Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/1/4)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/1/5)-(3/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/1)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/5/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/5/7/6)-(6/5/3/8) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
FE-5   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(6/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED SECRET Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 Nov01 Oct01 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNNING ARGUMENT Jul22 Jul14 Jul01 Mar15 Jan31 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISTY POINT Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00    
4  CRIMSON NIGHTS Jul20 May27 May04 Dec12 Nov21 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 1.60 63% 0.60    
5  GOLDEN SPRING Jul08 Jul01 Apr26 Oct14 Sep23 (smith r)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
 
FE-2   08/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Oct22 Oct14 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER Jul27 Aug19 Nov19 Oct22 Jun24 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 124 1.40 41% 1.40    
3  MORAL TURPITUDE Jul22 Jul04 May29 May16 May03 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00    
4  DOODLE DANDY Jul14 Jun30 Jun10 Jul22 Jul07 (hoad lindsay)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLARAYOUTHEBEST Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 Oct12 Sep23 (machesney b)MAILHOT P 122 3.00    
 
FE-3   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON NORTH Aug04 Jun23 May24 May03 Jul06 (coun)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  FRAC CITY Jul21 Jun24 May27 Aug13 Jul22 (smith r)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
3  SWEEPING RED Jul21 Jun23 May27     (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Jul21 Jul08 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50    
5  SHAKO Jul21 Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 Oct25 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  IM NOT LOST Jul21 Jul04 Jun13     (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 5.00    
 
FE-4   08/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL THE CREDITS         (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CATIENUS out of WINNING ACTRESS by ACADEMY AWARD)
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY Aug04 Jun01 May20 Apr29 Jan13 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 2.50    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of BEAR'S PEARL by SEEKING THE DIA)
3  AFLEET PRINCE Jul21 Sep08 Jul28     (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by RELOAD out of AFLEET DOLL by AFLEET ALEX)
4  JERSEY KING Jul21 Jun23       (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of HOLDONWEREGOINHOME by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  BERMUDA BREW         (williams)BUCHANAN Z 115 5.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of MIDNIGHT BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
FE-5   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIATUS Jun23 Oct15 Sep24 Aug18 Jul30 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  COST BASIS Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 May11 Apr13 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
3  HALF TO RELOAD Jul13 Jun23 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00    
4  WET AND WILD Jul27 Jul08 Jun27 May30 May11 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
5  BELLA FUTURE Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May29 May18 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  SOCIETY JOE Jun23 Oct25 Oct15 Sep30 Sep02 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRULY MISCHIEF Jul27 Jun30 Jun03 Oct22 Sep24 (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
 
FE-6   08/12/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFESORRIDESAGAIN May24 Dec06 Nov21 Sep29 Sep21 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.50    
2  DEFOGGER Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
3  STORMIN DAVE Jul08 Jun15 May11 Dec13 Nov29 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 15.00 6% 17.20    
4  FAST AND READY Jul27 Jul08 Jun13 May30 Dec15 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 10.00    
5  CANTUCCI Jul27 Jul18 Jun26 Dec06 Nov01 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  BONGINO Jun13 Oct31 Sep27 Sep02 Oct13 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  ROYAL QUALITY Jul25 Jun20 May23 May04 Mar23 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00    
8  BOSTON BAY Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (smith r)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.