Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER CREEK ROAD Jul21 Feb15 Jan11     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00    
WISE KHOZAN Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
TANTRUM Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar22 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 1.80 36% 1.70    
IMPERIAL BREW Aug18 Jul19 May31 May17 Mar16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
FU ROO Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun08 May21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
VENETIAN DREAM Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 Jul19 Jul04 (bailey ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
FUEGO CALIENTE Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 May24 Apr27 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  OWN THE TOWN Aug10 Jul27 Jul04 May31   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
LORD EDDARD STARK Aug11 Jul12       (blair jordan)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
10  GIO SAMMY Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 May16 Apr27 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AJWIBAH         (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
ALL STAR JUSTICE Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01   (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
TARTAN THE BULL Jul27 Jul12 Jun01 May04 Apr09 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
KING VALERO Aug03 Jul12 May30 May11 Apr25 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
THE DRAKE Aug16 Jul12 Jun30 Jun13 May21 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 7% 13.70    
GOLDEN READY Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 May30 Mar02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 41% 1.40    
CAT'S CURIOSITY Aug15 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
TDN-3   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLYDE PARK Aug18 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
LOVE TREE Jul28 Jun28 Jun13 May11   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
ALGORIX Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 Jun08 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
GEH SCHNELL Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 (manning c)VELEZ J 121 5.00    
SOUL OF DISCRETION Aug03 Jul27 Jun27 Jun11 May30 (inirio carlos)QUEVEDO JOSE 114 15.00    
SUPER VISION Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 Jun22 (inirio carlo)HALDAR J 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL SICARIO         (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
ANGEL'S ENTRY Aug03 Jun22 Jun02 May17 May02 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
UNCLEJACKOMO Aug18 Jul19 Jun29 Jun16 Mar26 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
CRY MACHO Aug03 Jul25 Jul06 May17 Apr26 (londono odin)HALDAR J 115 3.50 41% 1.40    
MASTER Aug18 Jun29 Jun16 May17 Apr28 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 7% 12.90    
JOYFUL CANDY Aug01 May26 May03 Mar13   (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHLOES ANGEL Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun11 May25 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
SWEET EMPIRE Aug16 Jul21 Jul06 Jun24 Jun09 (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 8.00    
JETTIN PEGASUS Aug04 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 May26 (suarez javi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
HIDDEN PRIDE Jun21 May24 May07 Apr16 Mar18 (gonzalez donac)QUEVEDO JOSE 114 15.00    
SWINDLE Aug08 Jul21 Jul05 Jun01 May18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
CRISTALINDA Jun06 May16 Apr28 Apr16 Feb19 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION GIRL May18 Apr25 Mar16 Mar02 Jan24 (gorham )PILARES P 115 5.00 16% 5.40    
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY Aug10 Jul27 Jun27 Jan05   (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 Jun06 May24 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
SCARLETT'S AWISH Aug04 Apr13 Mar15 Feb26   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 Jun11 May17 (atala jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
PROPHETESS Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 May10 Apr25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
ST PATTY'S SONG Aug13 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May18 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EVY GRACE Aug01 Jul14 May26 Apr28 Mar19 (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
CAT'S RHYTHM Aug13 Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POWER BANKER Jul14 Jun29 Jun03 May25 Apr28 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 10.00    
FRONT CIRCLE Aug01 Jul20 Jun14 May30   (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
PANAMANIAC Aug13 Aug01 Jul14 May30 May16 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
CATABOUT Aug13 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun13 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
SHORE OF EDEN Aug13 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May11 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRACTICAL MAN Aug10 Jun22 Jun02 May12 Apr10 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
ZINFATUATION Jul11 Jun28       (alamo miguel )CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
DUKE OF FENWAY Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May30 May12 (atala jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
KRAZY HAWK Aug17 Jul19 Jun02 May21   (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 15.00 7% 14.00    
HEARNS Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 May26 Apr20 (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
DIAMOND MONEY Aug17 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May21 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
TRUMP FLAG Jul11 May14 Feb04     (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May30 (flores isr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.