Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - August 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(6/9/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2)-(6/9/8/10/1)-(6/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/9/8/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/10/1)-(6/9/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/10/1)-(6/9/8/10/1)-(6/9/8/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/8/10/1)-(6/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/10/1)-(6/4/3)-(3/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/1/5)-(7/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/3/2/1)-(4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(4/6/2)-(5/8/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/8/4/9)-(7/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/9)-(5/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/9)-(5/8/4/9)-(5/8/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/9)-(7/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE MARIE Aug04 Jul16 Jun26 Jun11 May19 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
ANGEL'S DESTINY Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Dec16 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul15 Jun10 May22 Apr22 Mar24 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
POINTOF ATTRACTION Jun10 May22 Sep28 Aug29 Aug14 (suarez ja)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
PARLAY CHARLIE Jul15 Jun18 Mar03 Feb06 Jan07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
THELMA LUCILLE Aug05 Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 May26 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 14% 6.40    
KISSING MEDALS Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 Dec16 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
STATE OF GRACE Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr23 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 20.00    
 
TDN-2   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN BOBBY RUN Jul18 Jul03       (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
DOIN MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul03       (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DOINWHATSHELIKES by INCLUDE)
BISCUITS 'N GRAVY Aug05 Jul03       (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
LEAVETHENINETYNINE Aug05         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LENA LOVE by CITY WEEKEND)
SKYTREE Aug05 Jul03 Jun17     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
RICO SUAVE (IRE)         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by PERSIAN BOLD (IRE) out of BALLET REVIEW (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of ULTIMATE HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
COWGIRLSLUVME         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 9% 10.70    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
MOONLIGHTER Jul18 Jul03       (gorham )PILARES P 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GORMLEY out of DRILLIT by DRILL)
10  RUDE DUDE         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00 9% 10.70    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of PALSY WALSY by LONHRO (AUS))
 
TDN-3   08/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALLDRINKOFWATER Aug13         (loudin-smith)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PLEIN AIR by MANDURO)
ACES MISCHIEF         (rivera r)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SARAH ACCOMPLISHED by PERFORMING MAGIC)
CARNIVAL ROCK         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of FILO DI ARIANNA by KARAKONTIE)
KING OF SWORDS Aug14 Jul09       (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 118 2.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOVANNA by CARPE DIEM)
GAME PERFORMER         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SWEETNESS 'N LIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TOM'S AVATAR Aug05         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of VALLEY OF MO'ARA by OVERANALYZE)
 
TDN-4   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALI BALI Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  MAY MAYS CASTLE Aug11 Jul01 Jun17 May29 May05 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 8.00    
ROWDY DAISY Jul01 Jun09 May21 May03 Apr23 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 38% 1.60    
LIVING IN STYLE Aug05 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
THEODOROPOULOS Aug14 Jul17 Jun30 May28 May13 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL BEACH Aug05 Jun18 May13 Apr22 Apr11 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
HARD TRUTH WINS Aug05 Jul04 Jun14 May22 Apr30 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Aug11 Jan06 Dec18 Nov20   (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINY'S TOT Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 Jun11 May07 (romero oscar)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Aug12 Jul29 Jun21 May27 Mar20 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
PLAY BALL SUSIE Aug12 Oct23 Sep24 Sep12   (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
ONE MORE THING Aug12         (vazquez ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
DRILLING Jul03 Jun11 May22 May07 Mar20 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
EBONY'S SECRET Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 May27 Nov21 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  MY PLEASURE Aug12         (vazque)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   08/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE Aug05 Jun18 May22 May05 Apr08 (casalinov)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 20.00    
NAPA DUDE Aug05 Mar27 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN' HOT Feb07 Jan24 Dec21 Sep24 Sep03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60    
STAR WEAVER Aug13 Jul09 Jun30 Jun11 May21 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
FATIH Nov27 Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (trevino g)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Aug05 Jun30 Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  PRACTICAL MAN Aug13 Jun30 Jun10 Oct02 Sep16 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  K KID Aug04 Jul01 Jun04 May17 Apr28 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
COUNTEVERYBLESSING Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May17 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
WASHINGTON'S UNION Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun09 May22 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50    
PANTHERA'S FATE Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May20 Apr21 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
LAW OF THE JUNGLE Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 May08 Apr22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
VINCENZINO Jun18 May27 May08 Apr28 Apr11 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
SCR  MOMMA K'S BOY Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 May26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
MR. PENNY PINCHER Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jan31 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
BOURBON ON FIRE Aug10 Jun30 Jun10 May20 Oct01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREETS OF WAR Aug13 May03 Apr05 Mar22 Mar14 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 23% 3.30    
CITIZEN Aug13 Jul29 Jun20 May24 Apr25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
SCR  RIGHT OF RUSH Jul25 May14 Apr29 Feb11 Dec28 (rhoden carlton)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
NET WORTH Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 May13 Jul31 (swan kirsten)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
REASON TO BELIEVE Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 May17 Mar24 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 115 10.00    
STAR QUALITY (ARG) Jun03 Apr15 Nov14 Oct26 Sep26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 12% 7.60    
STEELER MISCHIEF Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun30 Jun16 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 119 6.00 44% 1.30    
LAST U TURN Aug13 Feb21 Feb09 Sep22 Aug24 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.