04 Mar21 Feb21 Feb02 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 123 10.00 26% 2.80    
7  WILLY MC Apr17 Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 Jan02 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Apr05 Feb28 Feb13 Jan23 Jan09 (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
9  NIGHT OPS Apr17 Mar28 Feb22 Jan23 Jan07 (lake a)TORRES A 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
10  INDOCTRINATE Mar15 Jan24 Jan02 Nov23 Nov02 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.