Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRVIEW         (lawrence jame)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
GO NIKKI GO Sep16 Jul16       (sano antonio)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00    
LADY LANCER Sep11 Aug27 Jul16 Jun17   (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
LUCKY FREEDOM Sep28 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 Jul01 (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
JIMMYDABOOK Oct05         (smith jason )ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SAENGER STAR Aug30 Aug03       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.50    
CULPA BLANCO         (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  ELARY Aug07         (barboza victor )CENTENO E 119 8.00    
 
DEL-2   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUKNOWWHATITIZZZ Sep17 Apr02 Feb27 Feb03 Jan22 (hall aime)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
SALSA RITA Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 Aug21 Jul30 (king clare)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  CLASSY SADIE Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul13 (guerrero j )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 6.00    
MOSLER'S TOUCH Oct07 Sep28 Sep09 Aug13 Jul28 (huet k)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
TORN JEANS Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 Jun12 May17 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
LUCKY LIZZIE Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 Jul28 May26 (cordero-lopez)ALICEA JEREMY 110 3.00 25% 3.00    
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Oct12 Sep17 Aug29 Aug06 Jul15 (simmonds mich)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON SIGN Sep07 Aug23       (russell britta)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Sep22 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06   (pecoraro an)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00    
DART Sep15 Aug29 Aug01     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00    
SCR  BLACKWATER FALLS Jul13         (bryant donald )CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
IN DETAIL Sep10 Jul21       (camejo jose )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
Z'S SO GOOD Sep10         (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
COCO SHELL Aug29 Aug01       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 12.00    
EXCALIBRATE Oct07 Sep22 Sep04 Aug14   (chichakly amira)BISONO J 122 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY MISCHIEF Oct06         (bennett d)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
DEL-4   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFTY DEVIL Sep15 Aug31 Jul20     (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
EVEY'S CANDY Sep27 Sep05 Aug03     (lake a)OCASIO M 122 6.00    
SCR  THE COLORA KID Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug17 Jul27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
BRIGHT FORECAST Sep10 Aug27 Jun30     (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  COLD FEET Jul27         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
FLAWLESS CAT Oct02         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 6.00    
SCR  ROL AGAIN DANCER Oct02 Aug27 Jul02 Jun04 Apr08 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
DEL-5   10/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE JERSEY TOWN Oct08 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 May25 (cash norman )ARROYO S 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MASAI MAN Oct13 Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 Jul05 (cash norman )ARROYO S 125 2.50    
SUPER GARNER         (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 6% 15.60    
NIMBLE BEAST Oct01 Aug24 Jul27 Jul05 Jun01 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO Oct05 May31 May18 May07 Mar25 (chichakly amir)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
SCR  RACK GIN Oct01 Sep12 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 (wyner harold)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOHN'S PROMISE Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 Jun08 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 125 6.00    
INSIDE RISK Oct08 Sep22 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 (caison l)CECIL Y 122 8.00    
 
DEL-6   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE VIC Sep24 Aug23 May21 May08 Mar02 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 2.00 11% 8.40    
A DANGEROUS GUY Oct04 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 Apr18 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 8% 11.90    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00    
EPIC LUCK Oct01 Sep14 Sep02 Aug09 Jul21 (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
SPIKEZONE Sep26 Sep06 Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
RADICAL RIGHT Oct09 Aug19 Jul17 Jun29 Jun11 (capuano dale)ROSE J 118 8.00    
 
DEL-7   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPERDOO Sep30 Aug25 Jul25 Jun30 Jun15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  WENTZ Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 May29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 6.00    
SHOO SHINE Jul22         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 2.00 49% 1.10    
STEFANO Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 May15 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00    
FOLE'S NOTION Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 Jul22 Jun22 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  TRULULU Oct05 Sep03       (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
AZURE SKY Sep22 Sep07 Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 (mcgoey monica)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
SCR  RADIEUX Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jun27 May20 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 8.00    
UNDER THE RADAR Oct01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 Jul23 (nambo cesar)CEDENO CAROL 117 6.00    
 
DEL-8   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERNET OF THINGS Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr29 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
MIRACLE SILVER Oct08 Sep02 Aug23 Aug13 Jul23 (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
MASTER OF WAR Oct11 Sep20 Sep14 Jul25 Jul13 (castillo sanc)MILAN GERARDO 122 10.00    
MUCHACHO MACHO Oct01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 Jun11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
PAY THE KID Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 Jul14 (sepulveda c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00    
MINECRAFTER Sep23 Aug20 Jul06 May28 Apr22 (nazario pedr)ARROYO S 117 8.00    
LAST PROMISE Sep01 Feb27 Jan26 Jan08   (minieri jo)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
IT'S FATE Sep29 Sep09 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00 7% 14.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.