Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODAS HONOR Nov04 Sep22 Aug30 Aug03   (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
2  CHOSEN MISS Nov05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jun11 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 7% 13.60    
3  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  LITTLE MISS MINION Nov06 Oct02 Aug27 Aug22 Jul23 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
5  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Nov17 Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Jun29 (mohan david )BATISTA A 122 12.00    
6  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Aug30 Aug24       (huffman kenneth )BAEZ M 115 5.00 10% 9.40    
7  IRON BERTIE Oct29 Oct15 Sep15     (deiter kell)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 ★    
 
CT-2   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTY J J Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 Jul08 Jun30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  A FAREWELL YODEL Nov04 Oct12 Apr07 Mar04 Jan26 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
3  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Nov16 Oct27 Oct14 Oct05 Sep07 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  POSTED Nov10 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 124 4.50    
5  THORN OF ROSE HILL Oct29 Oct14 Oct05 Sep01 Aug12 (espinosa vi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
6  MASTER THIS Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 Aug27 May27 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  MASTER YOO Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 (downie lofflin)BAEZ M 113 20.00 ★    
 
CT-3   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Oct28         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
2  SUPER KHOZAN         (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 11% 7.70    
3  PREACHER AMOS Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Apr22   (lockard donn)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
4  TAKE AIM Oct27 Oct06       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
5  BODYSLAM         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  BUCK WILD Nov11 Sep30 Sep09 Sep03 Jul28 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
7  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Nov20 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25   (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 ★    
8  GABRIEL'S WING Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 Sep07 Aug09 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.20 25% 2.90    
 
CT-4   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAX Nov05 Oct22 Sep10 Aug18 Jul16 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 ★    
2  SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Nov13 Oct06 Sep19 Aug20 Aug03 (parra)LABARRE GRACE 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
3  TORCH CARRIER Nov18 Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 ★    
4  SHINY PENNY Nov14 Oct27 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 (maldonado jonat)BOCACHICA O 120 1.40 31% 2.30    
5  CHIT CHAT GIRL Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Oct01 Sep10 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 122 12.00 10% 9.50    
6  PARTY MONSTER Nov03 Oct12 Oct01 Sep17 Sep07 (smith collie)ACOSTA D 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE Nov04 Oct14 Sep07 Aug26 Aug11 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  GOLDEN G Nov05 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug06 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
3  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug05 Jul04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 ★    
4  PRIMETIME JET Nov04 Sep12 Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 108 10.00 10% 9.00    
5  LION OF THE SEA Sep10 Jul10 Jun17     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  JEFFERSON NATIVE Nov03 Oct15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
7  SUPER JORDAN Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul29 Jul02 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 6.00    
8  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Oct15 Sep15 Jun11 May13 Apr20 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 8.00    
 
CT-6   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIKITRAKI Sep02 May27 Apr24 Mar26 Jan08 (zerpa gilb)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60 ★    
2  LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS Sep09 Jul10 Apr28     (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  ALWAYS DRINKING Oct26 Oct05 Aug31 Jul29 Jul13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 ★    
4  BAYTOWN JAKESTER May05 Apr14 Mar24 Mar04 Feb12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
5  CAJUN INVASION Jun01 May21 Feb12 Jan01   (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 10% 9.20    
6  MORGAN COUNTY Oct14 Sep09 Jul09 Jun17 May19 (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
 
CT-7   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET IMAGINATION Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Aug14 Jul06 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50    
2  DECISIVE CAUSE Nov04 Oct01 Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 118 30.00    
3  LADY STORM Nov02 Sep07 Aug26 Jun18 May18 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  TIZBIT Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
5  DETERMINED TRUTH Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Aug16 Jul20 (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
6  NICE N' BROAD Nov04 Oct14 Sep07 Aug19 Jul28 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BON FIRE DIVA Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Sep07 Aug26 (smith collie)CECIL Y 118 12.00 ★    
8  ICY REPLY Nov12 Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 Sep18 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 118 6.00 ★    
9  LACE REVOLUTION Nov04 Oct14 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00    
 
CT-8   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANEUIL HALL Nov04 Oct14       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
2  HEARNS Oct30 Oct16 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  A THOUSAND IDOLS Mar11 Feb25       (pickett crys)LEWIS M 112 12.00    
SCR  BUCKS LODGE Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 Jun10 May19 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
5  BROTHERFROMANOTHER Nov08 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24   (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00 ★    
6  IRISH MCDOUGAL Nov04 Oct27 Jul30 May20   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
7  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE Oct06 Sep11 Aug05 Jul01 Jun19 (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
8  MIMS HAT TRICK         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 5% 18.70    
9  BANCO MEDICI Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 Sep14 Aug17 (sparlin)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
SCR  TRICKY STRONG Aug20 Jul17       (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.