Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDALAY May12 Apr28       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
PROVE RIGHT         (chapm)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 3.50    
CLEAR THE DECK         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
THREE ZERO May20         (abreu fern)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
JOHN GREY         (engler jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 7% 13.90    
MIDNIGHT DREAMING         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 112 3.00 17% 4.90    
MARDUKAS         (engler jeff)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
CD-2   06/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWZANO Apr30 Mar27 Mar05 Jan21   (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
THE BOSS FACTOR May05 Mar25 Mar05 Feb16 Jan14 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
AREYOUTALKINGTOME May06 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Mar09 (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 7% 13.10    
MY MAN FLINTSTONE May22         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 1.80 14% 6.30    
HORSE GREEDY May07 Mar26 Jan29 Jan14   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
COLOMBIANO May05         (hill f)BRYAN KERRY 118 8.00    
SCR  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF May27         (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
 
CD-3   06/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J ZERTZ May15 Mar03       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
RISATA May03 Apr13 Mar03 Jan22   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
HILLSTONE MARTINI May04         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
FLOURISHING Jan19         (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
BEVERLY'S CHARGE May12 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10   (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
MOON OVER TUSCANY May15 Mar16 Mar06 Feb12 Jan09 (scherer marian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
 
CD-4   06/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTTON CANDY ANNIE         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
1A  GONNA CUT IT         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 3.50    
MY BATON ROUGE         (ramos o)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINA DULCE         (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
K C MO May13         (jennings joseph)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  SHACKLED BY LUST         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
SHOPLIFTER         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
SABRA TUFF         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
EYES OF GOLD         (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   06/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELFAST BOY May19 Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 Jan22 (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
PICO D'ORO May16         (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
GAGETOWN         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.60 20% 4.10    
EMERALD EXPRESS May20 Mar18 Feb21 Jan22 Jan08 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
SANTA CRUISER Apr16 Feb10 Jan13     (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
BOHEMIAN BOY May12 Mar27 Feb13 Jan13   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
 
CD-6   06/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B G LEE         (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
TRICOLOUR Apr30 Mar23 Feb21 Feb03 Jan02 (miller kenny)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  HONORABLE VOW May22         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 12.00    
ON SPOT         (cash l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
MIZZEN MAN May21 Apr16 Mar26 Mar03 Feb17 (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
TREATY Apr07 Mar05 Jan16     (hobby steve)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
ONE MORE BABY May03 Mar25 Feb20 Jan22   (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50    
NORTH BAY         (holsapple hu)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
SENSIBLE JIM Mar09         (nafzger car)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00    
SCR  ATOMIC TONE         (gutierrez fau)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
11  SNOWSCAPE Apr22 Mar03       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
12  HOMETOWN HERO May13 Apr24 Feb16     (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
 
CD-7   06/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YORK TAVERN         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
GENERAL STRIKE May07 Mar19       (asmussen m)LANERIE J 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
JONAS' DREAM May04         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
AFJAN Apr22 Feb12 Jan08     (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
BOONE'S PATH         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
STAND FOR FREEDOM         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
PAPA ROCKET May07 Mar19 Feb12     (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
HIPPODROME May28 Apr14       (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 17% 4.70    
BENDETTIJOE         (cerin vladi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
10  ACTUATOR         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 13% 6.80    
 
CD-8   06/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYWARDNESS Apr21 Jan09       (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00    
HATARI May12 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
OFF WE GO May12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar09 Jan23 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
VIBURNUM May12 Apr20       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 6% 16.80    
TWO SIXTYONE May07         (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
SCR  BALLYKEEN May22 Apr02       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SPARKLE OF HOPE May30 May15 Feb24     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
SCR  DREAMFUL May12 Apr20 Mar12 Jan29   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 72% 0.40    
CELESTIAL SPIN May12 Mar31       (cristel mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
SCR  STELLAR GRACE May12 Apr10 Feb17     (shirer a)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
 
CD-9   06/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED AGAIN Apr29 Mar25 Jan23     (shorter aaro)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
HIGHER AUTHORITY May27 May05 Apr21 Feb16 Jan14 (vance d)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
LEADER OF MEN May08 Apr09 Mar06 Jan29   (moquett ronald)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN May12 Apr15 Feb16     (sims a)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
EAGLE PASS May27 May15 Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 24% 3.20    
HOME RUN TRICK May01 Mar17 Mar06 Jan22 Jan08 (brennan terr)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
EXULTING Apr24 Mar04 Jan22     (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  HIDDEN PROMISE Apr24 Apr02 Mar06 Feb12   (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY May15 Mar06 Feb14 Jan07   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
10  BEAR OAK May27 Apr08 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
SCR  BEAR ALLEY May27 May08 Mar31 Mar06 Jan16 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
12  INDIAN GULCH May08 Apr24 Mar17 Feb26   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.