Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   10/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT THE MOON         (dixon tim)FLORES S 120 10.00    
SKY TIZZY         (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER         (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
YOU HAVE NO IDEA Sep24 Aug28       (gustafson austin)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
CORA PEARL         (brinkman brett)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
MEGANS MILLIONS         (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 8.00    
BANK ON IT         (faucheux)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
CORONA DEL MAR Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul09 Jun25 (broussar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
EARLY DAWN         (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
DED-2   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA DAWN Aug19 Aug05 Jul07 Jun18 May14 (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.00    
OUR LITTLE GIRL Oct05 Aug18 Jul15 Jun01 May11 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
CATCAKE Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (grudzien rylee)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
FINNLEYS ENCORE Apr28 Feb12       (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 10.00    
ANGELA'S CELERITY Oct12 Sep10 Aug21 Jul11 Jun28 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00 23% 3.40    
ISOLATION Aug13 Jun29 Jun16 May27 May07 (faucheux ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 2.00 43% 1.30    
G'S DEADLINE Sep19 Sep06 Jul04 Jun12 May30 (delany s)RUIZ GARCIA 120 5.00    
 
DED-3   10/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM TAT         (gelner scott)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00    
ADDISONS WARRIOR Sep13         (reeves jef)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SERRANO'S WARRIOR May24         (johnson henry)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
STARPORT         (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
ELUSIVEDESTINATION         (morris rowdy)BACA L 120 8.00    
COUNTRY CAT JAKE Oct07         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
EASY EDDIE A         (fuselier jonah)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
FLASHY BOY         (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 21% 3.70    
HOLY BAYOU         (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 120 5.00    
 
DED-4   10/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOOK Oct06 Jul27 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 (cormier housto)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
BOURBON ST TAPPIN Oct08 Aug18 Jun30 Jun16 May04 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
COUNTERFEIT Jun20 May29 May08 Feb23 Feb03 (thomas lee)BACA L 120 8.00    
OAK HILL SOLUTION Oct08 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun29 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
JOEBOY Sep11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May31 (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
BAYOU SARGE Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Jul02 Jun14 (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00    
BAND BOSS Aug27         (lee)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
TIN DELAY Aug10 Jul13 Jun01 May18 Apr27 (charles keith)BIRZER E 120 4.00 6% 15.00    
SLOW May31 Feb23 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 (cox l)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
 
DED-5   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REUNIFICATION Feb25 Feb10       (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 120 2.00    
JUST ANOTHER WIN Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 May05   (woodley j)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
MAYWON Oct06 Aug13       (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 13% 7.00    
WORLD OF HURT Jul14 Jun10 May14 Mar09 Jan16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
K V SQUARED Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 112 6.00    
RYAN'S GRACE Aug26 Jul01 Jun13 May20 Mar23 (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
BELL PEPPER         (winslow janine)TORRES HUGO 115 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
DED-6   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUFFIN NUTS Sep20 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 May15 (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
GRAND PRIORITY Oct06 Aug19 Jul16 Jun09 May15 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  SHANGHAI RONNIE Jul13 Jun01 May04 Mar06 Feb24 (delahoussaye gle)THORNTON G 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Aug20 May10 Apr20 Feb26 Feb03 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
MICAJAH Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 Jun04   (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
GRAND PRADO Oct07 Aug05 Jun09 May14 Feb12 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 10.00    
WAR ROGUE Aug20 Feb16 Feb04 Jan14   (roberts kenneth)BACA L 120 20.00    
ROCK ON COWBOY Jun23 May27 Apr27 Feb19 Jan12 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00    
HIGH RIDGE Aug11 Jul08 May18 Apr29 Apr07 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
10  CROCODILE JACQUES Apr09 Feb16 Jan29     (zenon ch)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Oct07 Jul29 Jun15 May25 May05 (besancon dann)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
SCR  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Oct07 Aug05 Jul16 Jun30 Jun09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
 
DED-7   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANK THE MAYOR Aug12 Jun15 Jun05 May12 Apr07 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
1A  STAN'S MIRACLE MAN         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 3.50    
MONZZA Aug11 Jul01 Jun16 May28 Apr30 (chatters)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 8.00    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Jul20 Jul08 Jun03 May19 Apr27 (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
HOLY CITY Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 Jan17   (gelner scott)POMPELL L 115 6.00    
HERZEN Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jul02 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
COWBOY RIDGE Sep11 Aug20 Aug02 Jul17 Jun25 (kotara ronald)FLORES S 118 5.00    
HIS GIANT Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
DED-8   10/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IN THE ARCH Aug18 Jun30 Jun15 Apr21   (landry ray)STOKES J 118 5.00    
OVERDELIVER Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (cox l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 20.00 5% 17.80    
LODE OF BLARNEY Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Aug12 Jul11 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
TALE OF A STORM Aug27 Jun28 May30 May12 Apr16 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 6% 14.80    
CREEKMORE Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 Jul05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
LET IT B Oct05 Aug13 Jun25     (thompson kevi)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 20.00    
CARBON STRYKER Sep01 Jul24 Jun26 May30 Apr20 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.00    
SHIFTY HENRY Oct05 Aug13 Jun18 May30 Mar24 (roubion steve)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
MR. PRODUCTION         (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  CREATIVE LETTERS Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 May30 May09 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
SCR  JAKE THE BAND MAN Oct05 Aug27 Aug17 Jul20 Jul02 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 115 15.00    
SCR  FAREWELL TIME Oct05 Aug27 Aug10 Jun25 May12 (broberg karl)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 3.50 8% 11.00    
 
DED-9   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR TROLLEY Sep24 Sep05 Aug01 Jun18   (west g)TORRES HUGO 112 4.00 5% 18.50    
TOUGH START Sep26 Sep04 Aug03 Jul07 Jun10 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 117 8.00    
PERFECT STRIKE Aug26 Jul21 Jun11     (thomas lee)BACA L 117 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  THUNDER JAM Sep18 Aug13 Jul23     (meaux ja)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
CHAN Aug25         (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 117 5.00 23% 3.30    
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Oct05 Aug26 Aug13 Jul27 Jul13 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 120 12.00    
DARK MATTER Sep26 Sep04 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 (brinkman bre)ALBERT S 115 3.50    
PAC THE PULPIT Sep26 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun29 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00 9% 10.20    
ANGOLA VACATION Oct05 Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 (zenon shelton)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
10  FRIEND'S DO CARE Aug27         (pennino frank)LEDET THEODRICK 117 12.00    
SCR  DOUBLE TRAP Oct07 Sep25 Aug27 Jul23 Jul04 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
SCR  SABERMAN Oct12         (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.