Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(1/4/6)-(5/2/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/2/7/1)-(6/3/1/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/1)-(6/3/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/1)-(6/3/1/5/10)-(2/1/4/13/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/3/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5/10)-(6/3/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5/10)-(6/3/1/5/10)-(6/3/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5/10)-(2/1/4/13/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5/10)-(2/1/4/13/12)-(11/3/1/5/4) 125 $1.00 $125 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/1/4/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/13/12)-(2/1/4/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/13/12)-(2/1/4/13/12)-(2/1/4/13/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/4/13/12)-(11/3/1/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/13/12)-(11/3/1/5/4)-(3/2/5/7/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
BAQ-6   WIN (11/3/1/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/5/4)-(11/3/1/5/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/5/4)-(11/3/1/5/10/4)-(11/3/1/5/10/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (11/3/1/5/4)-(3/2/5/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/3/1/5/4)-(3/2/5/7/9)-(5/6/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/2/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7/9)-(3/2/5/7/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7/9)-(3/2/5/7/9/1)-(3/2/5/7/9/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (3/2/5/7/9)-(5/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7/9)-(5/6/1)-(4/2/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/2/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/7/9/10)-(4/2/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN MAGOO Sep01 Jul24 Jun22 May26 Mar01 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
NANTZ Sep19 Aug14 Jul27 Jun28 May01 (martin c)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CYBERBEAST Sep01 Aug07 Jul24 Jun20 Aug05 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAYTONA MOONSHINE Jul13 Jun21 May25 Mar08 Feb23 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE CHIEF Sep14 Jun26 Apr03 Mar16 Aug17 (quick patr)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
DOWN THE LINE Aug07 Jun14 May26 Mar02   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  NOGUCHI Aug27 Jul30 Jun20     (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40    
LAST MAN STANDING Jul20 Jun15 May17 Apr08 Mar01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 74% 0.30    
 
BAQ-2   09/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S STYLE Sep14 Aug29 Aug06 Jul27 Jun29 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  BRZINA May16 Apr03 Mar02 Jan10 Dec15 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.50    
SCR  SHE MAKES A POINT Aug01 Jul10 Jun14 May16 Apr26 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
MY FIRST LOVE May01 Apr03 Mar16 Feb13 Jan30 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 29% 2.40    
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Sep14 Aug29 Jul27 Jul13 Jul03 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Sep14 Aug31 Aug06 Jul24 Jun29 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Jul25 Jun06 May02 Apr11 Mar15 (levine b)SANTANA JR 121 4.50    
SCR  PROBLEMATICA Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 May10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   09/28/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOCOULDASKFORMO Aug09 Aug22 May17 Apr06 Mar02 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
POINTS IS POINTS Sep01 Jul05 Feb06 Jan11 Dec27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCARLETT'S HALO Sep01 Jul13 Apr23 Mar09   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
COQUITO Jul27 Jul03 Jun13 Apr04 Mar08 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
FULLY SUBSCRIBED Sep01 Oct13       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 51% 0.90    
DANZIT Aug14 Jun15 Apr14     (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 124 3.50    
WALK WITH ME Sep01 Jul11 Jun13 May17 Apr26 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/28/2025 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DINGHY BAR Aug31         (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 10% 8.80    
EXHIBITION ONLY Aug29 Jul26       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
THE LAST PAGE         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 11% 8.10    
GLORIOUS BOY Aug09 Jul13       (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
GRUMBLYRUMHOGAN         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAITIN'ONASUNNYDAY Aug30 Jul24       (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
OGILVY (IRE)         (beckman w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
BRASS NUCKS Aug01         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
ONE LAST BULLET Jul13         (orseno jos)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 15.00    
10  TACTICS Aug08         (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HONG KONG PHOOEY Aug30         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC SUCCESS Aug28 Jul18 Jun19 Nov07 Aug28 (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE) Aug28 Aug01 Jul06 May18 Mar09 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
SASSY PRINCESS Sep12 Jul16 May29 Apr19 Sep20 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00    
TURF ROCKET Aug21 Jul27 Jun14 Apr26 Nov10 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
STAMP OF APPROVAL Jul31 Jun14 May03 Jan11 Dec06 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
BLAME THE BANKER Sep06 Aug17 Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 (synnefias panag)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
BEDFORD THE BRAVE Aug24 Jul25 Jul05     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
VICTORIA'S DANCER Aug30 Aug21 Jun05 Apr12 Mar08 (avila juan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
AVISO Aug28 Jul06 Jun13 May25 Apr12 (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
11  TUCK CHECK Aug30 Aug02 May24 Apr26 Feb28 (schultz linds)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
12  BROADWAY LIGHTS Jul31 Jun20 May11 Mar28 Feb28 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  WAR SIREN (FR) Sep01 Aug03 Feb28 Jan25 Dec28 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARARRA Sep11 Jun22 May26 Mar15 Feb15 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  SIGHT TO SEE Sep11 Apr23 Feb15 Dec29 Dec13 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  ADRIAN Sep11 Aug01 Jul06 Jun19 May17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
SCR  LUCKFORYOU Aug01 Jun14 May23 May02 Apr17 ( )TBA null      
 
