Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYDRA'S HOPE Jun29 Jun11 May25     (jordan rick)MOJICA JR 116 5.00    
STONE COLD CAT Jun30 Jun03 May24 May02   (cahill steven )REYES R 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
MYMONSTERSFORREAL         (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
BRINK POINT Jun30 Jun09 Jan15     (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
RECKLESS L J Jul05 May25 Feb16 Jan14   (haehn r)FELIX E 121 3.00    
 
BTP-2   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOM THE BOMB Jul21 Jun27 Jun02 May21 Mar25 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
1A  D'MONEY HONEY Jul05 Jun21 Jun02 May21   (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
UNDER THE COUVERS Jun24 May21 Mar31 Feb18 Jan22 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 3.50 12% 7.00    
2B  DRAGON DREW Jul06 Jun16 Mar25 Feb18 Jan23 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 3.50    
AIRWAR Jul06 Jun24 Jun02 May03 Mar21 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00    
RONNI'S STORM Jul14 Jun01 May25 May12 Apr29 (ballard fran)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00    
PRINCE JERSEY TOWN May25 May11       (cash norman)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOTTSACKER Jul11 May11       (bailey joe)MORALES JOSHUA 116 20.00    
SCR  OXWOOD Jul05 Jun21 Jun02 May17 Apr20 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 116 10.00    
K W CAPTAIN HOOK Jun21 Jun02 May11 May04 Mar31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAY IT AIN'T SO Jul15 Jun30 Jun24 May21 May04 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 116 12.00    
 
BTP-3   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI BEAR May25 Apr28       (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 1.80 62% 0.60    
GIMME CLEARANCE Jul12 Jun03 May10 Apr13 Mar01 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 125 3.00    
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Jul12 May26 Apr26 Apr16   (meyers sh)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.50    
ALWAYS ON THE ROX Jul22 May30 Mar23 Mar05 Jan19 (adams l)BRACHO A 125 5.00    
STATE OF GRACE Jul12 Jun22 Jun03 May24 Apr28 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 120 4.00    
 
BTP-4   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY AND BOLD         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
SCR  BIZZY GIRL         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 3.50    
SCR  BETTER HALF         (hamm timothy)FELIX E 119 3.00    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jul14 Jun17       (hamm timothy)FELIX E 119 3.00 74% 0.30    
MACI'S GEMSTONE Jul16         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
TIA FRIDA Jul14 Jun17 May27 May13 May11 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
QUEEN TAPITURE         (kahles ronald)CANUTO THIAGO 114 8.00    
B G WARRIOR Jul04         (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 119 2.50    
SCR  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Jul04 Jun23 Apr29 Apr21   (dyer john)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.00    
BARFLEUR         (ennis john)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
 
BTP-5   07/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY OUT Jul07 Jun09       (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 119 8.00    
CHLOE'S GIRL May07 Apr15 Mar11     (mccarthy michael )OUZTS W 119 12.00    
NOISE (IRE)         (deegan c)PARKER L 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
LOVED REIKO Jul07         (arnold georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 5.00    
BOURBON MISS Jul05 May18 Apr29     (jennings joe)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
WHY SHE DEW DAT Jun19         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
QUARIA BRAVA Jun29 May30 May10     (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 8.00    
COUNT ME INDY Jul14 Jun30       (edgell shar)JIMENEZ J 124 30.00    
CHASE THE LIGHT         (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ITSALLABOUTACTION May24 Apr13 Mar16 Feb14   (reed r)BRACHO A 119 6.00 47% 1.10    
10  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Jul13 Jun09 May16 Apr27   (davis l)FELIX E 124 20.00    
11  SPURT Mar17         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
12  WILDCAT DREAM Jul14 Jun25 Jun12 May14 Apr09 (salcedo ramon)FELIX E 119 15.00    
SCR  NOBLES FEELINGS Jul12         (dailey ronald)RIVERA BRYAN 119 30.00    
SCR  KENKEAD Jul15 May31 May06 Mar17 Feb21 (schlenk jad)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
SCR  BIKINI Jul09 Jun09       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00    
 
BTP-6   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA Jul12 Jun28 May25 Apr28 Mar31 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
STOP MAKING SENSE Jul12         (overholt pau)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
SCR  MR. HALFTIME Jul03 May23 May01 Mar23 Feb23 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
KOBE BEACH Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 May31 Mar25 (rodriquez regu)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00    
MOUNTAIN DIVISION Jul13 Jun28 Jun10     (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00 16% 5.30    
GOOD FIRST Jun11 May07       (anderson l)FELIX E 123 3.50    
HEAVENLY TRIP Jul07 Mar09 Jan20     (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 18% 4.40    
ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul12 Jun23       (jazdzewski jo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00    
RAULITO Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 May31 May25 (adams l)BRACHO A 123 8.00 6% 16.20    
 
BTP-7   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL CAROL Jun29         (sanner e)MCKEE J 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
MISS SOVELIA Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May27 May18 (edgell sharo)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 10.00    
DIALED INNA Jul19 Jun24 Jun01     (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
SOPHISTICATED Jul08 Jun01       (anderson l)FELIX E 120 4.00    
SCR  PEACELUVNSPRINKLES Jul14 Jun09       (obert daniel)HALDAR J 125 12.00    
KNOT WILD Jun30         (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
CREATIVE WHIT Jul22 Jun28 Jun09     (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Jul19 Jul08 Jun28 Jun17 May31 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-8   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORBIDDEN FRUIT Jun29 Jun10       (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
SAMOA Jul14 Jun02 May25 May13 Apr29 (edgell shar)JIMENEZ J 123 30.00    
STYLIN UPTOWN Jul01 May19 May07 Apr19 Mar25 (esquivel je)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00    
TENAKEE Jun10 May25       (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 30.00    
MOMOS HUMOR Jul07 Jun28 May31 May23 May07 (brownfiel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 6.00    
PIPER Jul15 Jul01 Jun22 May23 Apr16 (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
HABOBANERO Apr30 Apr16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 118 5.00    
PETRICHOR Jun22 May31 May06 Apr01 Mar26 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 4.50 7% 13.60    
LITTLE LUCERITO Jul19 Jun28 May31 May20   (fernandez ke)MORALES JOSHUA 113 30.00    
SCR  NEVER KNOW CHRISTY Apr01 Mar02 Jan15     (cowans willi)HALDAR J 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  RANK AND FILE Jul19 Jul11 Jun23 May15 May01 (lopez elias)MORALES JOSHUA 118 15.00    
SCR  GO YEOWOMEN Jun23 May06 Apr16 Mar26 Feb20 (granitz j)MCKEE J 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.