Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arizona Downs
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AZD-5   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDA NEEDA DRINK Aug05 Jul10 Jul01 Jun10   (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 3.50    
BOSS BRIDE         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 8.00    
ARIZONA ANDREW Aug20 Aug08       (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
JOHN'S KID Aug20 Jul18       (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
NOBLE CRUSADER Jul18         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
DAHLIA'S DANCER Aug20         (barraza s)LULL E 119 15.00    
PAISLEY'S VISION Aug19 Jul18 May07 Apr13   (rollins scott)LEON A 119 20.00    
 
AZD-6   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Aug01 Jun27 May02 Apr01 Mar14 (guerra jacque)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
RES IPSA LOQUITUR Aug20 Aug06 Apr21 Apr12 Mar22 (campo stacy)BARBER R 118 0.80 44% 1.30    
MUSICAL GEM Aug22 Apr03 Mar11 Feb12   (nelson amy)LEON A 122 8.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Aug20 Aug01 Jul18     (alvarez sergio)LULL E 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
THE THIRD RING Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 Jul16 May02 (chattong vichie)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 15.00    
RI' PIN SNAP Aug27 Apr28 Apr18 Mar22 Feb08 (duarte-noriega jo)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00    
W. WHITEHOUSE Aug19 Jun25 Jun04 May15 May01 (dominguez ange)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00    
 
AZD-7   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLYMPIC EXPRESS Aug13         (ferguson cu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
RAIL HUGGER Aug01 Jul04 May06 Apr01 Mar14 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 6.00    
RACE HOME Jul23 Jul04 Apr27 Apr05 Mar11 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 126 1.60 57% 0.80    
MACCHIATO D'ORO May03 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25   (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  THE BEAT Aug15 Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 May15 (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00    
LIMONITE Aug01 Jul23 May29 Apr22 Apr02 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 126 2.00    
RONAMO Jul09 Jun27 May03 Apr07 Mar28 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 126 5.00 8% 11.40    
FAMILY BIZ Jul28 Jul01 Jun05 May06 Mar15 (evans justin)LEON A 124 8.00    
 
AZD-8   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCLUDE HOO Aug29 Aug13 Mar20 Mar09 Feb17 (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 20.00    
RUN TAPPY Aug22 Jul10 Jun27 May29 May09 (george cynthi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  OUTLAW BY NATURE Aug13 May07 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (jensen loren)LULL E 122 20.00    
SCR  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Apr26 Apr18 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 2.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Aug22 Jul11 Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 (elston brent)LEON A 122 10.00    
WESTFEST Aug22 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 Jun13 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50    
THE PUBLIC HALO Aug22 Aug08 Jul09 May02 Mar08 (kenney dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
LINEMANS CHECK Aug20 Aug13 Jul11 Apr21 Mar25 (barrio sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50    
DON'TTEASETHETIGER Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Apr12 Mar22 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.