BAQ-6   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMBAT MISSION Aug29         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 10% 8.80    
  (by TOMORROWS CAT out of SCHIFARRI by GULCH)
KAZ DOMINATOR         (synnefias dim)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
BRAVARO         (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
  (by UPSTART out of OPERA STAR by TAMARKUZ)
TUSCAN THUNDER         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GERALDINE'STHUNDER by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
POWER SPEED Aug29         (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YAUPON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
CHARLIE HUSTLE Aug29         (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEENS EMBRACE by REAL SOLUTION)
MAX MONEY Aug08 Jul06       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of BACK ROADS by LIAM'S MAP)
DIAMOND LIFE Aug15         (giangiulio)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
  (by SEVEN RIVERS out of DIAMOND FAVOR by DON B.)
GEORGE'S GOLD         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WILD GRACE by FOREST WILDCAT)
10  THE TOY CANNON         (summers)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HOW SWEEP IT IS by FLAT OUT)
11  FOURTH AND ONE Aug27         (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WAJEEHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  PURE MISCHIEF         (devaux adria)CASTELLANO J 119 30.00    
  (by WAYNE'S CRANE out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  PRIDE OF THE UNION Aug15         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  WAMO Aug29 Jul16       (maker j)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
  (by YAUPON out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MISSION CRITICAL Aug29         (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of DOUBLE CAT by STORM CAT)
 
BAQ-7   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADORLINIJA         (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CELESTINE by SCAT DADDY)
CONNECT THE STARS Aug29 Aug01 Jul05 Jun12   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
ALL ABOUT YOU Aug31 Aug16       (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 54% 0.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DUFF ONE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CONCURRENTLY Aug29         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DREAMCALL by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
FANCY FOOTWORK Aug29 Jul12       (green am)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 9% 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TARA'S TANGO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LIGHT DE NIGHT Aug23         (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GREEK SISTER by TAPIT)
APPRECIATIVELY         (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AFFIRMED out of APPRECIATING by SKY MESA)
ASKING Jul12         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
  (by TELL out of PLEA by LEA)
CHARTIST         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of QUANT by WAR FRONT)
10  BELIEVABLE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by FINALITY out of IBELIEVEIN U AND I by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  NOISETOMAKENOISE Aug22         (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of UNION GABLES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-8   09/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHURCH AND STATE Aug30 Aug08 Jun28 May18 Jan18 (desruisseaux d)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FULL SNOW MOON by VINDICATION)
MAGIC PATHWAY Sep01 Aug09 Jul16 May26 Apr12 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
X Y PRIME Sep07 Jul19 Jun21 Apr26 Mar29 (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
GRIFFIN'S WHARF Aug07 Jul11 May25 Apr06 Feb23 (morley t)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
CANDYTOWN Aug30 Aug07 Apr19 Feb08 Jan04 (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CANDYMAKESMESMILE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CAPITOL HILL Sep06 Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 Apr23 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
SALAMIS Aug08 Apr13 Dec07 Nov09   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  SNOOKIE BEAR Sep27 Jul20 Jun14 Nov10 Oct12 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MY SUGAR BEAR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BAQ-9   09/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTIA BOB         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
LETS FIGHT Aug31 Feb01 Jan04 Nov23   (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
DOMINICAN PIRATE Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May02 Apr05 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00    
DEEMER Aug31 Jul17 Oct19 Aug30   (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
ARCH'S ASSAULT Aug10 Jun28 Apr27 Nov30 Nov03 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SOLO DANCING Aug14 Jul16 Jun13     (hennig mar)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
I CAN SEE THAT Aug31 Apr05 Mar24 Mar10   (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 5.00    
BLUE PILL Sep01 Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 May25 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 30.00    
LUCKY DRAGON Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 Nov23   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  INSPEIGHTOFCHARLIE Sep18 Aug15       (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SUNSHINE DANCER Aug10 Jun28 May26     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
12  SOL THE FRANK May01 Apr05 Feb15 Dec01 Nov07 (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER Aug31 Jul19 Jun28 May10 Jan24 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.