Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/6)-(3/7/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/5/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/1)-(3/5/2)-(2/7/10/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/6)-(3/5/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/7/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/7/10/4)-(1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/7/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/4)-(2/7/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/4)-(2/7/10/4)-(2/7/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/10/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/10/4)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/7/4)-(1/6/2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/6/3)-(9/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(9/8)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (9/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/8)-(9/8/7/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/8)-(9/8/7/10/2)-(9/8/7/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8)-(4/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/8)-(4/1/3/2)-(6/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2)-(6/3/5)-(7/5/2/11/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(7/5/2/11/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-9   WIN (7/5/2/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/11/6)-(7/5/2/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/11/6)-(7/5/2/11/6)-(7/5/2/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOPY DUDE Feb04 Jan06 Nov26     (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  NOBLE HONOR         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
3  WEST JET Jan27 Jan14 Dec07 Aug06   (caster boyd)DIEGO V 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  WAY TOO WINDY         (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00    
5  ELUSIVEDESTINATION Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 Oct22 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  MY CALANTE Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 ★    
7  O T C WIZ Jan13 Dec14 Nov07     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
 
HOU-2   02/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBMEFORLUCK Jan16 Nov25       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 10.00 ★    
2  AISHA R N Jan15 Dec09 Nov12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  MISS SHIPMAN Dec26 Nov19 Oct12 Sep10   (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.00 41% 1.50    
4  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 Sep25 Sep08 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
5  NICE NEIGHBOR Jan16 Dec17 Nov11 Oct07   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  HOW BOUT ME Jan27 Jan08 Dec14 Nov19 Oct12 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 15.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   02/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Jan21 Nov25 Oct28     (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 8.00    
2  TRES SOLES Nov26 Nov04 Sep29     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  NIGHTWIND Jan16 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Jul17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
4  BIG TICKET Feb04 Jan27       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
5  MOR LANA SPIRIT Jan21 Nov21 Oct28 Sep02   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE Jan28 Jan21 Nov03 Oct01 Jul03 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
7  GUITAR BOY Jan28 Dec19 Nov22 Oct11 Aug20 (ashford ray)LUZZI J 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
8  MANO DURA Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct01 Aug20 (asmussen m)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
9  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Jan21 Dec09 Nov03 Oct01 Sep15 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
10  MOR VICTORY Jan28 Nov22 Oct21 Oct06 Jul17 (gelner jayd)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
HOU-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIFTY         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  WESTONS WILDCAT Jan21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 3.50 8% 11.50    
3  PINKY RING BLING Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 Feb19 Jan20 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 8.00    
4  MALIBU THUNDER Jan15 Nov19 Oct27 Aug26 Jul21 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 ★    
5  CADDO FOX Jan20 Apr09 Mar03     (payne danny)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
6  BAYRON Jan15 Dec14 Dec03 Nov14 Oct10 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
7  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Feb05 Dec10 Apr08 Feb27 Jan15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 ★    
 
HOU-5   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING BLING BLING Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 May04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SWIFTERTHANTAYLOR by MY GOLDEN SONG)
2  JUST WHISKEY Jan28 Jan07       (mayfield randy)MORA GERARDO 117 8.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of WHISKEY EYES by SPECIAL RATE)
3  HARD GOLD Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 May20 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 117 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
4  BIGTIMEINTHECITY         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 117 6.00 ★    
  (by ALLSTAR DANCER out of SNIPPETS OF TIME by WANDO)
SCR  TAKE MY MONEY Jan28 Jan07 Sep15 Aug20 Jul17 (asmusse)GONCALVES R 117 10.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of RUNNING DISPUTE by CHEROKEE RUN)
6  I'M A COWBOY Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 Dec14 Jun19 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
SCR  BRADSTREET Jan14 Jun05       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
HOU-6   02/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER SNAP Jan28 Jan08 Nov25 Nov07 Oct07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 20.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of SENECA SONG by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
2  MOOJAB JR Jan22 Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 May01 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 116 10.00 ★    
  (by MOOJAB out of TICKET by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
3  LETHAL MOVE Jan20 Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 May01 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 116 30.00    
  (by STREET MOVE out of LETHAL TEMPER by SEATTLE SLEW)
4  ROBO Jan22 Jan14 Sep21 Sep01 Jul17 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 118 8.00    
  (by FINAL ROW out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
5  SINGING DIXIE Jan27 Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
SCR  JOHN DOUGH Jan14 Jul08 Jun19 May29 May08 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 116 20.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of I AM JANE DOUGH by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  TRULY DANZIG Jan07 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul08 (willis )GONCALVES R 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ETESAAL out of FLY SO TRUE by EARLY FLYER)
8  SINGAPORE FLASH Jan22 Feb19 Jan20     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 116 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of DARE TO DANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
9  SUNLIT SONG Jan22 Oct27 Sep25 Mar11 Feb19 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLY SO TRUE by EARLY FLYER)
10  STANS HOOKIN BULL Jan22 Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 May13 (j)DE CRUZ 116 15.00 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MENASCOTT by GIACOMO)
 
