Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/4/6)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/5/3)-(3/1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/1/8/4)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/6/3)-(3/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNEUR DE VIE Jul30 Feb27 Feb07     (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 8.00    
CHEMICAL REACTION Jul09 Apr23 Feb27 Dec27 Oct28 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  RABBLE Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 May24 May16 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 5.00    
CALCETINES Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun19 Oct13 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 114 10.00 12% 7.60    
BLANK SPACE BABY Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul09 Jun25 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 119 3.50    
GREY MARKET Jul06 May31 Apr25 Feb07   (caramori caio)PAULY SUMMER 114 1.80 27% 2.80    
 
BTP-2   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILTONYTWOPHONES May31 May17 May05 Apr09 Mar06 (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ N 123 10.00 11% 8.10    
BANG A RANG Aug09 Jun11 May17 Apr30 Apr05 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 1.80    
SWAYBACK JACK Jul16 Jun11 May24 May10 Apr15 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
KING OF KENTUCKY Jul10 Jun04 May17 May05 Apr11 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
READY PURSUIT Aug13 Jul16 Jun15 May29 May10 (gonzalez r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   08/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERING HEART Aug08 Jun20 Jun12 May28 Apr29 (helmbrecht )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.00    
FREE AMERICA Aug16 Jul12 Jun25 Jun05 May13 (rivera tirso)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
NICE AND GOOD Aug06 Jul23 Jul05 Jun12 May03 (cahill f)BUSH V 125 3.00    
MISTER ROSSO Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 May30 May17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
WILDERZAR Aug08 Jul26 Jul02 Jun19 Jun07 (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 123 15.00    
KOHAKU Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 May21 Mar29 (alessi james)MURGIA A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   08/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTED Jun27 Mar11 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 (short thomas)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
MR. PETERKIN Jul13 Jun19 Feb13 Jan16 Nov20 (norris mi)CORREA L 123 10.00    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Jul25 Jun14 May21 Feb21 Jan24 (hale jr)MURGIA A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
REAPPLY Aug01 Jul02 Jun13 May22 Mar29 (barker scott )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50    
BOBBY'S GIFT Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May21 May08 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.00 12% 7.20    
TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Jun19 Jun05 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
 
BTP-5   08/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S BOOK         (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 10.00 34% 1.90    
THRACIAN May28 May21 Mar27 Feb14 Jan15 (fletcher )CORREA L 121 12.00    
SUPER SNOOP Jul09 Jun18 Jun01 Feb21 Jan24 (pitts helen)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
WHISKY RESERVE Aug14 May28 May15 May08 Apr11 (douaihy miche)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OPERATORE PAZZO Jun13 May28 May14 Nov06 Nov14 (frazier matt)MOJICA JR 125 8.00    
GROUND SHAKER Aug09 Jul26 Jun19 May26 May05 (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 121 5.00    
SCR  THUBOOT Aug20 Aug01 Jun20 Aug05 Jul07 (estvanko richa)PAULY SUMMER 116 4.00    
MALEVAJE Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Oct25 Sep05 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCOVILLE Aug15 Jul04 Mar08 Feb14 Jan23 (mcguire lin)MURGIA A 121 6.00    
 
BTP-6   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP Jul26 Jul16 Jun13 May31 May15 (overholt g)MURGIA A 125 4.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
LORDBETWENTOTHORNS Jul16 Jul02       (conto kevin)BUSH V 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAMOUS ROSE by FOREST DANGER)
CLINTSBUCKEYE Jul26         (manning j)MCKEE J 125 10.00    
  (by ASTERN out of ZARINE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
WASABI BEACH Aug20         (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WASABI GIRL by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
HE'S MY BOY Aug16 May17       (chain pearl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 12.00 10% 9.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
COUSIN JOE Jul26 Jul16 Jun13 May31 May22 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.00 14% 6.30    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
 
BTP-7   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDENTOWN Aug08 Jul14 May10 Mar27 Mar01 (jones s)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
CAPO LUIGI Aug01 Feb28 Feb01 Jan04 Dec18 (alvarez yimi)MONCADA IRVING 123 12.00    
HEAVY HITTER Aug18 Aug07 Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
TAPIRS VALOR Jun21 Jun02 Mar15 Feb12 Dec07 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50    
MENSA Jun30 Oct05 Aug23 Jul19 May02 (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
SERGEANT GUMP Aug15 Feb05 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-8   08/28/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERRY Sep16         (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 120 20.00    
MAMAS LULLABYE Apr30 Apr19 Apr05 Mar26 Mar12 (cook devin)BUSH V 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECTED BOND Jul28 Jun07 Apr22 Mar13 Jul31 (davis joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SUMMER ADI Jul19 Jul05 May19     (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 121 8.00    
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Jul23 Jul05 Jun25 Jun05 Nov18 (jackson jeffrey)MOJICA JR 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
CRACKLE (GB) Aug18 Jun25 Jun07 May26 May11 (hols)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
KANAZAWA Aug05 Jun12 Apr17     (fletcher )CORREA L 121 4.50    
GIFTBOX SURPRISE Jun04 Apr30 Apr05 Mar19 Jan24 (kutt donna )BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00    
SCR  ELICIT         (caramori caio)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
10  LA MEDUSA Jul12 Jun18 Nov05 Oct13 Aug28 (fernandez kelly)HERMAN NOEL 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.