Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRATHOUSE MUSIC Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Apr16 Mar09 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
2  INTERNET OF THINGS Oct20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 May21 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
3  SURE WOULD FOREST Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 ★    
4  CANTAKEITANYMORE Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 May11 Mar19 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 ★    
5  TOP HAT TREASON Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 Jul21 Jun22 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
6  FINAL SAY Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Jun25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 ★    
7  CHASE RUNNER         (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  ALPHA QUEUE Oct22 Oct08 Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
 
CT-2   11/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTED Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 Jun04 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 10.00 ★    
2  LASHER Oct22 Aug28 Aug05 Jun30 May07 (scott lloyd )LEWIS M 110 15.00    
3  DUKE OF CORK Oct22 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug27 (shanley mark)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Jul22 Jun04 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
5  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Oct12 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun04 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 12.00 ★    
6  FELICIAS CASTLE Oct22 Sep21 Aug27 Aug11 Jun29 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 63% 0.60    
7  AIR MEDAL Oct27 Oct12 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 (pickett g)CULLUM W 120 2.50 8% 10.90    
 
CT-3   11/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST ON A MISSION Oct21 Sep29 Aug19 Jul23 Jun03 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
2  MAKE WAY Oct21 Sep29 Aug27 Jul29 Jul22 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 ★    
3  MONGOLIAN HERO Oct29 Oct07 Sep02 Jun20 May16 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Sep21 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 15.00    
5  LUFTY'S KISSES Oct29 Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00 10% 8.60    
6  INDIANA RED Oct21 Oct07 Apr23 Mar19 Mar04 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  OFFICER APPEAL Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 (downie loffl)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00 13% 6.60    
8  STRAIGHT UP GUY Oct28 Sep17 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
9  FEISTY KITTEN Oct29 Oct22 Sep30 Sep18 Aug31 (downie loffl)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   11/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW IS SHE Oct01 Sep08 Jul15 Jun16 May25 (johnson deway)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  WEST VIRGINIA PAM Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
3  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Oct20 Sep17 Jul15 Jun24 May07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 ★    
4  KATALIMA Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul21 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  SARAH'S WARRIOR Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 ★    
6  BAYS CASTLE Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  GLOBAL EMPRESS Sep30 Sep15 Aug19 Jul28 Jul15 (couchenour le)ADAMS L 110 5.00    
 
CT-5   11/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCANNY Oct12 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00    
2  TIZ THE REASON Oct12 Oct01 Sep21 Jul23 Jul02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  MS HEADLEY Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 Mar04 Feb17 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
4  SCARLET TANAGER Oct12 Jun23 May07 Apr13 Mar19 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
5  VALID REASON Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 Jul02 Jun11 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.60 ★    
6  GARY DOING BIZ Sep28 Sep02 Jul23 Jul02 Mar19 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
7  NELLYSFORD Sep21 Aug22 Jul29 Jul09 May28 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 14% 6.40    
 
CT-6   11/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWEET THIS Oct12 Sep14 Jun30 May26 May05 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  JEFFERY SCOTT Sep29 Jul16 Jun25 May28 May04 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
3  ROCKET APPEAL Oct28 Sep24 Aug13 Jun24 Jun11 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 Aug06 Jul14 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 ★    
5  CAYENNE CREEK Oct13 Aug20 Aug06 May27 Apr30 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  OUT OF CENTS Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 Jun16 May06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40    
7  ROCKET'S CASTLE Oct05 Sep15 Aug27 Jul09 Jun16 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   11/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MACHO Oct19 Sep10 Aug06 Jul18 Jun09 (atkins ea)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
2  CHINA CAT Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 Jun09 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 39% 1.50    
3  SHERIFF'S KID Oct22 Sep28 Sep10 Aug04 Jun30 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  PETTIGO GIRL Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 Aug20 Aug03 (joy j)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
5  MAE SAI PRINCESS Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDERTURTLE         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 8% 10.80    
7  VOLNAY Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 Jul23 Jun10 (perri gina)ALVELO C 124 4.00 ★    
8  DULCIMER DAME Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul15 Jun17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
 
CT-8   11/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D TACHYON Oct26 Sep30 Jan04     (grullon rique)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
2  BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Oct20 Sep08 Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 (pickett crystal)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
3  MESMERIZED Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
4  ROCKET SOUND Oct05 Sep23 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 ★    
5  NOW I'M BROKE Oct26 Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr14 (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
6  DATA DEAL Oct07 Sep21 Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 (jones michael)ADAMS L 110 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  VIDMER'S COURAGE Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 Jul29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
8  QUICK WIT Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 Sep08 Aug20 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 20.00 ★    
9  FIT BUT FAT Oct20 Sep02 Aug11 Jun25 Jun10 (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
10  FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE Oct26 Oct14 Sep22 Sep09 Aug05 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
SCR  ADIOS SEE YA         (straughn wi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
SCR  DR RAGS Oct21 Sep25 Sep18 Jul29 Jul15 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.