Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/1)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5)-(3/5/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/1/7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-6   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(3/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(3/2)-(6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/9)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/9)-(6/9/8/5/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9)-(6/9/8/5/10)-(6/9/8/5/10) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/9)-(4/8/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9)-(4/8/5)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
WRD-10   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURIOUS IRISH Apr24 Feb23 Feb11 Jan18 Nov25 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 1.80    
2  WARRIOR'S STAR Apr26 Apr10 Mar28 Dec01   (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
3  BIG PETE Nov02 Oct01 Sep15 Aug25 Jul16 (ibarra jose)JORDAN R 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  FOOL'S MIRAGE Apr26 Dec07 Nov15 Aug20   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  SHINE JACK'S DREAM Apr25 Apr04       (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
WRD-2   05/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREYAS CATZ Apr24 Feb19 Jan28     (baze t)KIMES C 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
2  AZUSA STREET Apr24 Mar25 Mar03     (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
3  OKIE HOPE Apr24 Apr04       (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  PASCALA Apr24 Nov18       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 10.00    
5  BROOKE'S ALL IN Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 Feb18 Jan08 (dixon tim)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.00    
6  RUNNIN BOOTS Apr24         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
 
WRD-3   05/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARABELLUM Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
2  MR OKLAHOMA CITY Apr24 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 ★    
3  BIG SKIPPER Apr24 Apr04 Mar21 Dec08 Nov18 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 2.00    
4  GHOST STRATEGY Apr24 Apr12 Feb19 Jan20 Sep23 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00    
5  INCA EMPIRE Apr04 Mar21 Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
 
WRD-4   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUTYCHIA Apr26 Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Dec09 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 121 1.00    
2  SEE WHAT'S WHAT Apr10 Jul18 May22 Apr15 Mar03 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 20.00 6% 15.80    
3  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY May02 Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 Dec07 (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  MISS M J May01 Apr07 Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.00    
5  ROSE OF EKITA Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 (lambert joanna)SANCHEZ OBED 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
 
WRD-5   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Will Rogers Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT OKIE May02 Apr04 Mar14 Mar04 Jan20 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of DYNAMIC DELUX by YANKEE VICTOR)
2  RACHEL'S CAPER Apr26 Apr08 Mar04 Feb12 Dec14 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 8.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of GENTLE RACHEL by LOST OPPORTUNITY)
3  ROWDY RIVER Apr05 Mar20 Mar07 Dec15 Dec07 (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by DOMINUS out of GRAND ENTRY by GRAND REWARD)
4  CIMARRON SAND Apr26 Nov30 Oct26 Sep17   (bravo francisc)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
5  GHOST HERO Apr08 Mar14 Feb18 Dec17 Nov11 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 1.40 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of QUEEN BUXLEY by SUPER SAVER)
6  SEND THE BOSS Mar25 Jan28 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SEND THE LIMO by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
WRD-6   05/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S LEGACY Apr26 Apr04 Mar21 Mar13   (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.80 11% 8.50    
2  JEANO Apr26 Mar14 Dec03 Jul19 Jun28 (brooks jimm)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
3  SEVEN VISIONS         (rodriguez)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
4  GOSPEL DANDY Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 Dec01 Nov06 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
5  ELDON'S SAMURAI Apr03 Dec16 Nov22 Oct22 Oct05 (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
6  STREETSTER Apr25 Mar24 Feb10 Jan07 Jul08 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWEET ALEX Apr26 Apr05 Mar07 Feb05 Nov03 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 3.00 8% 11.90    
 
WRD-7   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEEDABETTERJOCK Apr03 Mar20 Mar03 Jan14 Aug06 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50    
2  SWEET MEDICINE Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 Nov14 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 12.00 31% 2.20    
3  THOUGHT Mar21 Feb20 Dec30 Nov10 Oct06 (black mar)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  RACE DAY REBAL Apr04 Mar21 Dec03 Nov19 Nov05 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 8.00    
5  GOSPEL MUSKETEER Apr26 Mar21 Jan21 Dec15 Nov15 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  BOLD COURAGE Apr10 Mar27 Feb17     (buehrer w)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
7  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Apr04 Mar21 Feb19 Feb05 Jan08 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR null      
 
WRD-8   05/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Apr24 Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb22 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 20.00    
2  AUNT LOTTIE Dec08         (rodriguez mart)LANDEROS C 124 20.00    
3  SECRET PASS Apr24 Mar25 Mar03     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 2.50    
4  FLIP FLOP FLY Apr25 Nov12 Oct07     (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
5  SAYED IN A DREAM         (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00 ★    
6  PASSION FOR SAND Apr24 Mar03 Nov18     (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
7  HANNAH FO FANNAH Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Dec15 Nov18 (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
8  BRYANS SONG         (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 ★    
9  RUN DOTTIE RUN Apr24 Apr04 Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
10  LAMENTABLE JARIN         (gunter mi)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 ★    
 
WRD-9   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cinema Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GYPSY ROSE Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Oct22 Sep30 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by LIAISON out of CACTUS ROSE by BRICKTOWN CAT)
2  TOM'S GIRL May01 Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of WILD KAREN by WILD AGAIN)
3  LITTLE RIVER JEWEL Apr25 Mar20       (gladd andy)KIMES C 122 15.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of RIVER JEWEL by INDY EXPRESS)
4  DOUDOUDOUWANADANCE Feb25 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 (young s)GONCALVES R 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of EBONY UNO by MACHO UNO)
5  RED RIVER WITCH May02 Apr11 Mar20 Mar07 Dec03 (gladd andy)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
  (by WILBURN out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
6  RUBY THE DESTROYER May01 Apr11 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 (young e)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of GET DOWN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  SULPHUR SUE Apr26 Apr11 Dec15     (bravo franci)JORDAN R 122 20.00 ★    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of FLORA'S QUICK by FLATTER)
8  EXPENSIVE LIAISON Apr21 Feb12 Jan21 Nov11 Oct21 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LIAISON out of HIGH PRICE HIT by CONCORD POINT)
9  IM THE BIGGER BEAR Apr26 Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Nov30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of HELLUVA HANGOVER by GRAND SLAM)
 
WRD-10   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGA SHACK Apr24 Oct15       (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of GOLDEN ALPHABET by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  SPIN TO WIN Sep01         (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PAYING OFF by MALIBU MOON)
3  PEPPERMINT CANDY Apr24 Apr03       (luneack sue)KIMES C 118 5.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
4  MONEY EXPRESS Apr24         (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FERVENT by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  TIZKANDOIT         (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  TAPIT TWICE Apr23         (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of ORANGE STREET by STORM BOOT)
7  KITTER KAT         (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
8  OKIE CHROME Apr25 Apr10 Apr03     (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 12.00    
  (by CHITOZ out of SLEWFINE OKIE by SLEWSHIP)
9  SAZON Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Dec14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.