HOU-7   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBLES AND BLING Jan28         (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
2  COME TO THE PARTY Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 May19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
  (by BRADESTER out of TINA THE TIGER by ONCE A SAILOR)
3  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Jan27         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  IZATIZ Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Sep25 Jul21 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 122 0.60 28% 2.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
SCR  SATIN HEART Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Jun19 May19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 117 30.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
6  HOP ON IN Feb11 Jan15 Jun26 Jun05   (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 12.00 ★    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of COUNT ON LYNN by COUNT THE TIME)
7  WAVING BYE Jan28 Jan07 Jul10 Jun19   (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 117 15.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of MAKING WAVES by SLEWACIDE)
8  BLINGONMERCURY Jan27 Jan07 Jul21 Jun26   (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 30.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
HOU-8   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING'S BELLWETHER Jan20 Nov08 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 116 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  TOO MUCH ACTION Jan21 Jan13 Dec16 Nov19 Sep17 (o'dwyer)GONCALVES R 116 8.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of QUATRE ROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  ALGEBRA Jan20 Jun19 May27 Apr29 Mar26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 116 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of LITHE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  SUNDAY BLING Jan14 Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 Sep28 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 116 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SILVER SUNDAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
5  QUARTERBACK DAK Jan20 Nov12 Oct12 Aug27 Jul17 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY GIRL BESS by MORE THAN READY)
6  GOLD PILOT Jan20 May27 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  DUST EM Jan26 Jan06 Nov24 Nov05 Oct13 (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DUST by DIXIELAND HEAT)
 
HOU-9   02/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Jan27 Jul09 Mar02 Jan27   (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 116 30.00    
  (by WILBURN out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
2  IMALUCKYCHARM Jul17 Jun19 May12 Apr08 Feb17 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 4.00 7% 12.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
3  HONOR GIVEN Jan27 May28 May07 Apr08 Mar02 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 10.00    
  (by DON GATO out of LOVE GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
4  TOOTIE Feb04 Jan16 Dec01 May22 May06 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 116 20.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of B G COUNTRY GIRL by CATIENUS)
5  IMA DISCREET LADY Jan16 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 Oct05 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
6  ROSIE JANE Jan13 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jun17 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of I AM JANE DOUGH by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  NO MAS TEQUILA Jul17 Jun19 May21 May06 Mar26 (jacks k)GONCALVES R 116 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
8  MRS. KRINKLES Feb03 Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 118 30.00    
  (by TEXAS BLING out of ESPRESSO CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  TUDELA Jan13 Jul08 Jun10 May21 May07 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 20.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
10  TAHITIAN BREEZE Feb11 Jan13 Aug21 Jul21 Jun19 (hurley re)LANDEROS C 116 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DYNACHICK by DYNAFORMER)
11  DISCREET SMILE Jan15 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 May19 (jacks e)DIEGO V 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of SMILES GOLDEN SONG by MY GOLDEN SONG)
SCR  SET THE PACE Jan16 May28 May06 Mar12 Feb05 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 116 20.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of BRONXGIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.