Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.20 $1.20 30%
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-3 $13.15 $9.15 229%
FE-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $17.70 $11.70 195%
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $18.85 $12.85 214%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAITHFUL GIFT 2 3 31 11   12 15 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.60 W
3  RING IT UP 3 5 42 31   22 25 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 23% 3.40 7.40 P
4  ONE HELL OF A GIRL 4 4 2nk 41¼   43½ 36 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 1.60  
1  DANISH BELLE 1 2 1nk 21   33½ 48¾ (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 4.45  
5  SUGAR DROP 5 1 53 54¼   55 512¾ (humb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 ★ 5.90  
 
FE-2   07/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:221 :444       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SILVER CANDICE 4 1 13 11½   11 1nk (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 ★ 4.15  
2  NICE BABY 2 3 43½ 34   32 2nk (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 3.00 3.60  
3  GETTING AHEAD 3 2 23 21½   21 3.2 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.35 S
5  SOUPER COP 5 4 54½ 56   44 46¼ (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.35  
1  SUMMER SNOW 1 5 33½ 45   55½ 517 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 1.80 3.95  
 
FE-3   07/22/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:133     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TURF AND SURF 2 7 610½ 66½   4¾ 1¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50 1.10  
3  EMERALD LAKE 3 3 56½ 44½   1nk 2¼ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 15% 5.90 1.40 P
5  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN 5 6 34½ 33½   2nk 3¼ (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
1  MENAGERIE 1 2 45½ 55½   62¼ 44½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 11.30  
4  BORN TO BE GOOD 4 1 21 13   3.2 54¾ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 24.20  
6  SIGIRIYA 6 5 11 23   5¾ 65½ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.00 22% 3.60 10.40  
7  LULU'S LULLABY 7 4 710½ 710½   73¼ 76¾ (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 ★ 27.35  
SCR  DREAMING OF HOPE               (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 2.50    
 
FE-4   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:231 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPEEDY LADY 3 1 11 1½   1nk 1½ (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 48% 1.10 7.85 W
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
4  JUSTIFY PERFECTION 4 3 62¼ 2½   2nk 2½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 29% 2.40 0.40 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILENT PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  SCARY BOO 2 5 31 31   31½ 35¾ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 3.15  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of TRIPLLINDEE by SIGNATURE RED)
1  OUR STELLA 1 6 52¼ 54   54½ 411 (dunslow j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 11.30  
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ROXHAM by FREUD)
6  REALLOVEISLUCKY 6 2 21 41   43 512¼ (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
5  LOTS OF LEGACIES 5 4 41¼ 65½   68 625¾ (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 55.55  
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
 
FE-5   07/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN WIND 1 2 1nk 12   11½ 11 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00 5.50  
5  CORE 4 4 2nk 22   21½ 21 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 14% 6.30 2.90 P
2  EXCEED 2 3 41¾ 43½   33 32 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 1.80 56% 0.80 1.90 S
6  FORESTER HUMOR 5 5 66¼ 56   54½ 45½ (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 4.00 1.75  
4  M C JACKHAMMER 3 1 3.2 33   44 57½ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 12.00 17.85  
7  MOBILIZER 6 6 54¾ 66   65 67½ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
SCR  SPITE STORE               (bird alan)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 6.00 ★    
 
FE-6   07/22/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:131     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KID GIZMO 5 5 31½ 21½   2½ 1½ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 11% 7.80 1.40 W
7  KNOTTY AND NICE 7 1 11 11½   1½ 2½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 49% 1.00 3.45 P
6  GAMBLER'S POSE 6 7 64½ 66   43 34 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 9.80  
2  HOLIDAY IN JAIL 2 3 42½ 43½   32 44 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 9.05  
1  SUPER HONEY TIMBER 1 8 75 87   64 55¼ (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 6.00 12% 7.30 8.05  
8  MORAL TURPITUDE 8 6 85½ 76½   74¼ 65¾ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 3.80  
3  PRINCESS BU CHERRO 3 4 53½ 54½   54 76½ (bailey barbar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 44.15  
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT 4 2 21 32   85¾ 818 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00 26.05  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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