Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS THERE Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Jul23 Jul16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  POINT LOMA Jul19         (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  AIR ONE Aug30 Aug17 Jul26     (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 12.00    
4  CITY TRIPPER Sep06 Aug23       (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 120 2.00 13% 6.60    
5  GOOSE HUNTER Sep07 Aug22       (brooks e)SPIETH S 120 5.00 ★    
6  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Sep12 Aug22 Aug02     (hayes leland)ALLEN D 120 2.50 ★    
 
PID-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAW HONEY Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 (fiesman )MARTINEZ A 117 6.00 ★    
2  MACRELLETTA Sep15 Sep07 Aug15 Jul28 Jul11 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  ARTUME Aug08 Jul14 Jun06 Mar31 Mar08 (west m)MARTINEZ W 117 4.00 ★    
4  SIDE ACTION Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul07 Jun20 (morrell justi)WALKER M 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
5  GRAND VENUS Aug24 Aug16 Jul26     (gotera juan )AYALA J 119 10.00    
6  SHES A THREAT Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul07 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  LIGHTNING ROUND Sep07 Aug17 Aug11 Jul15 Jul01 (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   09/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENE WARRIOR Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 1.40 60% 0.70    
2  RUNAWAY PHYLLIS Aug31 Aug24 Aug10 Jul10 Jun14 (potts g)WALKER M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COZAR'S QUEEN Aug08 Jul20 Jul07     (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00    
4  GUCCI GAL Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Aug08 Jul20 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
5  LOOKING FOR LOVE Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 ★    
6  LIMONATA Sep08 Aug24 Aug01 Jul19 Jan11 (stokes lance)AYALA J 124 2.50 8% 10.90    
7  ROYAL GOLD DIGGER Sep15 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE May23         (buhrow jamie)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 7% 12.60    
2  LAWN DART Sep16 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
3  POQUITO ROSE Aug17 Jul21 Jun27 Jun02 May18 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
4  TIDAL WATERS Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 Jun07 May16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
5  WATERLOO SUNSET Sep08 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 (schneider ki)AYALA J 124 12.00    
6  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 Jun14 May25 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  DANCE OR STROLL Aug24 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  LITTLEBITALILY Aug16 Jul12 Jun18 Apr29 Mar30 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 8% 11.40    
9  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 (brooks e)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADIAN GAME Jan23         (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Aug29 Jun27 Jun16 Jun02 May23 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
3  WORLD OF FOOLS Sep15 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 (smith lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
4  BLICHTON Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 ★    
5  INCITATUS Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 124 5.00    
6  STUCK UP Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun27 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 ★    
7  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Sep06 Aug15 Jul14 Jun12 May01 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 Jul04 (smith lawren)AYALA J 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDEKI Sep07 Feb26 Jan22     (walsh d)WALKER M 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  LIGHTNING FIRE         (martin william)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
3  SILVERY RILL Jul19 Jun02 Apr10 Mar13   (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
4  MIDNIGHT FAME Sep15         (carr-rozantz c)ROMERO RAMON 122 6.00    
SCR  WILD IRISH Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 ★    
6  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Aug29 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  CRYSTAL SHIP Aug30 Aug08       (bourke w)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
PID-7   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH DELIGHT Sep05 Aug15 Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
2  LET'S BE CLEAR Jul31 Jun12 May19 Apr02 Mar05 (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BOURBON GAL Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
4  YOGURT Aug22 Jul21 Jul05 Jun09 May25 (short d)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 ★    
5  SHEISTHEHERO Sep14 Jul11 Jul03 Jun16 Jun06 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 12.00    
6  SHE'S DANCING Sep05 Aug15 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  CLASSY HALO Sep06 Aug15 Aug03 Jul25 Jun16 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
8  MADAM MACLEAN Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 May31   (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 122 5.00 ★    
 
PID-8   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYPIT Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  WILD LOOKER Aug30 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun27 (skawinski carol)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
3  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 Jul07   (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 61% 0.70    
4  CHARLIV Sep08 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul14 (potts g)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00    
5  TIZ PROMISING RVF Sep12 Aug31 Aug21 Aug11 Jul06 (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
6  LACEE Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul26 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  WOW FACTOR Sep15 Aug11 Jul13 Jun16 May12 (valdez moises)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 ★    
8  SWEET MOOCHIE Sep13 Aug29 Aug16 Aug03 Jul19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.