Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITCHI Jul05 Jun26 May21 Apr12 Mar10 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
2  ONLYATTHESHOE Jul26 Jun28       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 121 3.00 27% 2.60    
3  PALTARREVENGE Jul28 Jul04 Jun13 May26 May03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  KLAATU Jul28 Jun13 May16 May03 Mar19 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 ★    
5  THIS MAN CAN Aug04 Jul13 May31 Apr27 Apr12 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
6  TAMANRASSETT Jul18 Jun22 May16 May04 Apr09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 ★    
 
TDN-2   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Jul06         (atal)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 Mar01 Jan22 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 ★    
3  SWEET EMPIRE Jul21 Jul06 Jun24 Jun09 May25 (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  SABELLE Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May31 May11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 117 10.00    
5  PURITY Jul27 Jul06 May25 Apr26   (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  CAJUN DELIGHT Aug05 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 May26 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY PRINCE Jan12         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  BRIG Jul25 Jun03 May03     (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.00 16% 5.40    
3  DILETTANTE Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Apr28 Apr09 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST Jul06 Jun16 Jun02 Jan05   (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★    
5  OL' NED Jul06 Jun03 May02 Apr13 Mar22 (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 12.00 ★    
6  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Jul06 Jun21       (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBER Jul28 Jul14       (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
1A  RULING EMPIRE Aug02 Jul14 Jun13 May25 May04 (calderon )CORREA L 123 5.00 ★    
2  SHADOW TRACER Jul28 Jul06 May30 May12 Apr18 (jackson jam)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  THE DRAKE Jul12 Jun30 Jun13 May21   (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
4  ADHHAR Jun30 Feb15 Jan26 Jan14   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  FAHRENHEIT Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May30 May11 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 ★    
6  THE COOKIE MAN Aug01 Jul14 Jul04 Jun13 Jun01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
TDN-5   08/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 Apr26 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 10% 9.10    
1A  SPECIAL BEACH Aug03 Jun30 Jun13 May30 May07 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.00    
2  COURTLY Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 ★    
3  MANHATTAN LADY Jul18 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 May21 (brown t)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
4  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jul18 Jun07 May04 Feb09 Jan29 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 ★    
5  CLOSE TO ME Aug01 Jul13 May11 Apr08 Feb21 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 ★    
6  LITTLE MATILDA Aug01 Jul13 Jun12 Jun01 Apr26 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
TDN-6   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Aug03 Jan31       (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  DUDES LAWYER Aug03 Jun28 May26 May18 Jan14 (urieta jo)CORREA L 119 5.00    
2  BLUSHING BETTY Aug03 May30 Feb16 Jan26   (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  LADY VALENTINA Jul05 May25 May15 May01 Apr18 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 7% 12.90    
4  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Jul26 Jun22 May30 Feb19 Jan15 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
5  DIVINE MARTHA Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May07 Mar31 (es)DA FAUSTO 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  COMPANYS COMING Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May30 Apr27 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 3.50 ★    
7  HASTY LADY Aug03 Apr01 Mar13     (vernino raym)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/16/2022 6270ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICK SILVER Jun02 May20 Apr23 Apr10 Mar05 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50 34% 1.90    
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL Jul19 Jul12 May15 May05 Mar19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 128 3.50    
2  FAT DADDY Jul14 Jun20 Jun08 May24 May03 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  ITASCA Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 Jan04   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 125 2.50 12% 7.30    
4  ZITMAN Jul14 Jun14 May31 May12 Mar27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 6% 14.90    
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jul14 Jul04 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 113 12.00    
6  LAST DROP OF WINE Jul14 Jun27 May25 Mar26 Mar02 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 6.00    
7  MAXIMIZER Aug04 Jul27 Jan21     (bail)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARKS COVE         (miller ar)CORREA L 119 12.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  OAK ROOM         (urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 ★    
2  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jul13 Jun25 Jun13 May25   (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 14% 5.90    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jun13 Mar18 Mar02 Feb19 Jan22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
4  COMPASS POINT Jul19 Jun11 May19 Apr19   (gorham )PILARES P 119 12.00    
5  CENTSOFWANDER Jul06 Jun16 May16 Apr28 Mar23 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  RELEASED Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May17 Apr28 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  DEL GRIFFITH Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 May17   (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
SCR  TRATO Jul22 Jun29 May12 May04 Mar09 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 20.00    
9  GRAND DEAL Jul05 Jun22 May16 Apr11 Apr04 (poole jeffrey )DIAZ I 121 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.