Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-3   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.00 $1.00 13%
FE-6   WIN (1/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    DD (7/2/4)-(1/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-2 $22.50 $10.50 88%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHCAR NELLIE 5 1 4 11   12 14 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 56% 0.80 0.20 W
GOLDEN SPRING 2 2 13 21   22 24 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 18.65  
ALBERTA BE MINE 3 4 23 3   3 3 (krczmar zelko)SALLES LEO 124 1.20 3.25 S
HEADING WEST 1 3 5 58   56 413¾ (robillard juli)MARTIN ANDRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
LOADED QUESTION 4 5 33 4   45 515¼ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 13.35  
 
FE-2   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT PASSION 2 2 2½ 1   14 111¾ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.40 0.35  
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of VICTORIA BAY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
REALLOVEISLUCKY 5 1 4 33   24 211¾ (fairl)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 10.05  
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
FAITHFUL GIFT 3 4 3 54   3 312½ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 35% 1.90 5.60 S
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUNSHINE GRACIE by SUNDARBAN)
CA BAM 1 5 52 44   4 413¼ (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 3.90  
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
ALMASTY'S PRIDE 4 3 1½ 2   57 533 (machesney b)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
  (by ALMASTY out of JADA'S PRIDE by SAFFIR)
 
FE-3   07/08/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:231 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERKUS (FR) 5 2 31 32   32 1nk (goldenberg j)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.50 W
MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE 4 1 1½ 11   12 2nk (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 24.80  
WAR EMPIRE 6 5 2½ 21   22 32 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 50% 1.00 0.40 S
FINAL RUN FOR LOVE 2 4 7 7   7 44 (mcmahon willi)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 6% 14.90 9.20  
SUGAR DROP 1 3 5 45   4 5 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 117 6.00 10.30  
J M R TURINO 7 6 64 55   5 6 (chircop steven)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 33.80  
KOWBOYS SEQUEL 8 7 41 6   65 78 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00 74.70  
NINO DE MAMA 3 8 86 8   8 8 (robert)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 69.65  
SCR  BLACKHILLSHERRIFF               (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   07/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :45 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILL NEEDLE 4 6 78 714½   45 11 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 8.95  
CANADIAN AVRO 8 2 12 1   1 21 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 3.65  
COHERENCE 2 5 22 2   2 3 (wills daniel)KERR CHEYENNE 119 2.50 1.40  
FAST AND READY 6 3 5 47   35 45 (wills daniel)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 3.30  
DEVELOPING THE WAY 3 8 811 817½   6 5 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
FORTY FLASH 7 1 4 3   5 6 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 10% 8.90 43.25  
STORMIN DAVE 5 7 67 610½   815¼ 7100 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 57% 0.80 5.65  
DEFOGGER 1 4 33 510   7 8100 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
 
FE-5   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MARCH 1 6 43 32   31 1 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 16% 5.30 1.65 W
GAROFOLI 6 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 1.40 53% 0.90 0.85 P
SHAKOO MAKOO 3 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 5% 18.20 5.70 S
COST BASIS 2 2 54 56   4 48 (robillard julie)MORENO OMAR 122 3.50 15.45  
WET AND WILD 4 4 67 6   6 510¾ (capi m)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 22.65  
NAMEOFTHEGAME 5 3 3 45   54 612½ (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 20.00 20.00  
SCR  VALYRIAN SKY               (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 122 12.00    
 
FE-6   07/08/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESCUE THAT GIRL 2 8 76 6   4 1¾ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
SCREEN LEGEND 7 5 44 5   6 2¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 10.50  
DELIRIO 4 3 32 3   32 3 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 2.50 26% 2.80 3.15 S
FOREST WOODSMAN 3 1 1½ 1½   12 4 (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 6.15  
I'MANISLANDBOY 6 6 5 8   7 5 (chircop steven)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 20.25  
PANYARD TAP 8 7 65 4   53 65 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 7% 12.50 5.40  
MISS D'S PRIDE 5 2 2½ 2½   22 7 (keen howard)MARTIN ANDRE 120 15.00 35.05  
WOLF BEACH 1 4 9 9   8 813¼ (newland george)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 35% 1.90 2.15  
CANADIAN DADDY 9 9 8 75   9 922¼ (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 20.00 66.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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