Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - November 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/3/6)-(7/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/3/5)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(6/1/2)-(7/3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/6)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/6)-(7/1)-(7/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(7/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(7/3/8)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(8/6/1/4)-(2/9/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(2/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(2/9/7/1)-(8/4/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/1)-(2/9/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/1)-(2/9/7/1/6)-(2/9/7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/7/1)-(8/4/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-10   WIN (8/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/7)-(8/4/9/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/7)-(8/4/9/7/3)-(8/4/9/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   11/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR THE LADIES Oct05         (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by UPSTART out of LOVELY MARISSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SHE'S ALL CLOVER         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of WHITE CLOVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  JUST TELL ANNE Nov15 Oct16 Aug31     (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KISS THE GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
IT'S CAROL'S WAY Nov07 Oct05       (hosang o)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 9% 10.60    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SCARTINI MARTINI by OXBOW)
RAGE BAIT         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
  (by YAUPON out of UNFORGOTTEN by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
AQU-2   11/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAFFLE Nov02 Apr30       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLEASE FLATTER ME by MUNNINGS)
THREE SIXTY Nov08 Jul12       (dutrow ant)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TWO SIXTY by UNCAPTURED)
TWO BITS Oct11 Aug13 Jul12     (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPARE CHANGE by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
PERMUTATION         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of BROADWAY SHOW by GLITTERMAN)
ROMALA         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SOLENT by HARD SPUN)
COME ON GET HAPPY Nov02 Jul26       (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BARN DANCE GAL by RAHY)
 
AQU-3   11/29/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIKA ROLLING STONE Nov21 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 5.00    
MOMMASGOTTAGUN Jun26 May16 Apr18 Mar23 Jan24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
FAST AND FRISKY Nov08 Sep01 Jun26 Apr05 Feb27 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
AH CA IRA Nov08 Jul10 Jun13 Apr25 Apr03 (abreu jorge)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00    
HELLO BEAUTY Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 Aug24 Aug03 (quick pa)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
ROYAL BOBBIE Aug06 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 Mar23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
HIGHER FORCE Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Jul16 May24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-4   11/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUE Oct24 Aug24 Jul06 Aug17 Jul17 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
LOOKS FIRST Nov21 Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 Aug17 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
KADENA Sep25 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 May17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
ELEGANT Jul31 Jul23 Jul06 Jun12 May15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  AMY'S LIGHT Nov07 Oct26 Sep26 Sep14 Jun29 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
HEY COOKIE Nov07 Sep25 Aug15 Jun29 Jun07 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
SASSY PRINCESS Nov21 Oct26 Sep28 Sep12 Jul16 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
 
AQU-5   11/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOMS BOLDLY Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 Aug09 Jul14 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCREAMING UNCLE Oct18 Sep26 Sep11 Jun28 Jun14 (bhigroog)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Oct11 Sep11 Jul05 May31 May13 (rodriguez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
THRILL OF IT Oct05 Sep11 Jun29 May09 Mar12 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
LIFE AND LIGHT Nov14 Oct22 Sep12 Jul17 Jun21 (pringle edm)RIVERA A 113 20.00    
THE PADDOCK PASTOR Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 Jul30 Jul13 (green j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
STEWIE Nov07 Sep26 Aug20 Jul26 Jun08 (begg be)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-6   11/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABEGUACHE Nov13 Oct18 Sep25 Aug29 Aug06 (follett norman)SIMPSON W 123 12.00 19% 4.30    
VINSANITY Oct18 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 (arriaga an)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Sep25 Aug28 Aug02 Jul04 Jun07 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 2.50    
KNOX Oct22 Sep27 Aug12 Jun15 May31 (summers )ELLINGWOOD A 123 10.00    
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Oct24 Sep25 Jul19 Jun20 May23 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
NOTED Oct24 Sep25 Aug23 Jul23 Jun19 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50    
CICCIOBELLO Nov13 Nov07 Sep12 Aug16 Jul31 (barrera osc)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-7   11/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUGH CURRANE Oct05 Aug28 Aug14 Jan18 Aug30 (terranova joh)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
CAREER RISK Oct05 Sep01 Jul30     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
FREEDOM MAKER Nov06 Oct24 Sep14 Jul20 Jun15 (abreu ferna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
HOW ABOUT IT Nov13 Oct11 May30 Mar30 Mar07 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
SEEKER'S HOPE Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug14 Jun27 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 6.00    
OLIGARCH Oct24 Sep24       (pregman )SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Oct03 Aug29 Aug21 Jul20 Jun20 (morey william )LUZZI J 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
GREY ACE Sep14 Jul24 Jun26 Dec28 Nov29 (friedman mi)RIVERA A 115 8.00 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-8   11/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF DANCE Nov13 Nov01 Oct17 Sep15 Aug14 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
UNION EXPRESS Oct22 Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 May25 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
SOBIESKI Sep09 Aug28 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
MACKVILLE Nov09 Oct22 Aug22 Jul06 Jun14 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Nov09 Oct18 Oct03 Aug10 Jul26 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
THE BOONDOCKER Oct22 Aug28 Jul04 Jun01 Aug10 (morley thom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
NANTZ Nov09 Oct10 Sep28 Sep19 Aug14 (martin c)SANTANA JR 120 5.00    
LAST MAN STANDING Nov06 Sep28 Jul20 Jun15 May17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-9   11/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERMUDA BLITZ Oct23 Sep28 Aug09 Jul14 Jun11 (summers cha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
NUANCED Oct23 Sep13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
POROSITY Oct22 Feb07       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
FISCAL DRAG Oct24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22   (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  KAVANAUGH Nov16 Oct22 Sep01 Aug07 Jul13 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
GOLDEN PLATE Oct24 Oct04 May22 Apr10 May23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00    
HOUSE UNITED Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug16 Jul18 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
CITY OF OSCARS Nov12 Jul26 Jun21 Feb06 Jan11 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
GOLDEN SYMPHONY Oct05 Aug14 Jun22 May23 May01 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
10  BRAVE BEAR Oct09 Sep13 Jul06 Jun14 May24 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-10   11/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LISTER Nov07 Sep12 Aug09 Jun29 May18 (pringle edmund)SIMPSON W 121 30.00    
MO FOR THE KING Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 Apr25 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
UNDISPUTED Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 Jul16 Jun06 (antonucci jena)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
MOZAMBIQUE Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 Jul27 Jun06 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  NOTFANUTIN Nov13 Oct28 Oct15 Sep15 Aug19 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Nov01 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul05 (sanchez jose )PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00    
JANSSEN Oct20 Sep23 Aug26 Aug11 Jul21 (gutierr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOE EIGHTY EIGHT Nov01 Sep18 Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
UNBROKEN CHAIN Nov07 Oct17 Sep20 Aug20 Jul26 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
10  LANDAUER Nov01 Oct22 Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
11  RESILIENT HERO Nov07 Aug07 Mar08 Feb01 Nov30 (jimenez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 15.00    
12  FIRST PITCH Sep19 Aug26 Aug07 Jun29 Jun04 (jimen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
13  CONCORDE SPIRIT Nov07 Sep20 Sep11 Aug13 Jul22 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.