Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (1/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/2)-(1/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/2)-(1/3/8/2)-(1/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/2)-(8/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/2)-(8/4/9/2)-(6/7/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/2)-(6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/2)-(6/7/3/4)-(2/3/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(1/4/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(1/4/6/2)-(5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(5/6/1)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(6/1/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SWEETS Jul01 Jun07 May21 Mar17 Feb08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
DANZA MAGIC Aug07 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Mar24 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOX STEP Aug07 Jun27 May18 Apr24 Apr10 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Aug07 Jun07 May21 Apr28 Apr09 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
CATABOUT Aug07 Jun16 Jun07 May19 Apr29 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
SCR  POINTOF ATTRACTION Jun10 May22 Sep28 Aug29 Aug14 (suarez ja)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
PANAMANIAC Aug07 Jul01 Jun18 May12 Apr28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
OUT MY DEAR Aug07 Jul07 Jun11 Nov18 Sep09 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOODNESS SAKES Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 May27 May08 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOSS BEAR Jul09 Jun18 May17 Mar27 Mar01 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 15.00    
OILER Aug07 Jun30 May20 Apr03 Mar18 (faulkner rodn)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00 5% 17.90    
LUCKY ANDY Jul09 Jun18 May29 May05 Nov11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
SIGHT UNSEEN Aug04 Feb27 Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 10% 9.20    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Aug07 Jun30 May20 May06 Mar04 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 123 12.00    
SWELTER Aug04 Jul09 Jun12 Oct10 Sep05 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
SCR  ANIMO ROBERTO Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 May21 Jul30 (gonzalez ric)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00    
SMASH Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 May27 Apr11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 4.00 51% 1.00    
AZURE SKY Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 Jun04 May10 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 3.00 7% 13.20    
 
TDN-3   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALICED Jun11 May22 May03 Apr22 Mar26 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
TWILIGHT VISION Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 Nov19 Oct21 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
BIG GINGER Jul15 May26 Apr23 Mar18 Feb26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50 14% 6.20    
LIAM'S LASS Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 Nov18 Sep05 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RENO TOUCH Jun16 May26 Mar13 Jan28 Dec27 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
ONE SMOKIN' RITA Aug04 Jun26 Jun11 May14 Apr23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-4   08/20/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A BIT OF CAPTAIN Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May17 Apr23 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
BREEZE THE BAYOU Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 Apr23 Apr01 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
FINISTERE Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May22 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
ROYAL DECADENCE Aug05 Jun03 May20 May04 Apr11 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ASK ISAAC Aug05 Jun12 Apr22 Nov11 Nov02 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
ACTION MAN Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 Jun03 May03 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50    
LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May21 Apr11 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANAVERO Jul01 Jun14 May22 Apr22 Apr10 (poole m)BRACHO A 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
CACIQUE ABARRIO Aug11 Jun24 Jun04 May06 Jan15 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE EMPIRE Jul02 Jun12 May03 Apr09 Mar20 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50    
GAMBOLING GHOST May19 May06 Apr08 Mar22 Mar05 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
CLASSIC RICHIE Jul02 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Apr08 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
LIBERTANGO Aug11 Jul17 May17 Mar05 Dec28 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Jul06 Jun10 May27 May03 Feb05 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED CONNECTION Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE FASHION Jul28 Jul15 Jun18 May28 May03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
CLOUD STORAGE Jul15 Jun24 May22 May07 Apr23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
MAGIC PALACE Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 May22 May03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00    
SADIE THE GOAT Jul17 Jun24 May22 May07 Apr22 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Aug03 Jul15 Jun18 May28 May07 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
TDN-7   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SHOOT Jul10 Jun12 May26 Apr30 Nov13 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 17.60    
TATANKA Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 May21 May05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00    
MOREAU Aug03 Jul10 May05 Mar13 Feb28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
CAPO LUCA Jul10 Jun21 Jun11 May27 May06 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00    
TIMESATAPPIN Jul10 Jun23 May27 May05 Apr05 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
POWERFUL Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May27 May05 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-8   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RANSOM Jul03 May12 Apr22 Oct29 Sep23 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
MAGIC MOTOWN Jul07 Oct26 Oct04 Aug30 Aug14 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 117 4.00    
ROLLIN MY WAY Aug06 Jul09 Jun16 May14 Apr29 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00    
ENVELOPE PLEASE Jul03 Apr03 Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 (maker j)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
CLEAN MACHINE Jul03 Sep05 Aug10 Jul08 Jun26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE FIVE CHARLIE Jul03 May29 Apr23 Oct29   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
OHIO STRONG Aug06 Jul09 Jul01 Jun16 May14 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
JUDY'S COMET Jun21 Jun07 Apr03 Mar13 Feb27 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 8.00 7% 13.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.