Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/5)-(7/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/5/2)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(6/1)-(1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/9/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/7)-(3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(3)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/5/9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/3/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
LRL-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD STORY Feb20 Jan29 Dec29 Oct23 Oct08 (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN ANGEL         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 5.00 12% 7.40    
3  I HAVE COURAGE Feb20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 (frock charle)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
4  TIPSY TOURIST Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 Dec29 (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
5  HELLO JAMROCK Mar12 Jan29 Feb06 Jan23 Jan01 (smith valrie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
6  THUNDER BOSS Feb26 Jan13 Dec04 Nov14 Oct06 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.60 63% 0.60    
7  DESPITE THE GIN Mar12 Jan15 Sep10     (plummer b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
8  COFFEE BEAN Mar12 Feb26 Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NORTHERN THUNDER Feb26 Jan29 Dec18 Nov22 Nov02 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
SCR  CAN'T PASS IT UP Mar12 Dec20 Dec03     (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
2  OFF THE MEDS Mar16 Feb22 Feb14 Jan27 Jan06 (farro patri)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00 ★    
SCR  HONOR THE FLEET Mar03 Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  MOTAGALLY Feb07 Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 Dec10 (cash norman)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  BADGER TOOTH Mar12 Feb19 Jan27 Jan08 Nov27 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  OXIDE Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan22 Jan06 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 126 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
LRL-3   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL TOLU Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 (klesaris ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00 ★    
2  IMAGINE A CURE Mar12 Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Nov13 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 12.00 7% 14.30    
3  CAVALRY COMMAND Mar25 Oct14 Sep10 Jul28   (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
4  RASCALLY REBEL Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Feb20 Feb03 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
5  SIR SMOAK Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  FREDDYNESS Mar12 Mar05 Feb11 Jan30 Jan11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50    
7  SHACKINTHEBOX Jan23 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-4   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY MOR Mar01         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  WAVERLEY Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Nov21 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
3  FIVE STAR FRAN Mar17 Feb25 Feb12 Jan15 Dec29 (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 ★    
4  SKY BUY         (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 10.00    
SCR  F F HELL CAT Mar17         (doran carl)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
6  NAUGHTY NAN Mar03 Feb11 Oct30     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  LET'S MAKE A ZEEN Mar17 Feb25 Dec29 Nov04   (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 20.00    
8  DANCE DELILAH         (morgan car)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 20.00 ★    
9  SUPER MONEY Mar01 Feb10 Jan15     (schoenthal)RIVERA R 113 8.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOFAR Feb20 Jan27 Dec06 Nov26 Oct27 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 4.50    
1A  THE KING CHEEK Mar13 Feb28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
2  CROUCHELLI Mar17 Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00    
3  CLUBMAN Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan19 Dec18 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.80 ★    
4  BOBBY G Mar25 Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Jan29 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00    
5  SPOTTED BULL Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 Feb20 Jan29 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 ★    
6  JASONTAKESLONG Feb20 Dec18 Nov25 Oct21 Aug27 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
7  COOL QUARTET Feb26 Feb11 Feb05 Jan21 Dec18 (noda orlando)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
LRL-6   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITAN'S WILL Feb19 Jan29 Aug01 Jul20 Jul07 (salzman john)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN BRIDGE Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 Oct31 Oct10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
3  GALATIANS Feb19 Jan29 Dec31 Nov05 Oct08 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  MINECRAFTER Mar09 Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
5  UNCOMMON VALOR Mar26 Feb12 Feb05 Jan16 Dec29 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00 ★    
6  LORD MIO Feb19 Dec31 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
7  BAHAMA CHANNEL Mar17 Feb26 Feb18 Feb03 Jul29 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 ★    
8  VINNY Mar24 Mar03 Jan29 Nov05 Oct28 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
9  FIVE STAR PHIL Feb24 Feb02 Jan21 Dec11 Aug28 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00 ★    
10  KING NATE Mar17 Jan28 Jan14 Dec24 Oct21 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
 
LRL-7   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M GITTIN THERE Mar18 Feb17 Jan15 Jan01 Dec09 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  PROPER ATTIRE Feb18 Jan16 Dec29 Nov11 Oct13 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50 13% 6.80    
3  COMBAT QUEEN Mar18 Feb20 Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  RESPECTFULLY Mar25 Dec16 Oct16 Sep17 Jul31 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.50    
5  STAND BY YOU Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 Nov15 Oct12 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00    
6  GOLDEN EFFECT Mar12 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
 
LRL-8   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINAMAYA Feb26         (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 5.00    
2  LIL SPINNER Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 Jan16 Dec31 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 117 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  TENACIOUS TRAVELER         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SPUN IN A MILLION Feb26         (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 20.00    
5  FASHIONISTA Nov05 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 Aug24 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Jan13 Nov26       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 113 3.00    
7  SWEET SHUGS Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 Sep03 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.