Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED LYON Oct20 Sep18 Aug21     (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
TEDDY'S HONOR Jul01 Jun18 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 120 3.00    
COMPASS CAY Oct05 Sep24 Sep12 Aug27 Jul31 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
CHIEF CHARLIE Sep16 Jul14 Jun23 Jun15 May26 (cordero an)TRUJILLO ANTONIO 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
LIL BULL Nov04 Oct14 Jul30 Jul01 May06 (wirth kenn)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
THEJIGISUP Oct04 Sep27 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 (torres r)SUAREZ J 118 3.50 10% 8.50    
 
TAM-2   11/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH KITTEN Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 Aug17 Jul14 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 13% 6.40    
ALEXA'S DREAM Oct16 Sep23       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50    
PEPPERMINT CLASS         (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
PRACTICALITY         (arriagada juan)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
MOOR STRENGTH Oct16 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01 (santillana)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00    
WANDERING Sep23 Aug05 Jun19 May08   (proctor thomas)CASTANON L 122 1.80    
 
TAM-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZOO Oct15 Sep21 Aug20 Jul24 Jun25 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
SIR KAHN Oct30 Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 Jun25 (pita daniel)HERNANDEZ K 122 30.00    
POSEIDEN Oct29 Aug13 Jun30 May04 Mar23 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
PREFERRED OUTCOME Oct19 Oct03 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 122 8.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Oct05 Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 Aug18 (torres r)RIVERA M 122 12.00    
HOT AND HEAVY Oct22 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun03 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 112 10.00 9% 10.30    
SHAKEM N BREAKEM Apr15 Mar16 Feb25 Jan28 Jan09 (dominguez luis)GREEN AUBRIE 122 30.00    
PALADIO Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 Jul24 Jul16 (mcgoey monic)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
NATIVE HAWK Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May04 Apr02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 1.20 49% 1.10    
10  KEVIN WITTE Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 Aug04 (posadas pedro)FERRER C 122 10.00    
 
TAM-4   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO DINERO Nov05 Oct08 Sep17     (perez blas)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
ZONAL Oct22 Sep17 Aug20 Jul02   (harty eoin)FERRER C 119 3.00    
PRALINE'S CAT Sep22 Sep09       (posadas pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 112 30.00    
SCR  THIRD MOON Oct28         (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 4.50    
SCR  SICILIANO Nov04         (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS May31         (potts g)ALLEN D 119 15.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  DAD'S ON A ROLL         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00 17% 5.00    
EASTON E Oct28 Aug29       (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE AND KIND Oct08 Sep03       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  TOURO         (laurato mich)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HERO Oct23 Oct09 Sep10 Jul30   (pita daniel)HERNANDEZ K 119 12.00    
 
TAM-5   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADYTILLREADY Oct14 Aug22 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (arriagada juan)MENA E 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
ROOKIE SALSA Oct14 Sep05 Aug06 Jun04 May14 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 3.50    
ROAD BIBLE Nov06 Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 Jul29 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
OCEAN RIDE Oct21 Sep30 Jul16 Jun09 May29 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
ROCKYSBUCKAROO Oct08 Aug26 Aug01 Jul16 May28 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 120 20.00    
GUACO Oct06 Sep12 Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
NO COMMISSION Aug06 Apr17 Mar26 Mar13 Mar03 (tsirigotis j)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
SIXTY ONE Nov18 Oct30 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
 
TAM-6   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERULEAN Oct27 Sep29 Sep17 Aug24 Jul30 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  WATER WITCH Oct27 Apr27 Apr02 Mar05   (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
LA BRODY Nov12 Aug10 Jul17 Jun30 Mar05 (cascallar)CAMACHO JR 121 30.00    
SCR  ANY PORT Nov04 Sep24 Aug12 Jul28 Apr15 (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50    
SCR  LILY'S LEAD Oct28 May26 May06 Apr15 Jan01 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
SCR  BLUE NEITH Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 Jul15 Jun23 (sanchez )GALLARDO A 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
BROADWAY PEGGY Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 Jul01 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 30.00    
WASSER Oct26 Oct07 Sep17 Sep05 Aug17 (posadas pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 15.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Sep17 Sep10 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
10  BELLA ROMANCE Sep11 Jul31 Jun30 May28 Apr15 (bordis rober)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
11  HELEONORTIZ Oct06 Aug27 Jun29 Jun18 Feb19 (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 4.00 9% 10.00    
12  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 Aug03 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 121 30.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  LUNA'S TREASURE Oct07 Sep23 Aug30 Jul23 Jul01 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
14  MAGIC SURPRISE Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
 
TAM-7   11/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BIG DRAMA Oct23 Sep25 Aug19     (dobber w)MENA E 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
RUNAWAY TOM Oct23 Aug20 Jul22 May26 May07 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50    
MINISTER QUINN Oct29 Oct16 Oct01 Sep04 Aug20 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
MY BROTHER MIKE Nov05 Oct14 Aug20 Jul23 May14 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEACON ELI May31         (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 122 30.00    
ABSOLUTIST Aug10 Jun30       (cook devin)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00    
EL MIC TIESUN Sep29 Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS MYTH Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar11 Feb25 (ubide max)CENTENO E 124 6.00 46% 1.20    
MISTER FERNANDO Sep30 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May06 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 15.00 6% 14.60    
10  GOLDEN WONDER Aug21 Jul02 May06 Apr20 Mar12 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 30.00    
11  AIDINGANDABETTING         (arriagada juan)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
 
TAM-8   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIMNEY ROCK Sep20 Jul20 Jun02 May11 Mar20 (laurato mi)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00    
SCRUTINIZER Oct16 Oct01 Sep12 Aug07 Jul18 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
LORD BERRIER Sep18 Mar09 Jan21     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
EXPENSIVE STYLE Sep29 Jul27 Jun24 Jun10 Apr20 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
DRAMA'S PRAYER Oct06         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
CLASSIC BET Oct23 Sep23 Sep12 Aug19 Jul31 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
SAN COSTANTINO Oct20 Oct11 Aug31 Jul28 Jul06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
REMUDA Apr23 Mar27       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
VERRAZANOINTHESKY Oct09 Sep16 Aug13     (banks ch)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 20.00    
SCR  MORGAN POINT Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 May26 (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
 
TAM-9   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JITTERS Oct30 Oct16 Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
PLATINUMCENTS Jul01 May06 Apr24 Apr16 Mar23 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
SASSY LIKE JULIA Oct23 Jul10 Jul02 May30 Apr23 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
BIONDA SUPRISE Oct07 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Apr20 (yanez moises)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
RASMALAI Jun30 May06       (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
LUSCIOUS Aug29 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 (bennett geral)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
KENYA SUN Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Jul24 Jun30 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
LOVE'S MISERY Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.00 5% 19.00    
MARKET OF STOCKS Oct22 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug26 (tsirigotis jam)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
10  GARBO SPEAKS Oct30 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
11  QUALITY TOO SPARE Sep08 Aug22 Jul18 Jul12 Jun09 (spanabel r)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.