Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fonner Park
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-2   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-3   Win (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FON-4   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-5   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FON-6   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FON-7   Win (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FON-1   04/16/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY Jun24 Jun03 Apr23 Mar30 Feb03 (foley p)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 35% 1.90    
TOP HAT CAT Mar19 Dec30 Dec01 Nov04 Oct20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60    
SHAQ'S MY DADDY Mar31 Mar12 Mar03 Aug10 Jul13 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
RUNNING JESSE Mar19 Mar11 Feb19 Feb12 Sep11 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00    
GENES FEATHER Mar19 Mar10 Feb17 Dec20 Oct27 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
SOUTHERN SMOKE Apr01 Mar03 Feb12 Sep27 Sep16 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
FON-2   04/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L B GOLD Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
FOR REEL Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Aug08 Jul03 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 3.00    
JUDGE'S BRIBE Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 May14 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 22% 3.50    
MR. BIG SHOT Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Jun18 Jun10 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
KENHEDOIT Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Aug04 Jul14 (dieter dalton)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00    
PHLASH DRIVE Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
FON-3   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jul22 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
SANDPLUM CREEK Apr02 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 10.00    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 Feb11 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00    
TALLANDLONG Apr07 Mar19 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 3.50 13% 6.70    
FAST SOPHIA Apr07 Mar24 Feb24 Sep19 Sep09 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
RABBIT TWENTY TWO Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Jun12 May28 (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
WANDAS CAFE Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
FON-4   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAMOROUS LIFE Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
PICTORIAL Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Apr03 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60 55% 0.80    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE ICE Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Sep26 Sep11 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
BONNIE AND Mar26 Jul02 Jun26 Jun18 Jun11 (dolphus junior)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
DONNA'S HOPE Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 Aug19 Aug05 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
CAJUN TRINITY Mar25 Mar17 Feb26 Feb03 Jan25 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Sep23 Aug12 (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
 
FON-5   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING CHARMER SING Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
P R GIRLFRIEND Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jun10 May29 (compton jesse)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
JOY FOREVER Mar25 Mar03 Feb12 Jun11 May21 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
MISS MEAD Mar25 Mar03 Jun19 Jun03 May07 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
ZIBBY TOO Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jun11 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00    
JUST LUCK Mar11 Feb17 Aug30 Jul25 Jul03 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 10% 9.00    
JULIE JEAN Mar25 Mar04 Jun18 May13 Apr24 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
FON-6   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DALLAS GOLD Apr08 Mar12 Feb22 Jan27 Jan12 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
CASH EXPRESS Apr08 Mar26 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 17% 4.90    
FAKE SOLUTION Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 Sep30 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
KEARNEY Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Dec01 (ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
PRAIRIE SQUALL Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 20.00    
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb12 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
TOUGH COMPANY Apr07 Feb26 Feb11 Jan07 Dec07 (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
FON-7   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXODUS AND HOPE Apr01 Mar18 Sep15 Sep08 Aug28 (stankey jannae)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
SPITFIRE SUZIE Apr01 Mar19 Sep03 Jul01 Jun04 (peters dennis)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 17% 5.00    
CHARACTER COUNTS Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan26 (anderson davi)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.20 23% 3.40    
HAPPY QUEST Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
SMILIN JOSIE Mar26 Mar17 Feb10 Jun17 Jun12 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 8.00 11% 8.30    
FLAT OUT HOT Mar11 Feb26       (rhodes lester)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
MISS GRAND SLAM Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb22 Nov11 (rivera gregorio )ZIEGLER ZACK 121 12.00    
QUALITY BOW Apr01 Mar25 Feb02 Jan19   (castillo sali)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.